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Author Elsgaard, L.; Børgesen, C.D.; Olesen, J.E.; Siebert, S.; Ewert, F.; Peltonen-Sainio, P.; Rötter, R.P.; Skjelvåg, A.O. doi  openurl
  Title Shifts in comparative advantages for maize, oat and wheat cropping under climate change in Europe Type Journal Article
  Year 2012 Publication Food Additives & Contaminants: Part A Abbreviated Journal Food Addit. Contam. Part A  
  Volume 29 Issue 10 Pages 1514-1526  
  Keywords Agriculture/*economics/trends; Animals; Avena/chemistry/economics/*growth & development/microbiology; *Climate Change/economics; Crops, Agricultural/chemistry/economics/*growth & development/microbiology; Europe; *Food Safety; Forecasting/methods; Fungi/growth & development/metabolism; Humans; Models, Biological; Models, Economic; Mycotoxins/analysis/biosynthesis; Soil Pollutants/adverse effects/analysis; Spatio-Temporal Analysis; Triticum/chemistry/economics/*growth & development/microbiology; Uncertainty; Weather; Zea mays/chemistry/economics/*growth & development/microbiology  
  Abstract Climate change is anticipated to affect European agriculture, including the risk of emerging or re-emerging feed and food hazards. Indirectly, climate change may influence such hazards (e.g. the occurrence of mycotoxins) due to geographic shifts in the distribution of major cereal cropping systems and the consequences this may have for crop rotations. This paper analyses the impact of climate on cropping shares of maize, oat and wheat on a 50-km square grid across Europe (45-65°N) and provides model-based estimates of the changes in cropping shares in response to changes in temperature and precipitation as projected for the time period around 2040 by two regional climate models (RCM) with a moderate and a strong climate change signal, respectively. The projected cropping shares are based on the output from the two RCMs and on algorithms derived for the relation between meteorological data and observed cropping shares of maize, oat and wheat. The observed cropping shares show a south-to-north gradient, where maize had its maximum at 45-55°N, oat had its maximum at 55-65°N, and wheat was more evenly distributed along the latitudes in Europe. Under the projected climate changes, there was a general increase in maize cropping shares, whereas for oat no areas showed distinct increases. For wheat, the projected changes indicated a tendency towards higher cropping shares in the northern parts and lower cropping shares in the southern parts of the study area. The present modelling approach represents a simplification of factors determining the distribution of cereal crops, and also some uncertainties in the data basis were apparent. A promising way of future model improvement could be through a systematic analysis and inclusion of other variables, such as key soil properties and socio-economic conditions, influencing the comparative advantages of specific crops.  
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  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
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  ISSN 1944-0049 1944-0057 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes (down) CropM Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4585  
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Author Rezaei, E.E.; Siebert, S.; Ewert, F. url  openurl
  Title Data aggregation does not reduce signals of heat and drought stress in large area yield simulations Type Conference Article
  Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
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  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Berlin (Germany) Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
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  ISSN ISBN Medium poster  
  Area Expedition Conference International Crop Modelling Symposium iCROPM 2016, 2016-05-15 to 2016-05-17, Berlin, Germany  
  Notes (down) Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4919  
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Author Hoffmann, H.; Zhao, G.; Asseng, S.A.U.-,; Bindi, M.; Cammarano, D.; Constantin, J.; Coucheney, E.; Dechow, R.; Doro, L.; Eckersten, H.; Gaiser, T.; Grosz, B.; Haas, E.; Kassie, B.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Kiese, R.; Klatt, S.; Kuhnert, M.; Lewan, E.; Moriondo, M.; Nendel, C.; Raynal, H.; Roggero, P.P.; Rötter, R.; Siebert, S.; Sosa, C.; Specka, X.; Tao, F.; Teixeira, E.; Trombi, G.; Yeluripati, J.; Vanuytrecht, E.; Wallach, D.; Wang, E.; Weihermüller, L.; Zhao, Z.; Ewert, F. url  openurl
  Title Analysing data aggregation effects on large-scale yield simulations Type Conference Article
  Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
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  Publisher Place of Publication Berlin (Germany) Editor  
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  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference International Crop Modelling Symposium iCROPM 2016, 2016-05-15 to 2016-05-17, Berlin, Germany  
  Notes (down) Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4923  
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Author Grosz, B.; Dechow, R.; Hoffmann, H.; Zhao, G.; Constantin, J.; Raynal, H.; Wallach, D.; Coucheney, E.; Lewan, E.; Eckersten, H.; Specka, X.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Nendel, C.; Kuhnert, M.; Yeluripati, J.; Kiese, R.; Haas, E.; Klatt, S.; Teixeira, E.; Bindi, M.; Trombi, G.; Moriondo, M.; Doro, L.; Roggero, P.P.; Zhao, Z.; Wang, E.; Vanuytrecht, E.; Tao, F.; Rötter, R.; Cammarano, D.; Asseng, S.; Weihermüller, L.; Siebert, S.; Gaiser, T.; Ewert, F openurl 
  Title The implication of input data aggregation on upscaling of soil organic carbon changes Type Conference Article
  Year 2015 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
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  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title MACSUR Science Conference  
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  Area Expedition Conference MACSUR Science Conference, 2015-04-08 to 2015-04-10, Reading, United Kingdom  
  Notes (down) Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5038  
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Author Hoffmann, H.; Gang, Z.; Van Bussel, L.G.J.; Enders, A.; Specka, X.; Sosa, C.; Yeluripati, J.; Tao, F.; Constantin, J.; Casellas, E.; Teixeira, E.; Grosz, B.; Doro, L.; Zhao, Z.; Nendel, C.; Kiese, R.; Raynal, H.; Eckersten, H.; Klatt, S.; Edwin, H.; Wang, E.; Kuhnert, M.; Lewan, E.; Bach, M.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Rötter, R.; Roggero, P.P.; Wallach, D.; Krauss, G.; Siebert, S.; Gaiser, T.; Ewert, F. openurl 
  Title Sensitivity of crop models to spatial aggregation of soil and climate data Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
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  Area Expedition Conference Annual conference of the German/Austrian Agronomical Society & Max-Eyth-Society IS -  
  Notes (down) Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5041  
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