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Bodin, P. |
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Title |
Simulating the sensitivity of carbon and water fluxes as well as yield within the ClimAfrica project |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
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Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) is a region expected to be particularly sensitive to climate change effects on crop yield (Barrios et al. 2008). Annual precipitation, calculated as averages for each African country, is expected to change by −39 to +64 mm by 2030 (Jarvis et al. 2012). The effect of climate also becomes larger as ~97 % of all agricultural land in SSA is rain fed (Rockström et al. 2004). The aim of the ClimAfrica project (FP7) is to better understand and predict climate change in SSA and to analyse the impacts on ecosystems and populations. Within the modeling Work Package (WP3) the main goal is to quantify the sensitivity of vegetation productivity and water resources to seasonal interannual decadal variability in weather and climate using a set of crop models. Here we present some results on the sensitivity of simulated carbon fluxes and FAPAR for different representations of cropland in a vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS: Lindeskog et al. 2013) as well as the sensitivity on simulated fluxes of carbon water and crop yield using a range of vegetation and crop models (LPJ-GUESS, LPJmL, ORCHIDEE and DSSAT), climate datasets, GCM output and bias correction/downscaling techniques. |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference |
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3(S) Sassari, Italy |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5125 |
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Author |
Bodirsky, B.L.; Müller, C. |
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Title |
Robust relationship between yields and nitrogen inputs indicates three ways to reduce nitrogen pollution |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Environmental Research Letters |
Abbreviated Journal |
Environ. Res. Lett. |
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9 |
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11 |
Pages |
111005 |
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Keywords |
nitrogen use efficiency; nitrogen; fertilizer; nitrogen pollution; agriculture; yields; mitigation; framework |
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Historic increases in agricultural production came at the expense of substantial environmental burden through nitrogen pollution. Lassaletta et al (2014 Environ. Res. Lett. 9 105011) examine the historic relationship of crop yields and nitrogen fertilizer inputs globally and find a simple and robust relationship of declining nitrogen use efficiency with increasing nitrogen inputs. This general relationship helps to understand the dilemma between increased agricultural production and nitrogen pollution and allows identifying pathways towards more sustainable agricultural production and necessary associated policies. |
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English |
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1748-9326 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4514 |
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Bodirsky, B.L.; Popp, A.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Dietrich, J.P.; Rolinski, S.; Weindl, I.; Schmitz, C.; Müller, C.; Bonsch, M.; Humpenöder, F.; Biewald, A.; Stevanovic, M. |
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Title |
Reactive nitrogen requirements to feed the world in 2050 and potential to mitigate nitrogen pollution |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2014 |
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Nature Communications |
Abbreviated Journal |
Nat. Comm. |
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5 |
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3858 |
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Keywords |
Animals; Crops, Agricultural/metabolism/*supply & distribution; Environmental Pollution/*prevention & control; *Food Supply; Humans; Models, Theoretical; Nitrogen Fixation; *Population Growth; Reactive Nitrogen Species/*supply & distribution |
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Reactive nitrogen (Nr) is an indispensable nutrient for agricultural production and human alimentation. Simultaneously, agriculture is the largest contributor to Nr pollution, causing severe damages to human health and ecosystem services. The trade-off between food availability and Nr pollution can be attenuated by several key mitigation options, including Nr efficiency improvements in crop and animal production systems, food waste reduction in households and lower consumption of Nr-intensive animal products. However, their quantitative mitigation potential remains unclear, especially under the added pressure of population growth and changes in food consumption. Here we show by model simulations, that under baseline conditions, Nr pollution in 2050 can be expected to rise to 102-156% of the 2010 value. Only under ambitious mitigation, does pollution possibly decrease to 36-76% of the 2010 value. Air, water and atmospheric Nr pollution go far beyond critical environmental thresholds without mitigation actions. Even under ambitious mitigation, the risk remains that thresholds are exceeded. |
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2041-1723 |
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CropM |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
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4513 |
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Author |
Bodirsky, B.L.; Rolinski, S.; Biewald, A.; Weindl, I.; Popp, A.; Lotze-Campen, H. |
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Title |
Global Food Demand Scenarios for the 21st Century |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2015 |
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PLoS One |
Abbreviated Journal |
PLoS One |
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Volume |
10 |
Issue |
11 |
Pages |
e0139201 |
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Abstract |
Long-term food demand scenarios are an important tool for studying global food security and for analysing the environmental impacts of agriculture. We provide a simple and transparent method to create scenarios for future plant-based and animal-based calorie demand, using time-dependent regression models between calorie demand and income. The scenarios can be customized to a specific storyline by using different input data for gross domestic product (GDP) and population projections and by assuming different functional forms of the regressions. Our results confirm that total calorie demand increases with income, but we also found a non-income related positive time-trend. The share of animal-based calories is estimated to rise strongly with income for low-income groups. For high income groups, two ambiguous relations between income and the share of animal-based products are consistent with historical data: First, a positive relation with a strong negative time-trend and second a negative relation with a slight negative time-trend. The fits of our regressions are highly significant and our results compare well to other food demand estimates. The method is exemplarily used to construct four food demand scenarios until the year 2100 based on the storylines of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES). We find in all scenarios a strong increase of global food demand until 2050 with an increasing share of animal-based products, especially in developing countries. |
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1932-6203 |
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Notes |
TradeM, ftnotmacsur |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4997 |
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Author |
Boeckx, T.; Winters, A.L.; Webb, K.J.; Kingston-Smith, A.H. |
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Title |
Polyphenol oxidase in leaves: is there any significance to the chloroplastic localization |
Type |
Journal Article |
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Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Journal of Experimental Botany |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Experim. Bot. |
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66 |
Issue |
12 |
Pages |
3571-3579 |
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Keywords |
Catechol Oxidase/*metabolism; Cell Compartmentation; Chloroplasts/*enzymology; Environment; Photosynthesis; Plant Leaves/*enzymology; Abiotic stress; polyphenol oxidase; secondary metabolism. |
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Polyphenol oxidase (PPO) catalyses the oxidation of monophenols and/or o-diphenols to o-quinones with the concomitant reduction of oxygen to water which results in protein complexing and the formation of brown melanin pigments. The most frequently suggested role for PPO in plants has been in defence against herbivores and pathogens, based on the physical separation of the chloroplast-localized enzyme from the vacuole-localized substrates. The o-quinone-protein complexes, formed as a consequence of cell damage, may reduce the nutritional value of the tissue and thereby reduce predation but can also participate in the formation of structural barriers against invading pathogens. However, since a sufficient level of compartmentation-based regulation could be accomplished if PPO was targeted to the cytosol, the benefit derived by some plant species in having PPO present in the chloroplast lumen remains an intriguing question. So is there more to the chloroplastic location of PPO? An interaction between PPO activity and photosynthesis has been proposed on more than one occasion but, to date, evidence either for or against direct involvement has been equivocal, and the lack of identified chloroplastic substrates remains an issue. Similarly, PPO has been suggested to have both pro- and anti-oxidant functions. Nevertheless, several independent lines of evidence suggest that PPO responds to environmental conditions and could be involved in the response of plants to abiotic stress. This review highlights our current understanding of the in vivo functions of PPO and considers the potential opportunities it presents for exploitation to increase stress tolerance in food crops. |
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0022-0957 1460-2431 |
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Review |
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CropM |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
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4552 |
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