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Korhonen, P.; Palosuo, T.; Höglind, M.; Persson, T.; van Oijen, M.; Jego, G.; Virkajärvi, P.; Belanger, G.; Gustavsson, A.M. |
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Intercomparison of models for simulating timothy yield in Northern countries. The multiple roles of grassland in the European bioeconomy |
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2016 |
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Trondheim, Norway |
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General Meeting of the European Grassland Federation |
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26 |
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General Meeting of the European Grassland Federation, 2016-09-04 to 2016-09-08, Trondheim, Norway 26: |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5168 |
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Persson, T.; Kværnø, S.; Höglind, M. |
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Title |
Impact of soil type extrapolation on timothy grass yield under baseline and future climate conditions in southeastern Norway |
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Journal Article |
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2015 |
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Climate Research |
Abbreviated Journal |
Clim. Res. |
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65 |
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71-86 |
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climate change scenarios; crop modelling; forage grass; lingra; soil properties; spatial variability; phleum pretense; poaceae; simulation-model; nutritive-value; systems simulation; catimo model; crop models; growth; nitrogen; scale; productivity; regrowth |
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Interactions between soil properties and climate affect forage grass productivity. Dynamic models, simulating crop performance as a function of environmental conditions, are valid for a specific location with given soil and weather conditions. Extrapolations of local soil properties to larger regions can help assess the requirement for soil input in regional yield estimations. Using the LINGRA model, we simulated the regional yield level and variability of timothy, a forage grass, in Akershus and Ostfold counties, Norway. Soils were grouped according to physical similarities according to 4 sets of criteria. This resulted in 66, 15, 5 and 1 groups of soils. The properties of the soil with the largest area was extrapolated to the other soils within each group and input to the simulations. All analyses were conducted for 100 yr of generated weather representing the period 1961-1990, and climate projections for the period 2046-2065, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change greenhouse gas emission scenario A1B, and 4 global climate models. The simulated regional seasonal timothy yields were 5-13% lower on average and had higher inter-annual variability for the least detailed soil extrapolation than for the other soil extrapolations, across climates. There were up to 20% spatial intra-regional differences in simulated yield between soil extrapolations. The results indicate that, for conditions similar to these studied here, a few representative profiles are sufficient for simulations of average regional seasonal timothy yield. More spatially detailed yield analyses would benefit from more detailed soil input. |
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0936-577x 1616-1572 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4674 |
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Kässi, P.; Känkänen, H.; Niskanen, O.; Lehtonen, H.; Höglind, M. |
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Farm level approach to manage grass yield variation under climate change in Finland and north-western Russia |
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Journal Article |
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2015 |
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Biosystems Engineering |
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Biosystems Engineering |
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140 |
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11-22 |
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silage grass; risk management; dairy farms; buffer storage; agricultural economics; grassland modelling; dairy-cows; impact; security; timothy; harvest; future; growth; norway; europe; time |
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Cattle feeding in Northern Europe is based on grass silage, but grass growth is highly dependent on weather conditions. If ensuring sufficient silage availability in every situation is prioritised, the lowest expected yield level determines the cultivated area in farmers’ decision-making. One way to manage the variation in grass yield is to increase grass production and silage storage capacity so that they exceed the annual consumption at the farm. The cost of risk management in the current and the projected future climate was calculated taking into account grassland yield and yield variability for three study areas under current and mid-21st century climate conditions. The dataset on simulated future grass yields used as input for the risk management calculations were taken from a previously published simulation study. Strategies investigated included using up to 60% more silage grass area than needed in a year with average grass yields, and storing silage for up to 6 months more than consumed in a year (buffer storage). According to the results, utilising an excess silage grass area of 20% and a silage buffer storage capacity of 6 months were the most economic ways of managing drought risk in both the baseline climate and the projected climate of 2046-2065. It was found that the silage yield risk due to drought is likely to decrease in all studied locations, but the drought risk and costs implied still remain significant. (C) 2015 IAgrE. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
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1537-5110 |
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TradeM |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4671 |
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Persson, T.; Kværnø, S.; Höglind, M. |
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Impact of soil properties regionalization procedures on regional timothy dry matter yield and variability in southeastern Norway |
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2014 |
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CropM |
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MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2718 |
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Höglind, M.; Persson, T.; van Oijen, M. |
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Breeding forage grasses: simulation modelling as a tool to identify important cultivar characteristics for winter survival and yield under future climate conditions in Norway |
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Conference Article |
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2014 |
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CropM |
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MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2487 |
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