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Author |
Irz, X.; Kuosmanen, N. |
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Title |
Explaining growth in demand for dairy products in Finland: an econometric analysis |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Food Economics |
Abbreviated Journal |
Food Economics |
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9 |
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sup5 |
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47-56 |
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Keywords |
Consumption; food; almost ideal demand system; decomposition; elasticities; milk; demand analysis; farm |
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Abstract |
The dairy sector represents the cornerstone of Finnish agriculture but faces new challenges linked to the decoupling of farm subsidies and abolition of milk production quotas. Because of its increasing exposure to market forces, the sector must anticipate future changes in demand and deliver precisely what Finnish consumers want. This paper contributes to that goal by analyzing retroactively the drivers of demand for dairy products over the period 1975–2010 using National Accounts Data. After presenting the evolution of consumption for dairy products, we estimate a complete system of demand for food and dairy products and use it to decompose demand growth into a substitution effect, income effect, and trend effect. The analysis points to the severity of the challenges that the sector is facing. Stagnant consumption is at least partially the result of continuous but adverse taste changes, and as Finnish consumers grow more prosperous, they allocate an increasingly smaller share of their food budget to the dairy group. The low own-price elasticity of demand for dairy products also limits the benefits to the sector of growth in milk production. Hence, business-as-usual will result in the dwindling importance of the dairy sector in the Finnish food chain. Innovation and product differentiation, perhaps emphasizing the attributes of livestock production processes, are clearly required to counter this evolution. |
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2164-828x |
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TradeM, ftnotmacsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4491 |
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Author |
Semenov, M.A.; Stratonovitch, P. |
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Title |
Designing high-yielding wheat ideotypes for a changing climate |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Food and Energy Security |
Abbreviated Journal |
Food Energy Secur. |
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2 |
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3 |
Pages |
185-196 |
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Climate change impacts; crop modeling; LARS-WG; Sirius; wheat |
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Global warming is characterized by shifts in weather patterns and increases in climatic variability and extreme events. New wheat cultivars will be required for a rapidly changing environment, putting severe pressure on breeders who must select for climate conditions which can only be predicted with a great degree of uncertainty. To assist breeders to identify key wheat traits for improvements under climate change, wheat ideotypes can be designed and tested in silico using a wheat simulation model for a wide range of future climate scenarios predicted by global climate models. A wheat ideotype is represented by a set of cultivar parameters in a model, which could be optimized for best wheat performance under projected climate change. As an example, high-yielding wheat ideotypes were designed at two contrasting European sites for the 2050 (A1B) climate scenario. Simulations showed that wheat yield potential can be substantially increased for new ideotypes compared with current wheat varieties under climate change. The main factors contributing to yield increase were improvement in light conversion efficiency, extended duration of grain filling resulting in a higher harvest index, and optimal phenology. |
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2048-3694 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4505 |
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Nendel, C.; Wieland, R.; Mirschel, W.; Specka, X.; Guddat, C.; Kersebaum, K.C. |
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Title |
Simulating regional winter wheat yields using input data of different spatial resolution |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Field Crops Research |
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Field Crops Research |
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145 |
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67-77 |
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monica; agro-ecosystem model; dynamic modelling; scaling; input data; climate-change; crop yield; nitrogen dynamics; food security; mineral nitrogen; soil-moisture; scaling-up; model; maize; water |
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The success of using agro-ecosystem models for the high-resolution simulation of agricultural yields for larger areas is often hampered by a lack of input data. We investigated the effect of different spatially resolved soil and weather data used as input for the MONICA model on its ability to reproduce winter wheat yields in the Federal State of Thuringia, Germany (16,172 km(2)). The combination of one representative soil and one weather station was insufficient to reproduce the observed mean yield of 6.66 +/- 0.87 t ha(-1) for the federal state. Use of a 100 m x 100 m grid of soil and relief information combined with just one representative weather station yielded a good estimator (7.01 +/- 1.47 t ha(-1)). The soil and relief data grid used in combination with weather information from 14 weather stations in a nearest neighbour approach produced even better results (6.60 +/- 1.37 t ha(-1)); the same grid used with 39 additional rain gauges and an interpolation algorithm that included an altitude correction of temperature data slightly overpredicted the observed mean (7.36 +/- 1.17 t ha(-1)). It was concluded that the apparent success of the first two high-resolution approaches over the latter was based on two effects that cancelled each other out: the calibration of MONICA to match high-yield experimental data and the growth-defining and -limiting effect of weather data that is not representative for large parts of the region. At the county and farm level the MONICA model failed to reproduce the 1992-2010 time series of yields, which is partly explained by the fact that many growth-reducing factors were not considered in the model. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
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0378-4290 |
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CropM, ftnotmacsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4498 |
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Author |
Köchy, M. |
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Title |
Hub website and administrative tasks |
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Report |
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Year |
2013 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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1 |
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D-H3.1 |
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The Hub management has set up and is administering an interactive web site, organized the kickoff-workshop, developed the consortium agreement with 70 partners, developed logos and templates for use by members, published four newsletters, organized seven Project Steering Committee meetings and interacted with the FACCE JPI secretariat. No Label |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2266 |
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Author |
Köchy, M. |
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Title |
Strategy for the dissemination of outputs at national, EU, and global levels |
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Report |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
1 |
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D-H2.4 |
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Dissemination of FACCE MACSUR will operate in a tiered manner to the scientific community, funding agencies, decision makers in policy and agri-food businesses, and the general public. Efforts by the MACSUR hub level are targeted at the supra-national level, while individual institutions target regional and national stakeholders.The dissemination approaches will include multiple and various methods of information distribution including• scientific papers and presentations,• conferences, congresses, workshops, and courses targeted to specific stakeholders,• a fully developed and interactive website,• regular newsletters,• flyers,• alignment of methodologies and protocols with other research networks or projects. Dissemination is both passive (web site, publications) and active (flyers, presentations, workshops held jointly with other projects or organizations, Twitter). No Label |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2265 |
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