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Author Kässi, P.; Känkänen, H.; Niskanen, O.; Lehtonen, H.; Höglind, M. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Farm level approach to manage grass yield variation under climate change in Finland and north-western Russia Type Journal Article
  Year 2015 Publication Biosystems Engineering Abbreviated Journal Biosystems Engineering  
  Volume 140 Issue Pages 11-22  
  Keywords silage grass; risk management; dairy farms; buffer storage; agricultural economics; grassland modelling; dairy-cows; impact; security; timothy; harvest; future; growth; norway; europe; time  
  Abstract Cattle feeding in Northern Europe is based on grass silage, but grass growth is highly dependent on weather conditions. If ensuring sufficient silage availability in every situation is prioritised, the lowest expected yield level determines the cultivated area in farmers’ decision-making. One way to manage the variation in grass yield is to increase grass production and silage storage capacity so that they exceed the annual consumption at the farm. The cost of risk management in the current and the projected future climate was calculated taking into account grassland yield and yield variability for three study areas under current and mid-21st century climate conditions. The dataset on simulated future grass yields used as input for the risk management calculations were taken from a previously published simulation study. Strategies investigated included using up to 60% more silage grass area than needed in a year with average grass yields, and storing silage for up to 6 months more than consumed in a year (buffer storage). According to the results, utilising an excess silage grass area of 20% and a silage buffer storage capacity of 6 months were the most economic ways of managing drought risk in both the baseline climate and the projected climate of 2046-2065. It was found that the silage yield risk due to drought is likely to decrease in all studied locations, but the drought risk and costs implied still remain significant. (C) 2015 IAgrE. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.  
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  ISSN 1537-5110 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes (down) TradeM Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4671  
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Author Bourgeois, C.; Fradj, N.B.; Jayet, P.-A. url  doi
openurl 
  Title How cost-effective is a mixed policy targeting the management of three agricultural N-pollutants Type Journal Article
  Year 2014 Publication Environmental Modelling & Assessment Abbreviated Journal Environmental Modelling & Assessment  
  Volume 19 Issue 5 Pages 389-405  
  Keywords cost-effectiveness; mixed policy; n-input tax; land use policy; nitrogen pollutants; bioeconomic model; mathematical linear programming; miscanthus; nonpoint pollution-control; reed canary grass; biomass production; abatement costs; energy crop; miscanthus; nitrogen; model; efficiencies; instruments  
  Abstract This paper assesses the cost-effectiveness of a mixed policy in attempts to reduce the presence of three nitrogen pollutants: NO (3), N O-2, and NH (3). The policy under study combines a tax on nitrogen input and incentives promoting perennial crops assumed to require low input. We show that the mixed policy improves the cost-effectiveness of regulation with regard to nitrates, whereas no improvement occurs, except for a very low level of subsidy in some cases, for gas pollutants. A quantitative analysis provides an assessment of impacts in terms of land use, farmers’ income, and nitrogen losses throughout France and at river-basin scale.  
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  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1420-2026 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes (down) TradeM Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4661  
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Author Baum, Z.; Palatnik, R.R.; Kan, I.; Rapaport-Rom, M. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Economic Impacts of Water Scarcity Under Diverse Water Salinities Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication Water Econs. Policy Abbreviated Journal Water Econs. Policy  
  Volume 02 Issue 01 Pages 1550013  
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  Abstract Exploitation of alternative water sources is expected to grow in the decades to come in water-stressed countries with fast population growth, especially in regions where a further decline of natural freshwater availability is expected due to climate change. Increasing utilization of non-freshwater usually leads to salinity build-up in fields and water sources as well as accumulation of various pollutants — both having a considerable impact on the suitability of non-freshwater for irrigation due to constraints associated with crop salinity tolerance and food safety regulations. We developed a linked Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) — farm-level model of a water economy with representation for multiple water types characterized by different qualities. We employ the model to assess the impact of water shortage on the Israeli economy, where steadily growing water scarcity leads to an increasing utilization of alternative water sources. We simulate water shortage scenarios based on the Long Term National Master Plan for The Water Economy developed by the Israeli Water Authority (IWA). The linked CGE — farm-level model provides a mechanism for estimating the Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) rates between different irrigation water types used in agriculture. This mechanism accounts for the effects of salinity on yields and takes into consideration food safety regulations for irrigating crops with treated wastewater. We demonstrate that, in contrast to previous studies, CES rates between different water types are not identical. The CES rates obtained in our study have relatively low values, which can be attributed to the constraints associated with crop salinity tolerance and food safety regulations. Our results reveal that water shortage can lead to a significant decline of Israel’s GDP, where a considerable part of the decline is attributed to the decrease in agricultural outputs. The magnitude of the impact depends on the underlying assumptions regarding future desalination capacity. To further study the effect of desalination, we run simulations under various desalination levels and examine its impact on the GDP. We also examine the extent to which the impact of water shortage is sensitive to CES rates between different irrigation water types.  
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  ISSN 2382-624x ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes (down) TradeM Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4656  
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Author Lotze-Campen, H. openurl 
  Title Bevölkerungswachstum und Ressourcenknappheit Type Journal Article
  Year 2013 Publication AMOSinternational Abbreviated Journal AMOSinternational  
  Volume 7 Issue 1 Pages 13-19  
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  Notes (down) TradeM Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4610  
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Author Leclère, D.; Jayet, P.-A.; de Noblet-Ducoudré, N. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Farm-level Autonomous Adaptation of European Agricultural Supply to Climate Change Type Journal Article
  Year 2013 Publication Ecological Economics Abbreviated Journal Ecol. Econ.  
  Volume 87 Issue Pages 1-14  
  Keywords climate change; agriculture; europe; residual impact; autonomous adaptation; water use efficiency; modeling; land-use; integrated assessment; future scenarios; change impacts; model; vulnerability; performance; emissions; nitrogen; lessons  
  Abstract The impact of climate change on European agriculture is subject to a significant uncertainty, which reflects the intertwined nature of agriculture. This issue involves a large number of processes, ranging from field to global scales, which have not been fully integrated yet. In this study, we intend to help bridging this gap by quantifying the effect of farm-scale autonomous adaptations in response to changes in climate. To do so, we use a modelling framework coupling the STICS generic crop model to the AROPAj microeconomic model of European agricultural supply. This study provides a first estimate of the role of such adaptations, consistent at the European scale while detailed across European regions. Farm-scale autonomous adaptations significantly alter the impact of climate change over Europe, by widely alleviating negative impacts on crop yields and gross margins. They significantly increase European production levels. However, they also have an important and heterogeneous impact on irrigation water withdrawals, which exacerbate the differences in ambient atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations among climate change scenarios. (c) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.  
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  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 0921-8009 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes (down) TradeM Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4606  
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