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Sanna, M.; Acutis, M.; Bellocchi, G. |
| Title |
Interrelationship between evaluation metrics to assess agro-ecological models |
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2014 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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3 |
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Sp3-5 |
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When evaluating the performances of simulation models, the perception of the quality of the outputs may depend on the statistics used to compare simulated and observed data. In order to have a comprehensive understanding of model performance, the use of a variety of metrics is generally advocated. However, since they may be correlated, the use of two or more metrics may convey the same information, leading to redundancy. This study intends to investigate the interrelationship between evaluation metrics, with the aim of identifying the most useful set of indicators, for assessing simulation performance. Our focus is on agro-ecological modelling. Twenty-three performance indicators were selected to compare simulated and observed data of four agronomic and meteorological variables: above-ground biomass, leaf area index, hourly air relative humidity and daily solar radiation. Indicators were calculated on large data sets, collected to effectively apply correlation analysis techniques. For each variable, the interrelationship between each pair of indicators was evaluated, by computing the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient. A definition of “stable correlation” was proposed, based on the test of heterogeneity, allowing to assess whether two or more correlation coefficients are equal. An optimal subset of indicators was identified, striking a balance between number of indicators, amount of provided information and information redundancy. They are: Index of Agreement, Squared Bias, Root Mean Squared Relative Error, Pattern Index, Persistence Model Efficiency and Spearman’s Correlation Coefficient. The present study was carried out in the context of CropM-LiveM cross-cutting activities of MACSUR knowledge hub. No Label |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2222 |
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Sanz-Cobena, A. |
| Title |
Ammonia and nitrous oxide emissions from grazing cattle in Kenya |
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2015 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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5 |
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Sp5-56 |
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MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2171 |
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Savary, S.; Nelson, A.D.; Djurle, A.; Esker, P.; Sparks, A.; Amorim, L.; Bergamin Filho, A.; Caffi, T.; Castilla, N.; Garrett, K.; McRoberts, N.; Rossi, V.; Yuen, J.; Willocquet, L. |
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Concepts, approaches, and avenues for modelling crop health and crop losses |
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2017 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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10 |
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C1.5-D |
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Main text in preparation for publication in a peer-reviewed journal) |
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CropM |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4952 |
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| Author |
Schils, R. |
| Title |
Yield gaps of cereals across Europe |
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2017 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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10 |
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Xc9.1-D1 |
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The increasing global demand for food requires a sustainable intensification of crop production in low-yielding areas. Actions to improve crop production in these regions call for accurate spatially explicit identification of yield gaps, i.e. the difference between potential or water-limited yield and actual yield. The Global Yield Gap Atlas (GYGA) project proposes a consistent bottom-up approach to estimate yield gaps. For each country, a climate zonation is overlaid with a crop area map. Within climate zones with important crop areas, weather stations are selected with at least 10 years of daily data. For each of the 3 dominant soil types within a 100 km zone around the weather stations, the potential and water-limited yields are simulated with the WOFOST crop model, using location-specific knowledge on crop systems. Data from variety trials or other experiments, approaching potential or water-limited yields, are used for validation and calibration of the model. Actual yields are taken from sub-national statistics. Yields and yield gaps are scaled up to climate zones and subsequently to countries. The average national simulated wheat yields under rainfed conditions varied from around 5 to 6 t/ha/year in the Mediterranean to nearly 12 t/ha/year on the British Isles and in the Low Countries. The average actual wheat yield varied from around 2 to 3 t/ha/year in the Mediterranean and some countries in East Europe to nearly 9 t/ha/year on the British Isles and in the Low Countries. The average relative yield gaps varied from around 10% to 30% in many countries in Northwest Europe to around 50% to 70% in some countries in the Mediterranean and East Europe. The paper will elaborate on results per climate zone and soil type, and will also include barley and maize. Furthermore we will relate yield gaps to nitrogen use. |
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XC, CropM |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4960 |
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| Author |
Schils, R. |
| Title |
Online maps of Yield Gaps of cereals across Europe |
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2017 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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10 |
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Xc9.1-D2 |
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The yield gap and water productivity analysis of key cereal crops in Europe is completed and results are available through www.yieldgap.org |
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XC, CropM |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4961 |
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