Abstract: Ruminant production systems are important producers of food, support rural communities and culture, and help to maintain a range of ecosystem services including the sequestering of carbon in grassland soils. However, these systems also contribute significantly to climate change through greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, while intensi- fication of production has driven biodiversity and nutrient loss, and soil degradation. Modeling can offer insights into the complexity underlying the relationships between climate change, management and policy choices, food production, and the maintenance of ecosystem services. This paper 1) provides an overview of how ruminant systems modeling supports the efforts of stakeholders and policymakers to predict, mitigate and adapt to climate change and 2) provides ideas for enhancing modeling to fulfil this role. Many grassland models can predict plant growth, yield and GHG emissions from mono-specific swards, but modeling multi-species swards, grassland quality and the impact of management changes requires further development. Current livestock models provide a good basis for predicting animal production; linking these with models of animal health and disease is a prior- ity. Farm-scale modeling provides tools for policymakers to predict the emissions of GHG and other pollutants from livestock farms, and to support the management decisions of farmers from environmental and economic standpoints. Other models focus on how policy and associated management changes affect a range of economic and environmental variables at regional, national and European scales. Models at larger scales generally utilise more empirical approaches than those applied at animal, field and farm-scales and include assumptions which may not be valid under climate change conditions. It is therefore important to continue to develop more realistic representations of processes in regional and global models, using the understanding gained from finer-scale modeling. An iterative process of model development, in which lessons learnt from mechanistic models are ap- plied to develop ‘smart’ empirical modeling, may overcome the trade-off between complexity and usability. De- veloping the modeling capacity to tackle the complex challenges related to climate change, is reliant on closer links between modelers and experimental researchers, and also requires knowledge-sharing and increasing technical compatibility across modeling disciplines. Stakeholder engagement throughout the process of model development and application is vital for the creation of relevant models, and important in reducing problems re- lated to the interpretation of modeling outcomes. Enabling modeling to meet the demands of policymakers and other stakeholders under climate change will require collaboration within adequately-resourced, long-term inter-disciplinary research networks

Abstract: Different datasets have been completed and are now available for the analysis of interannual  and seasonal variations of productive, reproductive or health data relative to  intensively dairy cows and also to establish the relationships between temperature  humidity index (THI) and dairy cow performances. Datasets are referred to different  European countries (Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg and Slovenia) with different climatic  features. All these datasets have data relative to Animal Pedigree (Cow ID, Birth date,  Breed, Sire ID and Dam ID), Test-day records (Cow ID, Herd ID, Parity, Calving date, Test  date, Milk yield, Milk fat and protein (%), Milk somatic cell score), Reproductive events  (Cow ID, Herd ID, Parity, Calving date, AI date, Sire ID, Days Open, NRR-56 day), and Daily  meteorological records (Meteo station ID, Zip code of the meteo station, Observation date,  Max temperature, Min temperature, Mean temperature, Max relative humidity, Min  relative humidity, Mean relative humidity, Solar radiation, Wind speed). The dataset  relative to Italy includes also Mortality data (Animal ID, Herd ID, Death date) and Bulk milk  quality data (Herd ID, Test date, Fat & protein (%), Somatic cell score, Bacterial count,  Herd latitude, Herd longitude, Herd elevation). An additional database is still under  construction and will be based on Spanish data from organic dairy farms. No Label

Abstract: The work carried out under LiveM, L1.2 and described herein was based on construction and query of large databases which included multiannual productive and health field data. Productive data referred to dairy cows, whereas health data were relative both to dairy cows and pigs. The analysis pointed out significant seasonal variations of parameters under study. In synthesis, summer/hot season was associated with significant worsening of dairy cows milk composition and with significant higher risk of death in pigs. These results may help to predict consequences of climate change in economically important sectors of the livestock industry and also to identify and target adaptation options that are appropriate for specific contexts, and that can contribute to environmental sustainability as well as to economic development. No Label