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	Author	Challinor, A.E.A.
	Title	How have uncertainties in projected yields changed between AR4 and AR5			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2014	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords	CropM
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	2359
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	Author	Köchy, M.
	Title	The Knowledge Hub »FACCE MACSUR« Modelling European Agriculture with Climate Change for Food Security			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2014	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords	Hub
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	International REKLIM conference “Our Climate – Our Future, Regional perspectives on a global challenge”, 2014-10-06 to 2014-10-09
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	2549
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	Author	Bojar, W.; Knopik, L.
	Title	Application of Markov chains approach for expecting extreme precipitation changes having impact on food supply			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2014	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords	TradeM
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	TradeM International Workshop 2014 »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, Hurdalsjøen, Norway, 2014-11-25 to 2014-11-27
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	2329
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	Author	Asseng, S.; Ewert, F.; Martre, P.; Rötter, R.P.; Lobell, D.B.; Cammarano, D.; Kimball, B.A.; Ottman, M.J.; Wall, G.W.; White, J.W.; Reynolds, M.P.; Alderman, P.D.; Prasad, P.V.V.; Aggarwal, P.K.; Anothai, J.; Basso, B.; Biernath, C.; Challinor, A.J.; De Sanctis, G.; Doltra, J.; Fereres, E.; Garcia-Vila, M.; Gayler, S.; Hoogenboom, G.; Hunt, L.A.; Izaurralde, R.C.; Jabloun, M.; Jones, C.D.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Koehler, A.-K.; Müller, C.; Naresh Kumar, S.; Nendel, C.; O’Leary, G.; Olesen, J.E.; Palosuo, T.; Priesack, E.; Eyshi Rezaei, E.; Ruane, A.C.; Semenov, M.A.; Shcherbak, I.; Stöckle, C.; Stratonovitch, P.; Streck, T.; Supit, I.; Tao, F.; Thorburn, P.J.; Waha, K.; Wang, E.; Wallach, D.; Wolf, J.; Zhao, Z.; Zhu, Y.
	Title	Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production			Type	Journal Article
	Year	2014	Publication	Nature Climate Change	Abbreviated Journal	Nat. Clim. Change
	Volume	5	Issue	2	Pages	143-147
	Keywords	climate-change; spring wheat; dryland wheat; yield; growth; drought; heat; CO2; agriculture; adaptation
	Abstract	Crop models are essential tools for assessing the threat of climate change to local and global food production1. Present models used to predict wheat grain yield are highly uncertain when simulating how crops respond to temperature2. Here we systematically tested 30 different wheat crop models of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project against field experiments in which growing season mean temperatures ranged from 15 °C to 32 °C, including experiments with artificial heating. Many models simulated yields well, but were less accurate at higher temperatures. The model ensemble median was consistently more accurate in simulating the crop temperature response than any single model, regardless of the input information used. Extrapolating the model ensemble temperature response indicates that warming is already slowing yield gains at a majority of wheat-growing locations. Global wheat production is estimated to fall by 6% for each °C of further temperature increase and become more variable over space and time.
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language	English	Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	1758-678x	ISBN		Medium	Article
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Notes	CropM, ft_macsur			Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	4550
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	Author	Popp, A.; Humpenöder, F.; Weindl, I.; Bodirsky, B.L.; Bonsch, M.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Müller, C.; Biewald, A.; Rolinski, S.; Stevanovic, M.; Dietrich, J.P.
	Title	Land-use protection for climate change mitigation			Type	Journal Article
	Year	2014	Publication	Nature Climate Change	Abbreviated Journal	Nat. Clim. Change
	Volume	4	Issue	12	Pages	1095-1098
	Keywords	avoided deforestation; forest conservation; carbon emissions; co2 emissions; productivity; scarcity; stocks; redd
	Abstract	Land-use change, mainly the conversion of tropical forests to agricultural land, is a massive source of carbon emissions and contributes substantially to global warming(1-3). Therefore, mechanisms that aim to reduce carbon emissions from deforestation are widely discussed, A central challenge is the avoidance of international carbon leakage if forest conservation is not implemented globally’’, Here, We show that forest conservation schemes, even if implemented globally, could lead to another type of carbon leakage by driving cropland expansion in non-forested areas that are not subject to forest conservation schemes (non-forest leakage). These areas have a smaller. but still considerable potential to store carbon(5,6). We show that a global forest policy could reduce carbon emissions by 77 Gt CO2, but would still allow for decreases in carbon stocks of non-forest land by 96 Gt CO2, until 2100 due to non-forest leakage effects. Furthermore; abandonment of agricultural hand and associated carbon uptake through vegetation regrowth is hampered. Effective mitigation measures thus require financing structures and conservation investments that cover the full range of carbon-rich ecosystems. However, our analysis indicates that greater agricultural productivity increases would be needed to compensate for such restrictions on agricultural expansion.
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language	English	Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	1758-678x 1758-6798	ISBN		Medium	Article
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Notes	CropM, LiveM, TradeM			Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	4540
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