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Author  |
Øygarden, L. |
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MACSUR- a knowledge Hub |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
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Hub |
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National Conference- Research Council Norway- about JPI- FACCE. Oslo, Norway., 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-25 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2688 |
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Author |
Zylowska, K.; Nieróbca, A.; Kozyra, J.; Syp, A. |
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Title |
Climatic condition for yielding of maize in Poland in the period 1971-2010 |
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Conference Article |
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2014 |
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CropM |
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MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2932 |
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Author |
Zimmermann, A.; Adenäuer, M. |
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Title |
Exploring yield trends and gaps in the EU |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
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TradeM; |
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Hurdal (Norway) |
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MACSUR TradeM International Workshop »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, 2014-11-25 to 2014-11-27, Hurdal |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2928 |
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Author |
Zimmermann, A. |
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Title |
Exploring yield gaps in the EU, concept and data |
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2014 |
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Agreeing that increased future global food demand will have to be met by production intensification rather than land use expansion (Hertel, 2011), scientists have moved to empirically analysing the causes for differences between potentially attainable yields and actually realized yields – the yield gap (Neumann et al., 2010). We aim at disentangling the effects of biophysical, economic and political impacts and farmers’ response to them on crop yields based on reviewing theoretical and empirical literature and some descriptive data analysis. |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference |
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3(S) Sassari, Italy |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5079 |
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Author |
Zhen, L.; Deng, X.; Wei, Y.; Jiang, Q.; Lin, Y.; Helming, K.; Wang, C.; König, H.J.; Hu, J. |
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Title |
Future land use and food security scenarios for the Guyuan district of remote western China |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2014 |
Publication |
iForest |
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iForest |
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7 |
Issue |
6 |
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372-384 |
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Keywords |
land-use patterns; scenario analysis; dynamics of land systems modeling; food security; guyuan district; north-central china; cultivated land; dynamics; conversion; policy |
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Abstract |
Government policy is a major human factor that causes changes in land use. Decisions on land management and land-use planning, as well as the analysis and quantification of policy consequences, may greatly benefit from the simulation of the dynamics of land-use systems. In the present study, we predicted land-use changes and their potential impacts on food security in the environmentally fragile Guyuan District, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region (north-central China), under the influence of a program to convert sloping agricultural land to conservation uses. Baseline and conservation policy scenarios (2005 to 2020) were developed based on input from local stakeholders and expert knowledge. For the baseline and conservation policies, we formulated high-, moderate-, and low-growth scenarios, analyzed the driving mechanisms responsible for the land-use dynamics, and then applied a previously developed “dynamics of land systems” model to simulate changes in land uses based on the driving mechanisms. We found that spatially explicit policies can promote the conversion of land to more sustainable uses; however, decreasing the amount of agricultural and urban land and increasing grassland and forest cover will increase the risk of grain shortages, and the effect will be more severe under the conservation and high- growth scenarios than under the baseline and low-growth scenarios. The Guyuan case study suggests that, during the next decade, important trade-offs between environmental conservation and food security will inevitably occur. Future land-use decisions should carefully consider the balance between land resource conservation, agricultural production, and urban expansion. |
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English |
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1971-7458 |
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CropM |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4547 |
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