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Author Stocco, L.; Adenäuer, M.; Zimmermann, A.
Title Global land use response in agricultural sector models: estimating supply and area response in Argentina Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference 133rd EAAE seminar Developing Integrated and Reliable Modeling Tools for Agricultural and Environmental Policy Analysis, Crete, Greece, 2013-06-15 to 2013-06-16
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2848
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Author Waha, K.; Müller, C.; Bondeau, A.; Dietrich, J.P.; Kurukulasuriya, P.; Heinke, J.; Lotze-Campen, H.
Title Adaptation to climate change through the choice of cropping system and sowing date in sub-Saharan Africa Type Journal Article
Year 2013 Publication Global Environmental Change Abbreviated Journal Glob. Environ. Change
Volume 23 Issue 1 Pages 130-143
Keywords multiple cropping; sequential cropping systems; crop modelling; agricultural management; adaptation options; global vegetation model; future food-production; rainy-season; west-africa; agriculture; yield; maize; soil; variability; heat
Abstract Multiple cropping systems provide more harvest security for farmers, allow for crop intensification and furthermore influence ground cover, soil erosion, albedo, soil chemical properties, pest infestation and the carbon sequestration potential. We identify the traditional sequential cropping systems in ten sub-Saharan African countries from a survey dataset of more than 8600 households. We find that at least one sequential cropping system is traditionally used in 35% of all administrative units in the dataset, mainly including maize or groundnuts. We compare six different management scenarios and test their susceptibility as adaptation measure to climate change using the dynamic global vegetation model for managed land LPJmL. Aggregated mean crop yields in sub-Saharan Africa decrease by 6-24% due to climate change depending on the climate scenario and the management strategy. As an exception, some traditional sequential cropping systems in Kenya and South Africa gain by at least 25%. The crop yield decrease is typically weakest in sequential cropping systems and if farmers adapt the sowing date to changing climatic conditions. Crop calorific yields in single cropping systems only reach 40-55% of crop calorific yields obtained in sequential cropping systems at the end of the 21st century. The farmers’ choice of adequate crops, cropping systems and sowing dates can be an important adaptation strategy to climate change and these management options should be considered in climate change impact studies on agriculture. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Address 2016-10-31
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language (up) Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
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ISSN 0959-3780 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4823
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Author te Roller, J.
Title Agricultural model for the Nile Basin Decision Support System Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR TradeM workshop: Exploring new ideas for trade and agriculture model integration for assessing the impacts of climate change on food security, The Natural Resource and Environmental Research Center (NRERC), University of Haifa, Israel, 2013-03-03 t
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2856
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Author Twardy, S.
Title The usefulness of the research results conducted on the permanent grasslands for carrying out the pro-environmental management in mountain areas Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference Priorities of sustainable rural development 2014-2020 in the light of scientific research. Institute of Technology and Life Sciences at Falenty, Poland., 2013-04-25 to 2013-04-26
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2863
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Author Semenov, M.A.; Pilkington-Bennett, S.; Calanca, P.
Title Validation of ELPIS 1980-2010 baseline scenarios using the observed European Climate Assessment data set Type Journal Article
Year 2013 Publication Climate Research Abbreviated Journal Clim. Res.
Volume 57 Issue 1 Pages 1-9
Keywords climate change; impact assessment; downscaling; lars-wg; stochastic weather generators; diverse canadian climates; lars-wg; aafc-wg; radiation; impacts
Abstract Local-scale daily climate scenarios are required for assessment of climate change impacts. ELPIS is a repository of local-scale climate scenarios for Europe, which are based on the LARS-WG weather generator and future projections from 2 multi-model ensembles, CMIP3 and EU-ENSEMBLES. In ELPIS, the site parameters for the 1980-2010 baseline scenarios were estimated by LARS-WG using daily weather from the European Crop Growth Monitoring System (CGMS) used in many European agricultural assessment studies. The objective of this paper was to compare ELPIS baseline scenarios with observed daily weather obtained independently from the European Climate Assessment (ECA) data set. Several statistical tests were used to compare distributions of climatic variables derived from ECA-observed daily weather and ELPIS-generated baseline scenarios. About 30% of selected sites have a difference in altitude of > 50 m compared with the CGMS grid-cell altitude that was selected to represent agricultural land within a grid-cell. Differences in altitude can explain significant Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (KS-test) results for distribution of daily temperature and in t-tests for temperature monthly means, because of the well-known negative correlation between temperature and elevation. For daily precipitation, the KS-test showed little difference between generated and observed data; however, the more sensitive t-test showed significant results for the sites where altitude differences were large. Approximately 11% of sites showed small positive or negative bias in monthly solar radiation, although 86% sites showed > 3 significant t-test results for monthly means. These results can be explained by differences in conversion of sunshine hours to solar radiation used in CGMS and LARS-WG. We conclude that, considering the limitations above, ELPIS baseline scenarios are suitable for agricultural impact assessments in Europe.
Address 2016-10-31
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language (up) Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
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ISSN 0936-577x 1616-1572 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4812
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