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Author  |
Rötter, R.P.; Höhn, J.G.; Fronzek, S. |
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Title |
Projections of climate change impacts on crop production: A global and a Nordic perspective |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2012 |
Publication |
Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica, Section A – Animal Science |
Abbreviated Journal |
Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica, Section A – Animal Science |
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Volume |
62 |
Issue |
4 |
Pages |
166-180 |
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Keywords |
climate change; impact projection; food production; uncertainty; crop simulation model; food security; integrated assessment; winter-wheat; scenarios; agriculture; adaptation; temperature; models; yield; scale |
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Abstract |
Global climate is changing and food production is very sensitive to weather and climate variations. Global assessments of climate change impacts on food production have been made since the early 1990s, initially with little attention to the uncertainties involved. Although there has been abundant analysis of uncertainties in future greenhouse gas emissions and their impacts on the climate system, uncertainties related to the way climate change projections are scaled down as appropriate for different analyses and in modelling crop responses to climate change, have been neglected. This review paper mainly addresses uncertainties in crop impact modelling and possibilities to reduce them. We specifically aim to (i) show ranges of projected climate change-induced impacts on crop yields, (ii) give recommendations on use of emission scenarios, climate models, regionalization and ensemble crop model simulations for different purposes and (iii) discuss improvements and a few known unknowns’ affecting crop impact projections. |
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2016-10-31 |
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English |
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0906-4702 1651-1972 |
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Notes |
CropM, ftnotmacsur |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4802 |
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Author |
Rötter, R.P.; Höhn, J.G.; Fronzek, S. |
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Title |
Projections of climate change impacts on crop production – a global and a Nordic perspective |
Type |
Journal Article |
| |
Year |
2012 |
Publication |
Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica, Section A – Animal Science |
Abbreviated Journal |
Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica, Section A – Animal Science |
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Volume |
62 |
Issue |
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Pages |
166-180 |
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Keywords |
climate change; impact projection; food production; uncertainty; crop simulation model; food security; integrated assessment; winter-wheat; scenarios; agriculture; adaptation; temperature; models; yield; scale |
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Abstract |
Global climate is changing and food production is very sensitive to weather and climate variations. Global assessments of climate change impacts on food production have been made since the early 1990s, initially with little attention to the uncertainties involved. Although there has been abundant analysis of uncertainties in future greenhouse gas emissions and their impacts on the climate system, uncertainties related to the way climate change projections are scaled down as appropriate for different analyses and in modelling crop responses to climate change, have been neglected. This review paper mainly addresses uncertainties in crop impact modelling and possibilities to reduce them. We specifically aim to (i) show ranges of projected climate change-induced impacts on crop yields, (ii) give recommendations on use of emission scenarios, climate models, regionalization and ensemble crop model simulations for different purposes and (iii) discuss improvements and a few known unknowns’ affecting crop impact projections. |
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English |
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0906-4702, 1651-1972 |
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CropM, ftnotmacsur |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
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4591 |
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Author |
Rötter, P.; Höhn, J.; Fronzek, S. |
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Title |
Projections of climate change impacts on crop production – a global and a Nordic perspective |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2012 |
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CropM |
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Agriculture and greenhouse gases, NJF (Association of Nordic Agronomists) seminar 453. Oslo, Norway, 2012-11-05 to 2012-11-06 |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2763 |
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Author |
Porter, J.R.; Soussana, J.-F.; Fereres, E.; Long, S.; Mohren, F.; Peltonen-Sainio, P.; von Braun, J. |
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Title |
European Perspectives: An Agronomic Science Plan for Food Security in a Changing Climate |
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Book Chapter |
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Year |
2012 |
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CropM |
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Co-Published With Imperial College Press |
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Hillel, D.; Rosenzweig, C. |
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Series Title |
Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: Global and Regional Aspects and Implications |
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ICP Series on Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation, |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2732 |
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Author |
Pirttioja, N.; Fronzek, S.; Rötter, R.P.; Carter, T.R. |
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Title |
Simulating Adaptive Management Using Impact Models in a Risk Framework |
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Conference Article |
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2012 |
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CropM |
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Adaptation Futures. Tucson, AZ, USA, 2012-05-29 to 2012-05-31 |
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Notes |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2725 |
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