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Author Lehtonen, H.
Title Evaluating adaptation and the production development of Finnish agriculture in climate and global change Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Agricultural and Food Science Abbreviated Journal Agricultural and Food Science
Volume 24 Issue 3 Pages 219-234
Keywords agricultural sector modelling; economic adjustment; global prices; climate change; finnish agriculture; crop production; land-use; challenge; ensembles; Finland; Europe; policy
Abstract Agricultural product prices and policies influence the development of crop yields under climate change through farm level management decisions. On this basis, five main scenarios were specified for agricultural commodity prices and crop yields. An economic agricultural sector model was used in order to assess the impacts of the scenarios on production, land use and farm income in Finland. The results suggest that falling crop yields, if realized due to low prices and restrictive policies, will result in decreasing crop and livestock production and increasing nutrient surplus. Slowly increasing crop yields could stabilise production and increase farm income. Significantly higher crop prices and yields are required, however, for any marked increase in production in Finland. Cereals production would increase relatively more than livestock production, if there were high prices for agricultural products. This is explained by abundant land resources, a high opportunity cost of labour and policies maintaining current dairy and beef production.
Address 2016-07-22
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 1459-6067 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4750
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Author Seifried, A.; Sinabell, F.; Mitter, H.; E., S.
Title Analysing stochastic dominance of soybean and maize production in Austria Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference Lebensmittelversorgung, Lebensmittelsicherheit und Ernährungssouveränität Food security, safety and sovereignty, 24. Jahrestagung der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie, Wien, 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-26
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2816
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Author Semenov, M.A.
Title Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference InterDrought IV, Perth, Western Australia, 2013-09-02 to 2013-09-06
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2818
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Author Semenov, M.A.
Title Delivering local-scale CMIP5-based climate scenarios for impact assessment in Europe Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2819
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Author Semenov, M.A.; Stratonovitch, P.
Title Application of evolutionary algorithms for model calibration Type Conference Article
Year 2012 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2012), Philadelphia, USA., 2012-07-07 to 2012-07-11
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2821
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