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Author Biewald, A.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Otto, I.; Brinckmann, N.; Bodirsky, B.; Weindl, I.; Popp, A.; Schellnhuber, H.J. url  openurl
  Title The Impact of Climate Change on Costs of Food and People Exposed to Hunger at Subnational Scale Type Report
  Year 2015 Publication PIK Report Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 128 Issue Pages 73  
  Keywords ftnotmacsur  
  Abstract Climate change and socioeconomic developments will have a decisive impact on people exposed to hunger. This study analyses climate change impacts on agriculture and potential implications for the occurrence of hunger under different socioeconomic scenarios for 2030, focusing on the world regions most affected by poverty today: the Middle East and North Africa, South Asia, and Sub-Saharan Africa. We use a spatially explicit, agroeconomic land-use model to assess agricultural vulnerability to climate change. The aims of our study are to provide spatially explicit projections of climate change impacts on Costs of Food, and to combine them with spatially explicit hunger projections for the year 2030, both under a poverty, as well as a prosperity scenario. Our model results indicate that while average yields decrease with climate change in all focus regions, the impact on the Costs of Food is very diverse. Costs of Food increase most in the Middle East and North Africa, where available agricultural land is already fully utilized and options to import food are limited. The increase is least in Sub-Saharan Africa, since production there can be shifted to areas which are only marginally affected by climate change and imports from other regions increase. South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa can partly adapt to climate change, in our model, by modifying trade and expanding agricultural land. In the Middle East and North Africa, almost the entire population is affected by increasing Costs of Food, but the share of people vulnerable to hunger is relatively low, due to relatively strong economic development in these projections. In Sub-Saharan Africa, the Vulnerability to Hunger will persist, but increases in Costs of Food are moderate. While in South Asia a high share of the population suffers from increases in Costs of Food and is exposed to hunger, only a negligible number of people will be exposed at extreme levels. Independent of the region, the impacts of climate change are less severe in a richer and more globalized world. Adverse climate impacts on the Costs of Food could be moderated by promoting technological progress in agriculture. Improving market access would be advantageous for farmers, providing the opportunity to profitably increase production in the Middle East and North Africa as well as in South Asia, but may lead to increasing Costs of Food for consumers. In the long-term perspective until 2080, the consequences of climate change will become even more severe: while in 2030 56% of the global population may face increasing Costs of Food in a poor and fragmented world, in 2080 the proportion will rise to 73%.  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication (down) Potsdam Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes TradeM Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5000  
Permanent link to this record
 
 
Author Barbier-Brygoo, H.; Chilliard, Y.; Durand, J.-L.; Elmayan, T.; Goldringer, I.; Porter, J.R. openurl 
  Title Rapport du groupe de traveil sur la Propriétè Intellectuelle dans le végétal, du conseil scientifique nationale de l’INRA Type Report
  Year 2014 Publication Rapport de L’INRA Conseil Scientifique Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages 43  
  Keywords CropM  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication (down) Paris, France Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2074  
Permanent link to this record
 
 
Author Köchy, M. openurl 
  Title FACCE MACSUR: Modelling European Agriculture with Climate Change for Food Security Opportunities for establishing cooperation and coordination Type Conference Article
  Year 2015 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication (down) Paris (France) Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference FACCE – ERA-NET Plus on Climate Smart Agriculture Kick-off meeting, 2015-09-21, Paris  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2552  
Permanent link to this record
 
 
Author König, H. openurl 
  Title Operationalising sustainability impact assessment of land use scenarios in developing countries : a stakeholder-based approach with case studies in China, India, Indonesia, Kenya, and Tunisia Type Book Whole
  Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
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  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis Ph.D. thesis  
  Publisher Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlanschaftsforschung e.V. Place of Publication (down) Müncheberg Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title PhD  
  Series Volume PhD Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes TradeM Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5149  
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Author Webber, H.; Zhao, G.; Britz, W.; deVries, W.; Wolf, J.; Gaiser, T.; Hoffmann, H.; Ewert, F. openurl 
  Title Specification of nitrogen use in regional climate impact assessment studies Type Conference Article
  Year 2015 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication (down) Montpellier (France) Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference 5th International Symposium for Farming Systems Design, Montpellier, France, 2015-09-07 to 2015-09-10, Montpellier  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2899  
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