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Author Banse, M.; Brouwer, F.; Palatnik, R.R.; Sinabell, F. url  openurl
  Title The Economics of European Agriculture under Conditions of Climate Change (Editorial) Type Journal Article
  Year 2014 Publication German Journal of Agricultural Economics Abbreviated Journal German Journal of Agricultural Economics  
  Volume 63 Issue 3 Pages 131-132  
  Keywords  
  Abstract This Special Issue on “The Economics of European Agriculture under Conditions of Climate Change” brings together a selection of papers that contribute to the understanding of recent developments related to agriculture and climate change in four European coun- tries. The focus of the Special Issue is on quantitative modeling and empirical analyses. The papers presented here not only cover the heterogeneity of agriculture in Europe with case studies from the Mediterranean (Italy), central (Austria) and north-western Europe (Ireland and Scotland) but also give insights into the diversity of quantitative modeling approaches in agriculture.  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium Editorial material  
  Area Expedition Conference (up)  
  Notes TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4763  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Höglind, M.; Van Oijen, M.; Cameron, D.; Persson, T. doi  openurl
  Title Process-based simulation of growth and overwintering of grassland using the BASGRA model Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication Ecological Modelling Abbreviated Journal Ecol. Model.  
  Volume 335 Issue Pages 1-15  
  Keywords Cold hardening; Frost injury; Phleum pratense L.; Process-based; modelling; Winter survival; Yield; low-temperature tolerance; perennial forage crops; dry-matter; production; climate-change; nutritive-value; snow-cover; bayesian; calibration; timothy regrowth; phleum-pratense; lolium-perenne  
  Abstract Process-based models (PBM) for simulation of weather dependent grass growth can assist farmers and plant breeders in addressing the challenges of climate change by simulating alternative roads of adaptation. They can also provide management decision support under current conditions. A drawback of existing grass models is that they do not take into account the effect of winter stresses, limiting their use for full-year simulations in areas where winter survival is a key factor for yield security. Here, we present a novel full-year PBM for grassland named BASGRA. It was developed by combining the LINGRA grassland model (Van Oijen et al., 2005a) with models for cold hardening and soil physical winter processes. We present the model and show how it was parameterized for timothy (Phleum pratense L.), the most important forage grass in Scandinavia and parts of North America and Asia. Uniquely, BASGRA simulates the processes taking place in the sward during the transition from summer to winter, including growth cessation and gradual cold hardening, and functions for simulating plant injury due to low temperatures, snow and ice affecting regrowth in spring. For the calibration, we used detailed data from five different locations in Norway, covering a wide range of agroclimatic regions, day lengths (latitudes from 59 degrees to 70 degrees N) and soil conditions. The total dataset included 11 variables, notably above-ground dry matter, leaf area index, tiller density, content of C reserves, and frost tolerance. All data were used in the calibration. When BASGRA was run with the maximum a-posteriori (MAP) parameter vector from the single, Bayesian calibration, nearly all measured variables were simulated to an overall normalized root mean squared error (NRMSE) <0.5. For many site x experiment combinations, NRMSE was <0.3. The temporal dynamics were captured well for most variables, as evaluated by comparing simulated time courses versus data for the individual sites. The results may suggest that BASGRA is a reasonably robust model, allowing for simulation of growth and several important underlying processes with acceptable accuracy for a range of agroclimatic conditions. However, the robustness of the model needs to be tested further using independent data from a wide range of growing conditions. Finally we show an example of application of the model, comparing overwintering risks in two climatically different sites, and discuss future model applications. Further development work should include improved simulation of the dynamics of C reserves, and validation of winter tiller dynamics against independent data. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.  
  Address 2016-07-28  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 0304-3800 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference (up)  
  Notes CropM, LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4764  
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Author Wallach, D.; Nissanka, S.P.; Karunaratne, A.S.; Weerakoon, W.M.W.; Thorburn, P.J.; Boote, K.J.; Jones, J.W. url  doi
openurl 
  Title Accounting for both parameter and model structure uncertainty in crop model predictions of phenology: A case study on rice Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication European Journal of Agronomy Abbreviated Journal European Journal of Agronomy  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords Uncertainty; Phenology; Parameter uncertainty; Multi-model ensemble; Generalized least squares; Rice; Crop model; APSIM; DSSAT  
  Abstract We consider predictions of the impact of climate warming on rice development times in Sri Lanka. The major emphasis is on the uncertainty of the predictions, and in particular on the estimation of mean squared error of prediction. Three contributions to mean squared error are considered. The first is parameter uncertainty that results from model calibration. To take proper account of the complex data structure, generalized least squares is used to estimate the parameters and the variance-covariance matrix of the parameter estimators. The second contribution is model structure uncertainty, which we estimate using two different models. An ANOVA analysis is used to separate the contributions of parameter and model uncertainty to mean squared error. The third contribution is model error, which is estimated using hindcasts. Mean squared error of prediction of time from emergence to maturity, for baseline +2 °C, is estimated as 108 days2, with model error contributing 86 days2, followed by model structure uncertainty which contributes 15 days2 and parameter uncertainty which contributes 7 days2. We also show how prediction uncertainty is reduced if prediction concerns development time averaged over years, or the difference in development time between baseline and warmer temperatures.  
  Address 2016-09-13  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1161-0301 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area CropM Expedition Conference (up)  
  Notes CropM; wos; ftnotmacsur; wsnotyet; Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4777  
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Author Mansouri, M. url  openurl
  Title Modeling and Prediction of Time-Varying Environmental Data Using Advanced Bayesian Methods Type Book Chapter
  Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages 112-137  
  Keywords CropM  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher IGI Global Place of Publication Hershey PA Editor Masegosa, P.; Villacorta, C.; Cruz-Corona, S.; Garcia-Cascales, M.; Lamata, J.; Verdegay, A.  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Exploring Innovative and Successful Applications of Soft Computing Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference (up)  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2625  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Walkiewicz, A.; Bulak, P.; Brzezinska, M.; Wnuk, E.; Bieganowski, A. doi  openurl
  Title Methane oxidation in heavy metal contaminated Mollic Gleysol under oxic and hypoxic conditions Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication Environmental Pollution Abbreviated Journal Environ. Pollut.  
  Volume 213 Issue Pages 403-411  
  Keywords Soil; Methane oxidation; CH4; Heavy metals; Oxygen status; Dehydrogenase; activity; methanotrophic bacteria; dehydrogenase-activity; potential activity; forest soils; responses; landfill; community; ch4; co2; bioremediation  
  Abstract Soils are the largest terrestrial sink for methane (CH4). However, heavy metals may exert toxicity to soil microorganisms, including methanotrophic bacteria. We tested the effect of lead (Pb), zinc (Zn) and nickel (Ni) on CH4 oxidation (1% v/v) and dehydrogenase activity, an index of the activity of the total soil microbial community in Mollic Gleysol soil in oxic and hypoxic conditions (oxia and hypoxia, 20% and 10% v/v O2, respectively). Metals were added in doses corresponding to the amounts permitted of Pb, Zn, Ni in agricultural soils (60, 120, 35 mg kg(-1), respectively), and half and double of these doses. Relatively low metal contents and O2 status reflect the conditions of most agricultural soils of temperate regions. Methane consumption showed high tolerance to heavy metals. The effect of O2 status was stronger than that of metals. CH4 consumption was enhanced under hypoxia, where both the start and the completion of the control and contaminated treatment were faster than under oxic conditions. Dehydrogenase activity, showed higher sensitivity to the contamination (except for low Ni dose), with a stronger effect of heavy metals, than that of the O2 status.  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Newsletter July 2016 Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 0269-7491 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference (up)  
  Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4771  
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