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Wehrheim, P. |
| Title |
Agriculture and land use in the Commission proposals for the 2030 Climate and Energy Framework |
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Report |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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9 C6 - |
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Sp9-12 |
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Introduction: policy context•Impact Assessment: options, models, examples•Proposal for Effort Sharing Regulation and LULUCF Regulation•Conclusions and Outlook: more work for modellers 1. Fully in line with Paris Agreement, no backsliding on robustness and transparency2.Provides for continuity•Addresses Member States and not individual farmers or foresters•Stand-alone LULUCF pillar•No-debit rule (from KP)•Flexibility within LULUCF and from ESR to LULUCF3.Proposes limited innovations•Flexibility to the ESR up to 280 mt CO2•Aligning accounting rules (AF,CM/GM)•Defining EU-internal process to set national forest management levels•Simplifying administrationConclusions (2) |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4859 |
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Virkajärvi et al. |
| Title |
Modelling responses of forages to climate change with a focus on nutritive value |
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Report |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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8 |
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SP8-19 |
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LiveM2016: International livestock modelling conference – Modelling grassland-livestock systems under climate change |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4838 |
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| Author |
Leclère, D.; Havlík, P. |
| Title |
Modelling heat stress on livestock: how can we reach long-term and global coverage |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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8 |
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SP8-12 |
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LiveM2016: International livestock modelling conference – Modelling grassland-livestock systems under climate change |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4839 |
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Drastig et al. |
| Title |
World food supply and water resources: an agricultural-hydrological perspective (AgroHyd) |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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8 |
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SP8-13 |
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Conference poster PDF |
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LiveM2016: International livestock modelling conference – Modelling grassland-livestock systems under climate change |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4830 |
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| Author |
Hoveid, Ø. |
| Title |
What are the risks of food price changes? A time series analysis |
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Report |
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2016 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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9 C6 - |
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Sp9-2 |
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It is a widely held belief (IPCC) that climate change bringsmore risks to the worldI Since the start of MACSUR, TradeM has had risk on theagenda, but few results have so far come out. It has beenclaimed though, that there is no evidence for more risk in theglobal wheat market (Steen and Gjølberg 2014) (TradeMworkshop at Hurdalssjøen)I I have myself had the ambition of creating a dynamicstochastic model of the food system in which risk would be anintegral part, but time has been too shortI I have also pointed to methods from finance to reveal insights,and that is the road to be followed here, guided by Bølviken &Benth (2000) Buyer’s risk larger than seller’s risk — due to asymmetricdistribution of returns. Large price jumps are more likely thanequally sized price falls.I Long term positions much more risky than short term ones —as expectedI Agricultural commodities much less risky than crude oilI Price risk are related to volatility, and their changes over timewill have similar causal explanationsI Risks of producers and consumers of agricultural commoditieswill to some extent be related to the price risk, and also totheir portfolios and the co-variance between returns |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4831 |
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