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Author | Biewald, A. | ||||
Title | Representative Agricultural Pathways for Europe | Type | Report | ||
Year | 2016 | Publication | FACCE MACSUR Reports | Abbreviated Journal | |
Volume | 9 C6 - | Issue | Pages | Sp9-1 | |
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Abstract | Agricultural aspects have been covered in the scenario process on shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs), but only to a limited extent. In order to analyze the future dynamics of agricultural development they need to be complemented and specified by Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs), which cover different aspects of agricultural development as for example European agricultural and domestic policy, environmental policies, different livestock management systems, cropping systems or irrigation efficiencies.In this paper we will develop a general framework for RAPs where we define for each SSP the corresponding specific agricultural development. Some aspects of the above mentioned specifics can be derived from the definitions in the SSPs, as for example irrigation efficiencies which are linked to technological development. Agricultural policies on the other hand are not included in the SSP definitions. Here we will define agricultural and environmental policies, including the available funding in each area of the common agricultural policy (CAP) (pillars 1 and 2). As RAPs can only to a small degree be developed as European guidelines and implemented unilaterally, it is important to translate the overall storylines into specific scenario parameterization at national levels. Concerned by this are 1. national policies, as well as the agri-environmental schemes of the CAP in Pillar II, 2. livestock efficiencies and the development of extensive and intensive farm management, and 3. crop management systems.Additionally we will define which respresentative concentration pathways (RCPs) will match best the future agricultural and agro-economic trajectories. The following 5 preliminary RAPs for Europe will be further developed in our analysis:EU-RAP1 (Sustainable Europe) : strong CAP, strong shift on environmental regulation, no producer support, green CAP with strong mititgation componentEU-RAP2 (Middle of the road): BAU or things will stay as they are.EU-RAP3 (Fragmented Europe): Europe breaks up, rich countries support farmers with national subsidies, poor countries do not. There is no CAP anymoreEU-RAP4 (Two Europes): Europe is divided in a poor and a rich part. In the rich part a green and environmental friendly CAP will be implemented, in the poor part of Europe, the CAP will cease to existEU-RAP5(Fossil fueled Europe): free market world, strong institutions, weak on enviromental regulations, low domestic polices? Local green CAP without mitigation | ||||
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Call Number | MA @ admin @ | Serial | 4836 | ||
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Author | Kipling, R.; Özkan, Ş. | ||||
Title | Stakeholder engagement and the perceptions of researchers: How agricultural modellers view challenges to communication | Type | Report | ||
Year | 2016 | Publication | FACCE MACSUR Reports | Abbreviated Journal | |
Volume | 8 | Issue | Pages | SP8-20 | |
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Abstract | Conference presentation PDF | ||||
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Area | Expedition | Conference | LiveM2016: International livestock modelling conference – Modelling grassland-livestock systems under climate change | ||
Notes | Approved | no | |||
Call Number | MA @ admin @ | Serial | 4835 | ||
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Author | Vitali, A. | ||||
Title | The effect of season, month and temperature humidity index on the occurrence of clinical mastitis in dairy heifers | Type | Report | ||
Year | 2016 | Publication | FACCE MACSUR Reports | Abbreviated Journal | |
Volume | 8 C6 - | Issue | Pages | Sp8-17 | |
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Abstract | Conference presentation PDF | ||||
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Notes | Approved | no | |||
Call Number | MA @ admin @ | Serial | 4834 | ||
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Author | Fetzel et al. | ||||
Title | Towards sustainable livestock production systems: Analyzing ecological constraints to grazing intensity | Type | Report | ||
Year | 2016 | Publication | FACCE MACSUR Reports | Abbreviated Journal | |
Volume | 8 | Issue | Pages | SP8-8 | |
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Abstract | Conference presentation PDF | ||||
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Notes | Approved | no | |||
Call Number | MA @ admin @ | Serial | 4833 | ||
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Author | Schönhart, M. | ||||
Title | Uncertainties from Climate Change on Farms and Ecosystem Services of a Grassland Dominated Austrian Landscape | Type | Report | ||
Year | 2016 | Publication | FACCE MACSUR Reports | Abbreviated Journal | |
Volume | 9 C6 - | Issue | Pages | Sp9-9 | |
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Abstract | MACSUR 1: development of a method to analysefarm and landscape scale impacts of CC, mitigationand adaptation effects– cropland dominated landscape, crop choice and soilmanagement– climate model uncertainty• Now: test and improve the robustness of the method– grassland landscape, cropland expansion and livestock– uncertainty analysis– variability of weather conditions High spatial resolution creates interfaces to disciplinarymodels and indicators• Challenging data & modelling demand• Increasing productivity can increase intensification pressures• Threatened permanent (extensive) grasslands and landscape elements, but• subject to resource constraints, costs and prices• Future RDP and environmental policy design (e.g. WFD) may need to takechanging productivity into account• Future research: analyze uncertainties & environmentalimpacts• Ensembles of crop and grassland models• Sensitivity analysis on economic input parameters• Qualitative surveys with agricultural experts and farmers | ||||
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Notes | Approved | no | |||
Call Number | MA @ admin @ | Serial | 4832 | ||
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