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Author Wu, L.; Whitmore, A.P.; Bellocchi, G.
Title Modelling the impact of environmental changes on grassland systems with SPACSYS Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences
Volume 6 Issue 01 Pages 37-39
Keywords grassland production; dynamic simulation model; primary production; ecosystem respiration
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 2040-4700 2040-4719 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4655
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Author Sándor, R.; Ma, S.; Acutis, M.; Barcza, Z.; Ben Touhami, H.; Doro, L.; Hidy, D.; Köchy, M.; Lellei-Kovács, E.; Minet, J.; Perego, A.; Rolinski, S.; Ruget, F.; Seddaiu, G.; Wu, L.; Bellocchi, G.
Title Uncertainty in simulating biomass yield and carbon–water fluxes from grasslands under climate change Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences
Volume 6 Issue 01 Pages 49-51
Keywords grassland productivity; carbon balance; model simulation; uncertainty; sensitivity
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 2040-4700 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4651
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Author Rolinski, S.; Weindl, I.; Heinke, J.; Bodirsky, B.L.; Biewald, A.; Lotze-Campen, H.
Title Pasture harvest, carbon sequestration and feeding potentials under different grazing intensities Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences
Volume 6 Issue 01 Pages 43-45
Keywords global dynamic vegetation model; LPJmL; grasslands; livestock production
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
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Notes CropM, LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4541
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Author Sándor, R.; Barcza, Z.; Hidy, D.; Lellei-Kovács, E.; Ma, S.; Bellocchi, G.
Title Modelling of grassland fluxes in Europe: evaluation of two biogeochemical models Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment Abbreviated Journal (up) Agric. Ecosyst. Environ.
Volume 215 Issue Pages 1-19
Keywords carbon-water fluxes; climate change; grasslands; model comparison; net ecosystem exchange; terrestrial carbon balance; pasture simulation-model; climate-change; nitrous-oxide; land-use; co2; photosynthesis; responses; water
Abstract Two independently developed simulation models – the grassland-specific PaSim and the biome-generic Biome-BGC MuSo (BBGC MuSo) – linking climate, soil, vegetation and management to ecosystem biogeochemical cycles were compared in a simulation of carbon (C) and water fluxes. The results were assessed against eddy-covariance flux data from five observational grassland sites representing a range of conditions in Europe: Grillenburg in Germany, Laqueuille in France with both extensive and intensive management, Monte Bondone in Italy and Oensingen in Switzerland. Model comparison (after calibration) gave substantial agreement, the performances being marginal to acceptable for weekly-aggregated gross primary production and ecosystem respiration (R-2 similar to 0.66 – 0.91), weekly evapotranspiration (R-2 similar to 0.78 – 0.94), soil water content in the topsoil (R-2 similar to 0.1 -0.7) and soil temperature (R-2 similar to 0.88 – 0.96). The bias was limited to the range -13 to 9 g C m(-2) week(-1) for C fluxes (-11 to 8 g C m(-2) week(-1) in case of BBGC MuSo, and -13 to 9 g C m(-2) week(-1) in case of PaSim) and -4 to 6 mm week for water fluxes (with BBGC MuSo providing somewhat higher estimates than PaSim), but some higher relative root mean square errors indicate low accuracy for prediction, especially for net ecosystem exchange The sensitivity of simulated outputs to changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration ([CO2]), temperature and precipitation indicate, with certain agreement between the two models, that C outcomes are dominated by [CO2] and temperature gradients, and are less due to precipitation. ET rates decrease with increasing [CO2] in PaSim (consistent with experimental knowledge), while lack of appropriate stomatal response could be a limit in BBGC MuSo responsiveness. Results of the study indicate that some of the errors might be related to the improper representation of soil water content and soil temperature. Improvement is needed in the model representations of soil processes (especially soil water balance) that strongly influence the biogeochemical cycles of managed and unmanaged grasslands. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Address 2016-10-31
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0167-8809 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4808
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Author Gomara, I.; Bellocchi, G.; Martin, R.; Rodriguez-Fonseca, B.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.
Title Influence of climate variability on the potential forage production of a mown permanent grassland in the French Massif Central Type Journal Article
Year 2020 Publication Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Abbreviated Journal (up) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Volume 280 Issue Pages 107768
Keywords climate variability; grasslands; potential yield; climate services; forage production forecasts; french massif central; pasture simulation-model; dry-matter production; atmospheric; circulation; crop yield; SST anomalies; maize yield; managed grasslands; storm track; ENSO; impacts
Abstract Climate Services (CS) provide support to decision makers across socio-economic sectors. In the agricultural sector, one of the most important CS applications is to provide timely and accurate yield forecasts based on climate prediction. In this study, the Pasture Simulation model (PaSim) was used to simulate, for the period 1959–2015, the forage production of a mown grassland system (Laqueuille, Massif Central of France) under different management conditions, with meteorological inputs extracted from the SAFRAN atmospheric database. The aim was to generate purely climate-dependent timeseries of optimal forage production, a variable that was maximized by brighter and warmer weather conditions at the grassland. A long-term increase was observed in simulated forage yield, with the 1995–2015 average being 29% higher than the 1959–1979 average. Such increase seems consistent with observed rising trends in temperature and CO2, and multi-decadal changes in incident solar radiation. At interannual timescales, sea surface temperature anomalies of the Mediterranean (MED), Tropical North Atlantic (TNA), equatorial Pacific (El Niño Southern Oscillation) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index were found robustly correlated with annual forage yield values. Relying only on climatic predictors, we developed a stepwise statistical multi-regression model with leave-one-out cross-validation. Under specific management conditions (e.g., three annual cuts) and from one to five months in advance, the generated model successfully provided a p-value<0.01 in correlation (t-test), a root mean square error percentage (%RMSE) of 14.6% and a 71.43% hit rate predicting above/below average years in terms of forage yield collection. This is the first modeling study on the possible role of large-scale oceanic–atmospheric teleconnections in driving forage production in Europe. As such, it provides a useful springboard to implement a grassland seasonal forecasting system in this continent.
Address 2020-06-08
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Language Summary Language Original Title
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Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5233
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