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Klatt, S.; Haas, E.; Hoffmann, H.; Zhao, G.; Van Bussel, L.G.J.; Enders, A.; Gaiser, T.; Ewert, F.; Teixeira, E.; Kiese, R.; Doro, L.; Specka, X.; Nendel, C.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Sosa, C.; Lewan, E.; Eckersten, H.; Gebbert, S.; Dechow, R.; Grosz, B.; Bach, M.; Yeluripati, J.; Tao, F.; Constantin, J.; Raynal, H.; Wallach, D.; Kuhnert, M. |
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Responses of soil N2O emissions and nitrate leaching on climate input data aggregation: a biogeochemistry model ensemble study |
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2014 |
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CropM International Symposium and Workshop |
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CropM International Symposium and Workshop, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12, Oslo, Norway |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5042 |
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van Bussel, L.G.J.; Ewert, F.; Zhao, G.; Hoffmann, H.; Enders, A.; Wallach, D.; Asseng, S.; Baigorria, G.A.; Basso, B.; Biernath, C.; Cammarano, D.; Chryssanthacopoulos, J.; Constantin, J.; Elliott, J.; Glotter, M.; Heinlein, F.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Klein, C.; Nendel, C.; Priesack, E.; Raynal, H.; Romero, C.C.; Rötter, R.P.; Specka, X.; Tao, F. |
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Title |
Spatial sampling of weather data for regional crop yield simulations |
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Journal Article |
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2016 |
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Agricultural and Forest Meteorology |
Abbreviated Journal |
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology |
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220 |
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101-115 |
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Regional crop simulations; Winter wheat; Upscaling; Stratified sampling; Yield estimates; climate-change scenarios; water availability; growth simulation; potential impact; food-production; winter-wheat; model; resolution; systems; soil |
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Field-scale crop models are increasingly applied at spatio-temporal scales that range from regions to the globe and from decades up to 100 years. Sufficiently detailed data to capture the prevailing spatio-temporal heterogeneity in weather, soil, and management conditions as needed by crop models are rarely available. Effective sampling may overcome the problem of missing data but has rarely been investigated. In this study the effect of sampling weather data has been evaluated for simulating yields of winter wheat in a region in Germany over a 30-year period (1982-2011) using 12 process-based crop models. A stratified sampling was applied to compare the effect of different sizes of spatially sampled weather data (10, 30, 50,100, 500, 1000 and full coverage of 34,078 sampling points) on simulated wheat yields. Stratified sampling was further compared with random sampling. Possible interactions between sample size and crop model were evaluated. The results showed differences in simulated yields among crop models but all models reproduced well the pattern of the stratification. Importantly, the regional mean of simulated yields based on full coverage could already be reproduced by a small sample of 10 points. This was also true for reproducing the temporal variability in simulated yields but more sampling points (about 100) were required to accurately reproduce spatial yield variability. The number of sampling points can be smaller when a stratified sampling is applied as compared to a random sampling. However, differences between crop models were observed including some interaction between the effect of sampling on simulated yields and the model used. We concluded that stratified sampling can considerably reduce the number of required simulations. But, differences between crop models must be considered as the choice for a specific model can have larger effects on simulated yields than the sampling strategy. Assessing the impact of sampling soil and crop management data for regional simulations of crop yields is still needed. |
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0168-1923 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4673 |
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van Bussel, L.G.J.; Stehfest, E.; Siebert, S.; Müller, C.; Ewert, F. |
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Simulation of the phenological development of wheat and maize at the global scale |
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Journal Article |
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2015 |
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Global Ecology and Biogeography |
Abbreviated Journal |
Glob. Ecol. Biogeogr. |
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24 |
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9 |
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1018-1029 |
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Agricultural management; crop calendars; cultivar; variety characteristics; global crop modelling; global harvest dates; phenology; climate-change; winter-wheat; annual crops; photoperiod sensitivity; geographical variation; temperature; responses; adaptation; cultivars; model |
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AimTo derive location-specific parameters that reflect the geographic differences among cultivars in vernalization requirements, sensitivity to day length (photoperiod) and temperature, which can be used to simulate the phenological development of wheat and maize at the global scale. LocationGlobal. Methods Based on crop calendar observations and literature describing the large-scale patterns of phenological characteristics of cultivars, we developed algorithms to compute location-specific parameters to represent this large-scale pattern. Vernalization requirements were related to the duration and coldness of winter, sensitivity to day length was assumed to be represented by the minimum and maximum day lengths occurring at a location, and sensitivity to temperature was related to temperature conditions during the vegetative development phase of the crop. Results Application of the derived location-specific parameters resulted in high agreement between simulated and observed lengths of the cropping period. Agreement was especially high for wheat, with mean absolute errors of less than 3 weeks. In the main maize cropping regions, cropping periods were over- and underestimated by 0.5-1.5 months. We also found that interannual variability in simulated wheat harvest dates was more realistic when accounting for photoperiod effects. Main conclusions The methodology presented here provides a good basis for modelling the phenological characteristics of cultivars at the global scale. We show that current global patterns of growing season length as described in cropping calendars can be largely reproduced by phenology models if location-specific parameters are derived from temperature and day length indicators. Growing seasons can be modelled more accurately for wheat than for maize, especially in warm regions. Our method for computing parameters for phenology models from temperature and day length offers opportunities to improve the simulation of crop productivity by crop simulation models developed for large spatial areas and for long-term climate impact projections that account for adaptation in the selection of varieties |
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1466-822x |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4729 |
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Zhao, G.; Hoffmann, H.; Van Bussel, L.G.J.; Enders, A.; Specka, X.; Sosa, C.; Yeluripati, J.; Tao, F.; Constantin, J.; Teixeira, E.; Doro, L.; Nendel, C.; Kiese, R.; Raynal, H.; Eckersten, H.; Haas, E.; Kuhnert, M.; Lewan, E.; Bach, M.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Rötter, R.; Wallach, D.; Gaiser, T.; Ewert, F. |
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Responses of crop’s water use efficiency to weather data aggregation: a crop model ensemble study |
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2014 |
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CropM International Symposium and Workshop |
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CropM International Symposium and Workshop, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12, Oslo, Norway |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5043 |
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Zhao, G.; Hoffmann, H.; Van Bussel, L.G.J.; Enders, A.; Specka, X.; Sosa, C.; Yeluripati, J.; Tao, F.; Constantin, J.; Teixeira, E.; Grosz, B.; Luca, D.; Zhao, Z.; Nendel, C.; Ralf, K.; Raynal, H.; Eckersten, H.; Haas, E.; Wang, E.; Kuhnert, M.; Lewan, E.; Bach, M.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Rötter, R.; Roggero, P.P.; Wallach, D.; Krauss, G.; Siebert, S.; Gaiser, T.; Cammarano, D.; Asseng, S.; Ewert, F. |
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Weather data aggregation’s effect on simulation of cropping systems: a model, production system and crop comparison |
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2014 |
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ESA Congress |
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13 Debrecen, |
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ESA Congress, 2014-08-25 to 2014-08-29, Debrecen, 13: |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5040 |
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