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Author Zimmermann, A.; Webber, H.; Zhao, G.; Ewert, F.; Kros, J.; Wolf, J.; Britz, W.; de Vries, W. doi  openurl
  Title Climate change impacts on crop yields, land use and environment in response to crop sowing dates and thermal time requirements Type Journal Article
  Year 2017 Publication Agricultural Systems Abbreviated Journal Agric. Syst.  
  Volume 157 Issue Pages 81-92  
  Keywords Integrated assessment; Crop management; Climate change; Europe; INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT; EUROPEAN AGRICULTURE; FOOD SECURITY; HEAT-STRESS; ADAPTATION; SYSTEMS; TEMPERATURE; SCENARIOS; WHEAT; PRODUCTIVITY; Vries W., 2011, ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION, V159, P3254  
  Abstract Impacts of climate change on European agricultural production, land use and the environment depend on its impact on crop yields. However, many impact studies assume that crop management remains unchanged in future scenarios, while farmers may adapt their sowing dates and cultivar thermal time requirements to minimize yield losses or realize yield gains. The main objective of this study was to investigate the sensitivity of climate change impacts on European crop yields, land use, production and environmental variables to adaptations in crops sowing dates and varieties’ thermal time requirements. A crop, economic and environmental model were coupled in an integrated assessment modelling approach for six important crops, for 27 countries of the European Union (EU27) to assess results of three SRES climate change scenarios to 2050. Crop yields under climate change were simulated considering three different management cases; (i) no change in crop management from baseline conditions (NoAd), (ii) adaptation of sowing date and thermal time requirements to give highest yields to 2050 (Opt) and (iii) a more conservative adaptation of sowing date and thermal time requirements (Act). Averaged across EU27, relative changes in water-limited crop yields due to climate change and increased CO2 varied between -6 and + 21% considering NoAd management, whereas impacts with Opt management varied between + 12 and + 53%, and those under Act management between 2 and + 27%. However, relative yield increases under climate change increased to + 17 and + 51% when technology progress was also considered. Importantly, the sensitivity to crop management assumptions of land use, production and environmental impacts were less pronounced than for crop yields due to the influence of corresponding market, farm resource and land allocation adjustments along the model chain acting via economic optimization of yields. We conclude that assumptions about crop sowing dates and thermal time requirements affect impact variables but to a different extent and generally decreasing for variables affected by economic drivers.  
  Address 2017-11-02  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 0308-521x ISBN Medium article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes CropM, TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5178  
Permanent link to this record
 
 
Author Zimmermann, A. openurl 
  Title Yield trends and variability in the EU Type Conference Article
  Year 2015 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords TradeM  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Reading (United Kingdom) Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference MACSUR Final Conference, 2015-04-08 to 2015-04-10, Reading  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2927  
Permanent link to this record
 
 
Author Witzke, P.; Frank, S.; Zimmermann, A.; Havlík, P.; Ciaian, P. openurl 
  Title The impact of climate change on food security – results from a European perspective Type Conference Article
  Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords TradeM  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference First International Conference on Global Food Security, Noordwijkerhout, The Netherlands, 2013-09-29 to 2013-10-02  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2904  
Permanent link to this record
 
 
Author Stocco, L.; Adenäuer, M.; Zimmermann, A. openurl 
  Title Global land use response in agricultural sector models: estimating supply and area response in Argentina Type Conference Article
  Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords TradeM  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference 133rd EAAE seminar Developing Integrated and Reliable Modeling Tools for Agricultural and Environmental Policy Analysis, Crete, Greece, 2013-06-15 to 2013-06-16  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2848  
Permanent link to this record
 
 
Author Zimmermann, A.; Adenäuer, M. openurl 
  Title Exploring yield trends and gaps in the EU Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords TradeM;  
  Abstract  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Hurdal (Norway) Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference MACSUR TradeM International Workshop »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, 2014-11-25 to 2014-11-27, Hurdal  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2928  
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