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Author Zander, P.
Title Modelling regional land use and climate change adaptation strategies in NorthernGermany Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR TradeM workshop: Exploring new ideas for trade and agriculture model integration for assessing the impacts of climate change on food security, The Natural Resource and Environmental Research Center (NRERC), University of Haifa, Israel, 2013-03-03 t
Notes (up) Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2914
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Author Zander, P.
Title Scenarios of regional agricultural land use under climate change for 4 case study regions in Northern Germany Type
Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 5 Issue Pages Sp5-73
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Abstract Agricultural land use in Northern Germany is characterized by a gradient of decreasing precipitation from west to east. Climate change is expected to increase temperature and decrease summer precipitation. In the context of a nationally funded project we aim to analyze climate change adaptation strategies for agricultural land use. The research is focused in 4 study regions from Eastern to Western Germany. The presented modelling approach analyses agricultural land use under climate change and for three policy scenarios (business as usual, biodiversity and climate protection). The biodiversity and climate protection scenarios each reserve area for specific scenario objectives: 10% for specific biodiversity measures and 20% for N-fixing legumes in case of the climate protection scenario. All scenarios are executed for three time steps representing year 2010, 2020 and 2030 with a constant yield increase, extrapolated from past observations. Building on IACS data for a farm typology and expert assessments of current and future land use options, we applied a linear programming farm model. Prices are exogenous and derived from CAPRI model runs for 2020 and 2030. First preliminary results show strong impacts of price assumptions and yield assessments. This results in 2020 in lower gross margins for a number of crops and finally to higher set aside areas in eastern Germany. For 2030 input–output price relations are more favourable for farmers and thus lead to lower set aside areas. No Label
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK
Notes (up) Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2188
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Author Zander, P.; Schuler, J.; Porwollik, V.; Hecker, J.-M.
Title Modelling approach and first results on irrigation as climate change adaptation strategy of the project NaLaMa-nT Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
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Abstract The project NaLaMa-nT examines in the context of climate change sustainable development paths of land use in four different rural districts in Northern Germany. These districts were chosen along a soil-climate gradient from west to east with increasing water deficit for plant growth caused by both: decreasing rain fall and decreasing soil quality. In front of this background different trends and developments of agricultural production can be derived from analysing, modelling and comparing existing production systems and conditions of the different regions. One assumption developed from existing climate projections is that climate change will cause increasing water deficits for plant growth – especially in the eastern part of Germany. An obvious solution is to intensify agricultural production using existing irrigation methods that can reduce the yield risk and thus stabilize income from agriculture by avoiding yield failures and increasing the overall yield level. Therefore we build a modelling approach which allows an economic analysis both on the crop production activity level as well on the farm level. The data base comprises data representing recent production techniques and added optional irrigation techniques. The yields and input level changes are derived from literature studies and expert interviews. The farm structure is represented and modeled based on typical farms chosen from an IACS-data farm typology with different production potentials and patterns. First results will be presented in April.
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Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference
Series Volume 3(S) Sassari, Italy Series Issue Edition
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Area Expedition Conference FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy
Notes (up) Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5106
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Author Zander, P.; Hecker, J.-M.; Hufnagel, J.; Porwollik, V.; Svoboda, N.
Title Modelling regional land use and climate change adaptation strategies in Northern Germany Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR TradeM Workshop on Global Food Security Challenges – European Research approaches. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Müncheberg, Germany, 2013-11-18 to 2013-11-20
Notes (up) Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2915
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Author Zander, P.
Title Modelling regional agricultural land use and climate change adaptation strategies in 4 case study regions Northern Germany Type
Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 4 Issue Pages SP4-22
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Area Expedition Conference TradeM International Workshop 2014 »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, 25–27 November 2014, Hurdalsjø, Norway
Notes (up) Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2212
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