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Author Del Prado, A.; van den Pol-van Dasselaar, A.; Chadwick, D.; Misselbrook, T.; Sandars, D.L.; Audsley, E.; Mosquera-Losada, M.R. url  openurl
  Title Synergies between mitigation and adaption to climate change in grassland-based farming systems Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal (up)  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords LiveM  
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  Area Expedition Conference 25th EGF General Meeting on “EGF at 50: The Future of European Grasslands”. - Grassland Science in Europe 19. Aberystwyth, Wales : EGF, 2014 - p. 61 - 74., 2014-09-07 to 2014-09-11  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2386  
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Author Sandars, D. url  openurl
  Title Understanding Europe’s future ability to feed itself within an uncertain climate change and socio economic scenario space Type
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal (up)  
  Volume 5 Issue Pages Sp5-54  
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  Abstract Europe’s ability to feed its population depends on the balance of agricultural productivity (yields and land suitability) and demand which are affected by future climate and socio-economic change (arising from changing food demand; prices; technology change etc).  Land use under 2050 climate change and socio-economic scenarios can be rapidly and systematically quantified with a modelling system that has been developed from meta-models of optimal cropping and crop and forest yields derived from the outputs of the previously developed complex models (Audsley et al; 2015). Profitability of each possible land use is modelled for every soil in every grid across the EU. Land use in a grid is then allocated based on profit thresholds set for intensive agriculture extensive agriculture, managed forest and finally unmanaged forest or unmanaged land.  The European demand for food as a function of population, imports, food preferences and bioenergy, is a production constraint, as is irrigation water available.   The model iterates until demand is satisfied (or cannot be met at any price).  Results are presented as contour plots of key variables. For example, given a 40% increase in population from the baseline socio-economic scenario, adapting by increasing crop yields by 40% will leave a 38% probability that the 2050 future climate will be such that we cannot feed ourselves – considering “all” the possible climate scenarios. No Label  
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  Area Expedition Conference MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2169  
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Author Del Prado, A.; Van den Pol-van Dasselaar, A.; Chadwick, D.; Misselbrook, T.; Sandars, D.; Audsley, E.; Mosquera-Losada, M.; R, url  openurl
  Title Synergies between mitigation and adaptation to Climate Change in grassland-based farming systems Type Report
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal (up)  
  Volume 6 Issue Pages D-L3.3  
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  Abstract Climate change mitigation and adaptation have generally been considered in separate settings for both scientific and policy viewpoints. Recently, it has been stressed (e.g. by the latest IPCC reports) the importance to consider both mitigation and adaptation from land management together. To date, although there is already large amount of studies considering climate mitigation and adaptation in relation to grassland-based systems, there are no studies that analyse the potential synergies and tradeoffs for the main climate change mitigation and adaptation measures within the current European Policy context. This paper reviews which mitigation and adaptation measures interact with each other and how, and it explores the potential limitations and strengths of the different policy instruments that may have an effect in European grassland-based livestock systems. No Label  
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  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2109  
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Author Sandars, D.; Audsley, E.; Holman, I. url  openurl
  Title Predicting the optimum land use at any location for any future scenario (CLIMSAVE/IMPRESSIONS) Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal (up)  
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  Abstract Given any socio-, techno-, economic scenario and location specific soil and climate scenario, the farm model predicts the most profitable land use at that location.  This model is encapsulated within a Europe-wide interactive interface, to allow adaptation and mitigation options to be explored by any user.  With 5 climate models and 19 parameters, the user can study the sensitivity of the results to the chosen scenario settings.  A scenario’s land use can be classified as intensive arable, intensive grassland, extensive grassland, forestry, or abandoned depending on potential profitability.  
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  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference  
  Series Volume 3(S) Sassari, Italy Series Issue Edition  
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  Area Expedition Conference FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5113  
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Author Sandars, D. url  openurl
  Title Optimal Land-use Future Scenarios Nordic Area Type
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal (up)  
  Volume 4 Issue Pages SP4-14  
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  Area Expedition Conference TradeM International Workshop 2014 »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, 25–27 November 2014, Hurdalsjø, Norway  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2204  
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