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	Author	Sánchez, B.; Rasmussen, A.; Porter, J.R.
	Title	Temperatures and the growth and development of maize and rice: a review			Type	Journal Article
	Year	2014	Publication	Global Change Biology	Abbreviated Journal	Glob. Chang. Biol.
	Volume	20	Issue	2	Pages	408-417
	Keywords	Climate Change; Oryza/growth & development; Temperature; Zea mays/growth & development; cardinal temperatures; climatic change impacts; development; growth; lethal temperatures; maize; rice
	Abstract	Because of global land surface warming, extreme temperature events are expected to occur more often and more intensely, affecting the growth and development of the major cereal crops in several ways, thus affecting the production component of food security. In this study, we have identified rice and maize crop responses to temperature in different, but consistent, phenological phases and development stages. A literature review and data compilation of around 140 scientific articles have determined the key temperature thresholds and response to extreme temperature effects for rice and maize, complementing an earlier study on wheat. Lethal temperatures and cardinal temperatures, together with error estimates, have been identified for phenological phases and development stages. Following the methodology of previous work, we have collected and statistically analysed temperature thresholds of the three crops for the key physiological processes such as leaf initiation, shoot growth and root growth and for the most susceptible phenological phases such as sowing to emergence, anthesis and grain filling. Our summary shows that cardinal temperatures are conservative between studies and are seemingly well defined in all three crops. Anthesis and ripening are the most sensitive temperature stages in rice as well as in wheat and maize. We call for further experimental studies of the effects of transgressing threshold temperatures so such responses can be included into crop impact and adaptation models.
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language	English	Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	1354-1013	ISBN		Medium	Article
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Notes	CropM, ftnotmacsur, IPCC-AR5			Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	4693
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	Author	Montesino-San Martín, M.; Olesen, J.E.; Porter, J.R.
	Title	Can crop-climate models be accurate and precise? A case study for wheat production in Denmark			Type	Journal Article
	Year	2015	Publication	Agricultural and Forest Meteorology	Abbreviated Journal	Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
	Volume	202	Issue		Pages	51-60
	Keywords	Uncertainty; Model intercomparison; Bayesian approach; Climate change; Wheat; Denmark; uncertainty analysis; simulation-models; bayesian-approach; change; impact; yields; variability; projections; scale; calibration; framework
	Abstract	Crop models, used to make projections of climate change impacts, differ greatly in structural detail. Complexity of model structure has generic effects on uncertainty and error propagation in climate change impact assessments. We applied Bayesian calibration to three distinctly different empirical and mechanistic wheat models to assess how differences in the extent of process understanding in models affects uncertainties in projected impact. Predictive power of the models was tested via both accuracy (bias) and precision (or tightness of grouping) of yield projections for extrapolated weather conditions. Yields predicted by the mechanistic model were generally more accurate than the empirical models for extrapolated conditions. This trend does not hold for all extrapolations; mechanistic and empirical models responded differently due to their sensitivities to distinct weather features. However, higher accuracy comes at the cost of precision of the mechanistic model to embrace all observations within given boundaries. The approaches showed complementarity in sensitivity to weather variables and in accuracy for different extrapolation domains. Their differences in model precision and accuracy make them suitable for generic model ensembles for near-term agricultural impact assessments of climate change.
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language	English	Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN	0168-1923	ISBN		Medium	Article
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Notes	CropM, ftnotmacsur			Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	4572
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	Author	Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Ferrise, R.; Rodríguez, A.; Lorite, I.J.; Tao, F.; Pirttioja, N.; Fronzek, S.; Palosuo, T.; Carter, T.R.; Bindi, M.; Höhn, J.G.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Trnka, M.; Hoffmann, H.; Baranowski, P.; Buis, S.; Cammarano, D.; Deligios, P.A.U.-, P.H.; Minet, J.; Montesino, M.; Porter, J.; Recio, J.; Ruget, F.; Sanz, A.; Steinmetz, Z.; Stratonovitch, P.; Supit, I.; Ventrella, D.; Wit, A.D.; Rötter, R.P.
	Title	Wheat yield potential in Europe under climate change explored by adaptation response surfaces			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2016	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication	Montpellier (France)	Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	6th AgMIP Global Workshop, 2016-06-28 to 2016-06-30, Montpellier, France
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	4886
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	Author	Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Ferrise, R.; Rodríguez, A.; Lorite, I.J.; Pirttioja, N.; Fronzek, S.; Palosuo, T.; Carter, T.R.; Bindi, M.; Höhn, J.G.; Baranowski, P.; Buis, S.; Cammarano, D.; Claas, N.; Deligios, P.; Havlinka, P.; Hoffmann, H.; Jurecka, F.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Krzyszczak, J.; Lana, M.; Mechiche-Alami, A.; Minet, J.; Montesino, M.; Porter, J.; Recio, J.; Ruget, F.; Sanz, A.; Steinmetz, Z.; Stratonovitch, P.; Supit, I.; Tao, F.; Trnka, M.; Ventrella, D.; de Wit, A.; Rötter, R.P.
	Title	Adaptation response surfaces from an ensemble of wheat projections under climate change in Europe			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2016	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication	Vienna (Austria)	Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume	Geophysical Research Abstracts	Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	European GeoSciences Union (EGU), General Assembly 2016, 2016-04-17 to 2016-04-22, Vienna, Austria
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	4887
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	Author	Bennetzen, E.; Smith, P.; Porter, J.R.
	Title	Identity-based analysis of GHG emissions from agriculture			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2016	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication	Berlin (Germany)	Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	International Crop Modelling Symposium iCROPM 2016, 2016-05-15 to 2016-05-17, Berlin, Germany
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	4914
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