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Author Persson, T.; Höglind, M.; Gustavsson, A.-M.; Halling, M.; Jauhiainen, L.; Niemeläinen, O.; Thorvaldsson, G.; Virkajärvi, P. doi  openurl
  Title Evaluation of the LINGRA timothy model under Nordic conditions Type Journal Article
  Year (down) 2014 Publication Field Crops Research Abbreviated Journal Field Crops Research  
  Volume 161 Issue Pages 87-97  
  Keywords crop model; forage grass; perennial ley; simulation model; nutritive-value; climate-change; systems simulation; growth; dynamics; crop; performance; regrowth; calibration; pastures  
  Abstract Simulation models are frequently applied to determine the production potential of forage grasses under various scenarios, including climate change. Thorough calibrations and evaluations of forage grass models can help improve their applicability. This study evaluated the ability of the Light Interception and Utilization Simulator-GRAss (LINGRA) model to predict biomass yield of timothy (Phleum pratense L. cv. Grindstad) in the Nordic countries. Variety trial data for the first and second year after establishment were obtained for seven locations: Jokioinen, Finland (60 degrees 48 ‘ N; 23 degrees 29 ‘ E), Maaninka, Finland (63 degrees 09 ‘ N; 27 degrees 18 ‘ E), Korpa, Iceland (64 degrees 09 ‘ N; 21 degrees 45 ‘ W), Srheim, Norway (58 degrees 41 ‘ N; 5 degrees 39 ‘ E), Lillerud, Sweden (59 degrees 24’ N; 13 degrees 16 ‘ E), Ostersund, Sweden (63 degrees 15 ‘ N; 14 degrees 34 ‘ E) and Ulna Sweden (63 degrees 49 ‘ N; 20 degrees 13 ‘ E) from 1992 to 2012. Two calibrations of the LINGRA model were carried out using Bayesian techniques. In the first of these (SRrheim calibration), data on biomass yield and underlying variables obtained from independent field trials at Srheim were used. In the second (Nordic calibration), biomass data from the other locations were used as well. The model was validated against the remaining set of biomass yields from all locations not included in the Nordic calibration. The observed total seasonal yield the first and second year after establishment was 913 and 991 g DM m(-2) respectively on average across the locations. The corresponding average simulated yield after the Srheim calibration was 1044 (root mean square error (RMSE) 258) and 1112 g DM m(-2) (RMSE 312), respectively. After the Nordic calibration, the simulated average total seasonal yield was 863 (RMSE 242) the first year and 927 g DM m(-2) (RMSE 271) the second year after establishment. The differences between the observed and simulated first cut yield followed the same patterns, whereas the prediction accuracy for second cut yield did not differ substantially between the calibration approaches.Using the parameter set from the Nordic region decreased the model predictability at Srheim compared with only using model parameters derived from this location. These results show that using biomass data from several locations, instead of only one specific location, in the calibration of the LINGRA model improved the overall prediction accuracy of first cut dry matter yield and total seasonal dry matter yield across an environmentally heterogeneous region. To further analyse the usefulness of including multi-site data in forage grass model calibrations, other forage grass models could be evaluated against the same dataset.  
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  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
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  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 0378-4290 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4634  
Permanent link to this record
 

 
Author Persson, T.; Kværnø, S.; Höglind, M. url  openurl
  Title Determining the impact of soil regionalization and climate change on wheat and timothy grass yield in southeastern Norway Type Conference Article
  Year (down) 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
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  Abstract Southeastern Norway is characterized by variable soils, which affect its agricultural productivity. The region is dominated by cereal production, but livestock farming with forage crops has increased the latest years. Climate and socio-economic changes could entail a shift from the current production areas of cereal and forage crops. In this study we used the mechanistic models CSM-CERES and LINGRA to evaluate impacts of climate change and soil variability on wheat and timothy yields in Akerhus and Østfold Counties in Southeastern Norway. The models were run for historical (1961-90) and projected future (2046-2065) climatic conditions, and for four soil regionalizations of different resolution (1, 5, 16 and 76 representative soil profiles). The extrapolation of soil characteristics was based on similarities in texture, organic matter, layering and water holding capacity. Across the whole region, there were small differences in both spring wheat and timothy yield between the different soil regionalization resolutions. However, within certain districts within the region the differences in wheat grain yield and timothy biomass yield among the soil resolutions were up to 20 percent. These results indicate that a relatively detailed resolution of the soil proporties is preferred to better understand the impact of shifts in production between cereals and forage grasses on yield level  if spatial variability within regions is considered. The climate change scenario used indicated increased yields of both crop types in a future climate. Further steps could include a weighting of the wheat and timothy production across soils according to economic analyses.  
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  Language Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference  
  Series Volume 3(S) Sassari, Italy Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5072  
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Author Persson, T., Höglind M, Gustavsson AM, Halling M, Jauhianen L, Niemeläinen O, Torvaldsson G, Virkajärvi P. openurl 
  Title Evaluation of the BASGRA timothy model under Nordic conditions Type Conference Article
  Year (down) 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords CropM  
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  Area Expedition Conference NJF Seminar 455 Nordic Forage Model Applications- predicting forage yield and quality in a variable and changing climate, Forssa, Finland, NJF Report Vol. 9 No. 1 2013, p 4-5., 2013-01-30 to 2013-01-31  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2714  
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Author Persson, T.; Höglind, M. url  openurl
  Title Assessment of harvest security of timothy under climate change condition using a set of simple criteria Type Conference Article
  Year (down) 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
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  Keywords CropM  
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  Area Expedition Conference Proceedings of the 22nd International Grasslands Congress, Sydney, Australia, 2013-09-15 to 2013-09-19  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2715  
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Author Höglind, M.; Persson, T.; van Oijen, M. openurl 
  Title Identifying target traits for forage grass breeding under a changing climate in Norway using the BASGRA model Type Conference Article
  Year (down) 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords CropM  
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  Area Expedition Conference Proceedings of the 22nd International Grasslands Congress, Sydney, Australia, 2013-09-15 to 2013-09-19  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2483  
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