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Author Mitter, H.; Heumesser, C.; Schmid, E.
Title Spatial modeling of robust crop production portfolios to assess agricultural vulnerability and adaptation to climate change Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Land Use Policy Abbreviated Journal Land Use Policy
Volume (down) 46 Issue Pages 75-90
Keywords climate change impact; adaptation; agricultural vulnerability; portfolio optimization; agricultural policy; agri-environmental payment; adaptive capacity; change impacts; risk-aversion; land-use; ecosystem services; change scenarios; europe; policy; future; water
Abstract Agricultural vulnerability to climate change is likely to vary considerably between agro-environmental regions. Exemplified on Austrian cropland, we aim at (i) quantifying climate change impacts on agricultural vulnerability which is approximated by the indicators crop yields and gross margins, (ii) developing robust crop production portfolios for adaptation, and (iii) analyzing the effect of agricultural policies and risk aversion on the choice of crop production portfolios. We have employed a spatially explicit, integrated framework to assess agricultural vulnerability and adaptation. It combines a statistical climate change model for Austria and the period 2010-2040, a crop rotation model, the bio-physical process model EPIC (Environmental Policy Integrated Climate), and a portfolio optimization model. We find that under climate change, crop production portfolios include higher shares of intensive crop management practices, increasing average crop yields by 2-15% and expected gross margins by 3-18%, respectively. The results depend on the choice of adaptation measures and on the level of risk aversion and vary by region. In the semi-arid eastern parts of Austria, average dry matter crop yields are lower but gross margins are higher than in western Austria due to bio-physical and agronomic heterogeneities. An abolishment of decoupled farm payments and a threefold increase in agri-environmental premiums would reduce nitrogen inputs by 23-33%, but also crop yields and gross margins by 18-37%, on average. From a policy perspective, a twofold increase in agri-environmental premiums could effectively reduce the trade-offs between crop production and environmental impacts. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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ISSN 0264-8377 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4675
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Author Mitter, H.; Schmid, E.; Schneider, U.A.
Title Modelling impacts of drought and adaptation scenarios on crop production in Austria (Modellierung von Auswirkungen verschiedener Dürre- und Anpassungsszenarien auf die agrarische Pflanzenproduktion in Österreich) Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Jahrbuch der ÖGA Abbreviated Journal
Volume (down) 24 Issue Pages 223-234
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Area Expedition Conference 24. Jahrestagung der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie, 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-26, Vienna
Notes TradeM Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5026
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Author Mitter, H.; Sinabell, F.; Schmid, E.
Title Impacts of climate and policy change on Austrian protein crop supply balances Type Conference Article
Year 2015 Publication Jahrbuch der ÖGA Abbreviated Journal
Volume (down) 23 Issue Pages 131-140
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Area Expedition Conference 23. ÖGA Jahrestagung gemeinsam mit der 41. SGA-Jahrestagung “Grenzen der Qualitätsstrategie im Agrarsektor”, 2013-09-12 to 2013-09-14, Zürich
Notes TradeM Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5030
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Author Schönhart, M.; Mitter, H.; Schmid, E.; Heinrich, G.; Gobiet, A.
Title An integrated analysis on Austrian agriculture: Climate change impacts and adaptation measures Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Area Expedition Conference 4th Annual AgMIP Workshop, New York, USA, 2013-10-28 to 2013-10-30
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2806
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Author Seifried, A.; Sinabell, F.; Mitter, H.; E., S.
Title Analysing stochastic dominance of soybean and maize production in Austria Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume (down) Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference Lebensmittelversorgung, Lebensmittelsicherheit und Ernährungssouveränität Food security, safety and sovereignty, 24. Jahrestagung der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie, Wien, 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-26
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2816
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