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Author Bellocchi, G.; Martin, R.; Shtiliyanova, A.; Ben Touhami, H.; Carrère, P.
Title Vul’Clim – Climate change vulnerability studies in the region Auvergne (France) Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication (up) Abbreviated Journal
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Abstract The region Auvergne (France) is a major livestock territory in Europe (beef and dairy cattle with permanent grasslands), with a place in climate change regional studies assisting policy makers and actors in identifying adaptation and mitigation measures. Vul’Clim is a research grant (Bourse Recherche Filière) of the region Auvergne (February 2014-September 2015) to develop model-based vulnerability analysis approaches for a detailed assessment of climate change impacts at regional scale. Its main goal is the creation of a computer-aided platform for vulnerability assessment of grasslands, in interaction with stakeholders from a cluster of eco-enterprises. A modelling engine provided by the mechanistic, biogeochemical model PaSim (Pasture Simulation model) is the core of the platform. An action studies the changes of scales by varying the granularity of the data available at a given scale (e.g. climate data supplied by global scenarios) to let them being exploited at another scale (e.g. high-resolution pixels). Another action is to develop an assessment framework linking modelling tools to entry data and outputs, including a variety of components: data-entry manager at different spatial resolutions; automatic computation of indicators; gap-filling and data quality check; simulation kernel with the model(s) used; device to represent results as maps and integrated indicators.
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Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference
Series Volume 3(S) Sassari, Italy Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5140
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Author Sándor, R.; Ehrhardt, F.; Basso, B.; Bellocchi, G.; Bhatia, A.; Brilli, L.; Migliorati, M.D.A.; Doltra, J.; Dorich, C.; Doro, L.; Fitton, N.; Giacomini, S.J.; Grace, P.; Grant, B.; Harrison, M.T.; Jones, S.; Kirschbaum, M.U.F.; Klumpp, K.; Laville, P.; Léonard, J.; Liebig, M.; Lieffering, M.; Martin, R.; McAuliffe, R.; Meier, E.; Merbold, L.; Moore, A.; Myrgiotis, V.; Newton, P.; Pattey, E.; Recous, S.; Rolinski, S.; Sharp, J.; Massad, R.S.; Smith, P.; Smith, W.; Snow, V.; Wu, L.; Zhang, Q.; Soussana, J.F.
Title C and N models Intercomparison – benchmark and ensemble model estimates for grassland production Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal Advances in Animal Biosciences
Volume 7 Issue 03 Pages 245-247
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 2040-4700 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4868
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Author Gomara, I.; Bellocchi, G.; Martin, R.; Rodriguez-Fonseca, B.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.
Title Influence of climate variability on the potential forage production of a mown permanent grassland in the French Massif Central Type Journal Article
Year 2020 Publication (up) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Abbreviated Journal Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Volume 280 Issue Pages 107768
Keywords climate variability; grasslands; potential yield; climate services; forage production forecasts; french massif central; pasture simulation-model; dry-matter production; atmospheric; circulation; crop yield; SST anomalies; maize yield; managed grasslands; storm track; ENSO; impacts
Abstract Climate Services (CS) provide support to decision makers across socio-economic sectors. In the agricultural sector, one of the most important CS applications is to provide timely and accurate yield forecasts based on climate prediction. In this study, the Pasture Simulation model (PaSim) was used to simulate, for the period 1959–2015, the forage production of a mown grassland system (Laqueuille, Massif Central of France) under different management conditions, with meteorological inputs extracted from the SAFRAN atmospheric database. The aim was to generate purely climate-dependent timeseries of optimal forage production, a variable that was maximized by brighter and warmer weather conditions at the grassland. A long-term increase was observed in simulated forage yield, with the 1995–2015 average being 29% higher than the 1959–1979 average. Such increase seems consistent with observed rising trends in temperature and CO2, and multi-decadal changes in incident solar radiation. At interannual timescales, sea surface temperature anomalies of the Mediterranean (MED), Tropical North Atlantic (TNA), equatorial Pacific (El Niño Southern Oscillation) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) index were found robustly correlated with annual forage yield values. Relying only on climatic predictors, we developed a stepwise statistical multi-regression model with leave-one-out cross-validation. Under specific management conditions (e.g., three annual cuts) and from one to five months in advance, the generated model successfully provided a p-value<0.01 in correlation (t-test), a root mean square error percentage (%RMSE) of 14.6% and a 71.43% hit rate predicting above/below average years in terms of forage yield collection. This is the first modeling study on the possible role of large-scale oceanic–atmospheric teleconnections in driving forage production in Europe. As such, it provides a useful springboard to implement a grassland seasonal forecasting system in this continent.
Address 2020-06-08
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5233
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Author Lardy, R.; Bellocchi, G.; Martin, R.
Title Vuln-Indices: Software to assess vulnerability to climate change Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication (up) Computers and Electronics in Agriculture Abbreviated Journal Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Volume 114 Issue Pages 53-57
Keywords climate change; Java; vulnerability indices; pasture simulation-model; integrated assessment; environmental-change; change impacts; system
Abstract Vuln-Indices Java-based software was developed on concepts of vulnerability to climate change of agro-ecological systems. It implements the calculation of vulnerability indices on series of state variables for assessments at both site and region levels. The tool is useful because synthetic indices help capturing complex processes and prove effective to identify the factors responsible for vulnerability and their relative importance. It is suggested that the tool may be plausible for use with stakeholders to disseminate information of climate change impacts. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0168-1699 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4648
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Author Eza, U.; Shtiliyanova, A.; Borras, D.; Bellocchi, G.; Carrère, P.; Martin, R.
Title An open platform to assess vulnerabilities to climate change: An application to agricultural systems Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication (up) Ecological Informatics Abbreviated Journal Ecological Informatics
Volume 30 Issue Pages 389-396
Keywords climate change; grasslands; modeling platform; vulnerability assessment; pasture simulation-model; software component; solar-radiation; crop production; change impacts; adaptation; indicator; makers
Abstract Numerous climate futures are now available from global climate models. Translation of climate data such as precipitation and temperatures into ecologically meaningful outputs for managers and planners is the next frontier. We describe a model-based open platform to assess vulnerabilities of agricultural systems to climate change on pixel-wise data. The platform includes a simulation modeling engine and is suited to work with NetCDF format of input and output files. In a case study covering a region (Auvergne) in the Massif Central of France, the platform is configured to characterize climate (occurrence of arid conditions in historical and projected climate records), soils and human management, and is then used to assess the vulnerability to climate change of grassland productivity (downscaled to a fine scale). We demonstrate how using climate time series, and process-based simulations vulnerabilities can be defined at fine spatial scales relevant to farmers and land managers, and can be incorporated into management frameworks. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1574-9541 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4708
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