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Author Liu, X.; Lehtonen, H.; Purola, T.; Pavlova, Y.; Rötter, R.; Palosuo, T.
Title Dynamic economic modelling of crop rotations with farm management practices under future pest pressure Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication Agricultural Systems Abbreviated Journal Agricultural Systems
Volume 144 Issue Pages 65-76
Keywords Farm management; Dynamic optimization; Crop rotation; Risk aversion; Climate change; Prices; climate-change; sequester carbon; changing climate; food security; challenge; Finland; ensembles; systems; europe; tool
Abstract Agricultural practice is facing multiple challenges under volatile commodity markets, inevitable climate change, mounting pest pressure and various other environment-related constraints. The objective of this research is to present a dynamic optimization model of crop rotations and farm management and show its suitability for economic analysis over a 30 year time period. In this model, we include management practices such as fertilization, fungicide treatment and liming, and apply it in a region in Southwestern Finland. Results show that (i) growing pest pressure favours the cultivation of wheat-oats and wheat-oilseeds combinations, while (ii) market prices largely determine the crops in the rotation plan and the specific management practices adopted. The flexibility of our model can also be utilized in evaluating the value of other management options such as new cultivars under different projections of future climate and market conditions.
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ISSN 0308521x ISBN Medium Article
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Notes CropM, TradeM, ftnotmacsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial (down) 4719
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Author Liu, X.; Lehtonen, H.; Purola, T.; Pavlova, Y.; Rötter, R.P., T.
Title Dynamic economic modelling of crop rotation with adaptation practices Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference 14th EAAE Congress, Ljubljana (Slovenia), 2014-08-26 to 2014-08-29
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial (down) 2604
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Author Lehtonen, H.; Liu, X.; Purola, T.
Title Balancing Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation with Socio-Economic Goals at Farms in Northern Europe Type Book Chapter
Year 2015 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Keywords TradeM
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Publisher Routledge Place of Publication Editor Paloviita, A.; Järvelä, M.
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Climate Adaptation, Policy and Food Supply Chain Management in Europe Abbreviated Series Title
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Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial (down) 2598
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Author Lehtonen, H.; Liu, X.; Purola, T.
Title Endogenising yield development through management and crop rotation decisions in dynamic farm level modeling Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference 42. Jahrestagung der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie, Wien, 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-26
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial (down) 2597
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Author Lehtonen, H.S.; Kässi, P.; Korhonen, P.; Niskanen, O.; Rötter, R.; Palosuo, T.; Liu, X.; Purola, T.
Title Specific problems and solutions in climate change adaptation in North Savo region Type Report
Year 2014 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 3 Issue Pages Sp3-10
Keywords
Abstract Crop production for feed dominates land use in North Savo in eastern Finland. The value of dairy and beef production is appr. 70 % of the total value of agricultural production of the region. In climate change adaptation research we are especially interested in dairy and meat sectors, which are directly dependent on the development of productivity of crop production. Climate change implies changes in cereals and forage crop yields and nutritive quality. There are most likely increasing problems and risks related to overwintering and growing periods. Grass silage is mainly self-produced on farms and most often there is no market for silage. Silage production and use are vulnerable to changes in local climate, because lost yield cannot be easily replaced from market. Risks and costs due to increasing inter-annual yield volatility can be reduced by good management practices, such as crop rotation, plant protection, soil improvements and better crop protection against plant diseases.However the profitability of such measures is dependent on market and policy conditions. Nevertheless new cultivars and species, as well as various options for production and risk management, are most likely needed in future climate. Some adaptations may have multiple benefits which however may realize only in medium or long run. It is important to safeguard the most important and obviously needed adaptations, and identify market and socio-economic conditions which inhibit farmers from necessary adaptations and lead to reduced productivity and increased production costs. No Label
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Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial (down) 2227
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