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Author (up) Liu, X.; Lehtonen, H.; Purola, T.; Pavlova, Y.; Rötter, R.; Palosuo, T.
Title Dynamic economic modelling of crop rotations with farm management practices under future pest pressure Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication Agricultural Systems Abbreviated Journal Agricultural Systems
Volume 144 Issue Pages 65-76
Keywords Farm management; Dynamic optimization; Crop rotation; Risk aversion; Climate change; Prices; climate-change; sequester carbon; changing climate; food security; challenge; Finland; ensembles; systems; europe; tool
Abstract Agricultural practice is facing multiple challenges under volatile commodity markets, inevitable climate change, mounting pest pressure and various other environment-related constraints. The objective of this research is to present a dynamic optimization model of crop rotations and farm management and show its suitability for economic analysis over a 30 year time period. In this model, we include management practices such as fertilization, fungicide treatment and liming, and apply it in a region in Southwestern Finland. Results show that (i) growing pest pressure favours the cultivation of wheat-oats and wheat-oilseeds combinations, while (ii) market prices largely determine the crops in the rotation plan and the specific management practices adopted. The flexibility of our model can also be utilized in evaluating the value of other management options such as new cultivars under different projections of future climate and market conditions.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 0308521x ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, TradeM, ftnotmacsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4719
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Author (up) Liu, X.; Lehtonen, H.; Purola, T.; Pavlova, Y.; Rötter, R.P., T.
Title Dynamic economic modelling of crop rotation with adaptation practices Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference 14th EAAE Congress, Ljubljana (Slovenia), 2014-08-26 to 2014-08-29
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2604
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