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Author (up) Lehtonen, H. url  openurl
  Title Case 2: More strategic farm management needed to adapt to climate change in the North Savo region Type Conference Article
  Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
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  Abstract Presentation SC 2.10 Farming systems. Case 2: More strategic farm management needed to adapt to climate change in the North Savo region, Heikki Lehtonen, Natural Resources Institute Finland (LUKE), Finland (2016). Presented at the international conference Adaptation Futures 2016, Rotterdam, the Netherlands. No Label  
  Address  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Place of Publication Rotterdam (Netherlands) Editor  
  Language Summary Language Original Title  
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  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN ISBN Medium  
  Area Expedition Conference AdaptationFutures 2016, 10-13 May 2016, Rotterdam  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2593  
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Author (up) Lehtonen, H. openurl 
  Title Evaluating competitiveness of clover-grass as a resilient feed production option in Finland Type Report
  Year 2016 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 9 C6 - Issue Pages Sp9-4  
  Keywords  
  Abstract Clover-grasses address the following objectives:– Decreased input use (N-fertilization), reduced dependency ofinorganic N => reduced GHG emissions– Possibility for increased protein content of silage, reduceddependency on purchased protein feed supplement (homegrown proteins, resilience)© Natural Resources Institute Finland– Better utilisation of farmland in the context of climate changein the north: Higher T – improved N fixation– Compatible with sustainable agriculture and sustainableintensification: more output with the same inputs / the sameoutput with reduced (non-renewable) inputs• In contrast: Shifting to silage maize increases N fertilisation– Major shift from grasslands to silage maize in e.g. Denmark 1. Small cost reductions in clover-grass cultivation, or clover-grasspremiums, may or may not increase clover cultivation- Their effectiveness is uncertain and subject to prices2. N tax is effective, but is not a suitable policy action in currentfinancial situation of farms (milk crisis 2015-2016)3. However, the results suggest that a 25% higher N price lead to© Natural Resources Institute Finlandsignificantly higher clover grass area and a small reduction ínmilk output – with no cost reductions or extra premiums!4. To increase clover cultivation, price ratios should be adjusted!5. If increasing clover -grass yield, a robust increase in clovergrass areas may realise, with small benefits for farm economyand overall production – How much more clover grass yieldcould be attained at low costs? A topic for further discussionand analysis  
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  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4853  
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Author (up) Lehtonen, H. openurl 
  Title Evaluating adaptation and the production development of Finnish agriculture in climate and global change Type Journal Article
  Year 2015 Publication Agricultural and Food Science Abbreviated Journal Agricultural and Food Science  
  Volume 24 Issue 3 Pages 219-234  
  Keywords agricultural sector modelling; economic adjustment; global prices; climate change; finnish agriculture; crop production; land-use; challenge; ensembles; Finland; Europe; policy  
  Abstract Agricultural product prices and policies influence the development of crop yields under climate change through farm level management decisions. On this basis, five main scenarios were specified for agricultural commodity prices and crop yields. An economic agricultural sector model was used in order to assess the impacts of the scenarios on production, land use and farm income in Finland. The results suggest that falling crop yields, if realized due to low prices and restrictive policies, will result in decreasing crop and livestock production and increasing nutrient surplus. Slowly increasing crop yields could stabilise production and increase farm income. Significantly higher crop prices and yields are required, however, for any marked increase in production in Finland. Cereals production would increase relatively more than livestock production, if there were high prices for agricultural products. This is explained by abundant land resources, a high opportunity cost of labour and policies maintaining current dairy and beef production.  
  Address 2016-07-22  
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  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 1459-6067 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4750  
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Author (up) Lehtonen, H. url  openurl
  Title Evaluating clover grass as a climate change adaptation measure in agriculture at the sector level Type
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 4 Issue Pages SP4-9  
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  Area Expedition Conference TradeM International Workshop 2014 »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, 25–27 November 2014, Hurdalsjø, Norway  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2199  
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Author (up) Lehtonen, H. url  openurl
  Title Sector level agricultural development following different adaptations to climate change Type
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 5 Issue Pages Sp5-36  
  Keywords  
  Abstract Future crop yields in northern Europe are subject to many factors and uncertainties, according to recent agro-ecological studies. Based on our farm level analysis, we concluded that prices of agricultural products are the primary drivers in the adaptation to climate change. They, as well as the policy conditions, affect the level of fertilization and the use of other inputs, land use and the intensity and the volume of agricultural production. We outlined 5 main scenarios of agricultural adaptation in Finland, and used an agricultural sector model to assess the impacts of the 5 scenarios on total production and land use in the whole country and in its four main regions. In the scenarios with unchanged product prices in the real terms, we find that a small increase or decrease in crop yields is possible. Significantly higher yields would require also 20-30% higher prices of crop products. Our sector modeling results suggest that avoiding decreases in crop yields is important for agricultural income in the long-term, even if livestock production in also maintained by national subsidies. Decreasing yields will result in increasing nutrient surplus and most likely in increased nutrient leaching, while increasing crop yields, even slightly, would significantly decrease nutrient surplus and increase farm income. Significant increases in crop yields and prices, however, are required before production clearly increases in Finland. Interestingly, cereals production would increase relatively more than livestock production, in the case of high future prices. This is explained by the abundant land resources, as well as the high opportunity cost of labor and policy systems maintaining current livestock production. No Label  
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  Area Expedition Conference MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2151  
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