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Author Kipling, R.P.; Bannink, A.; Bellocchi, G.; Dalgaard, T.; Fox, N.J.; Hutchings, N.J.; Kjeldsen, C.; Lacetera, N.; Sinabell, F.; Topp, C.F.E.; van Oijen, M.; Virkajärvi, P.; Scollan, N.D.
Title (up) Modelling European ruminant production systems: Facing the challenges of climate change Type Report
Year 2017 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 10 Issue Pages L1.1-D1
Keywords
Abstract Ruminant production systems are important producers of food, support rural communities and culture, and help to maintain a range of ecosystem services including the sequestering of carbon in grassland soils. However, these systems also contribute significantly to climate change through greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, while intensi- fication of production has driven biodiversity and nutrient loss, and soil degradation. Modeling can offer insights into the complexity underlying the relationships between climate change, management and policy choices, food production, and the maintenance of ecosystem services. This paper 1) provides an overview of how ruminant systems modeling supports the efforts of stakeholders and policymakers to predict, mitigate and adapt to climate change and 2) provides ideas for enhancing modeling to fulfil this role. Many grassland models can predict plant growth, yield and GHG emissions from mono-specific swards, but modeling multi-species swards, grassland quality and the impact of management changes requires further development. Current livestock models provide a good basis for predicting animal production; linking these with models of animal health and disease is a prior- ity. Farm-scale modeling provides tools for policymakers to predict the emissions of GHG and other pollutants from livestock farms, and to support the management decisions of farmers from environmental and economic standpoints. Other models focus on how policy and associated management changes affect a range of economic and environmental variables at regional, national and European scales. Models at larger scales generally utilise more empirical approaches than those applied at animal, field and farm-scales and include assumptions which may not be valid under climate change conditions. It is therefore important to continue to develop more realistic representations of processes in regional and global models, using the understanding gained from finer-scale modeling. An iterative process of model development, in which lessons learnt from mechanistic models are ap- plied to develop ‘smart’ empirical modeling, may overcome the trade-off between complexity and usability. De- veloping the modeling capacity to tackle the complex challenges related to climate change, is reliant on closer links between modelers and experimental researchers, and also requires knowledge-sharing and increasing technical compatibility across modeling disciplines. Stakeholder engagement throughout the process of model development and application is vital for the creation of relevant models, and important in reducing problems re- lated to the interpretation of modeling outcomes. Enabling modeling to meet the demands of policymakers and other stakeholders under climate change will require collaboration within adequately-resourced, long-term inter-disciplinary research networks
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Language Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN ISBN Medium Abstract
Area Expedition Conference
Notes LiveM Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4947
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Author Lacetera, N.
Title (up) National and transnational dairy cows biometeorological datasets linked to productive, reproductive and health performances data Type Report
Year 2013 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 1 Issue Pages D-L1.2.1
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Abstract Different datasets have been completed and are now available for the analysis of interannual  and seasonal variations of productive, reproductive or health data relative to  intensively dairy cows and also to establish the relationships between temperature  humidity index (THI) and dairy cow performances. Datasets are referred to different  European countries (Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg and Slovenia) with different climatic  features. All these datasets have data relative to Animal Pedigree (Cow ID, Birth date,  Breed, Sire ID and Dam ID), Test-day records (Cow ID, Herd ID, Parity, Calving date, Test  date, Milk yield, Milk fat and protein (%), Milk somatic cell score), Reproductive events  (Cow ID, Herd ID, Parity, Calving date, AI date, Sire ID, Days Open, NRR-56 day), and Daily  meteorological records (Meteo station ID, Zip code of the meteo station, Observation date,  Max temperature, Min temperature, Mean temperature, Max relative humidity, Min  relative humidity, Mean relative humidity, Solar radiation, Wind speed). The dataset  relative to Italy includes also Mortality data (Animal ID, Herd ID, Death date) and Bulk milk  quality data (Herd ID, Test date, Fat & protein (%), Somatic cell score, Bacterial count,  Herd latitude, Herd longitude, Herd elevation). An additional database is still under  construction and will be based on Spanish data from organic dairy farms. No Label
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Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
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Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2256
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Author Dono, G.; Cortignani, R.; Dell’Unto, D.; Doro, L.; Lacetera, N.; Mula, L.; Pasqui, M.; Quaresima, S.; Vitali, A.; Roggero, P.P.
Title (up) Productive and economic adaptation of Mediterranean agriculture to climate change (Produktive und wirtschaftliche Anpassung der mediterranen Landwirtschaft an den Klimawandel) Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Jahrbuch der ÖGA Abbreviated Journal
Volume 24 Issue Pages 213-222
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Area Expedition Conference 24. Jahrestagung der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie, 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-26, Vienna
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5027
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Author Lacetera, N.; Vitali, A.; Bernabucci, U.; Nardone, A.
Title (up) Relationships between temperature humidity index, mortality, milk yield and composition in Italian dairy cows Type Report
Year 2014 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 3 Issue Pages Sp3-3
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Abstract The aim of this presentation is to illustrate the activities performed by the LiveM-Task L1.2. group based at the University of Tuscia, Viterbo, Italy. Three different pluriannual databases were built to perform retrospective studies aimed at establishing the relationships between temperature humidity index (THI) and parameters of interest for dairy cow farms. The THI combines temperature and humidity in a single value and has been widely used to quantify heat stress in farm animals. The first database was built to assess the relationships between THI and mortality over a 6 yr period (2002-2007); the second one was a 7 yr database (2001-2007) which was built to establish the relationships between THI and milk yield; the last database included THI, milk somatic cell counts, total bacterial counts, fat and protein percentages data collected over a 7 yr period (2003-2009). The analysis of the three databases provided several equations which demonstrated and quantified an increase of mortality, reduction of milk yield and a worsening of milk quality in hot environment. Results of these analyzes authorized speculations about risks for dairy cows and their productivity in a warming planet. Furthermore, the same results are being utilized by economists also working within MACSUR at the University of Tuscia for an integrated study aimed at establishing the economic impact of climate change in the dairy sector. Combining this information with climate change regional scenarios might permit prediction of the impact of global warming and identification of adaptation measures that are appropriate for specific contexts. No Label
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
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Area Expedition Conference
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2220
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Author Lacetera, N.; Vitali, A.; Bernabucci, U.; Nardone, A.
Title (up) Relationships between temperature humidity index, mortality, milk yield and composition in Italian dairy cows Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords
Abstract The aim of this presentation is to illustrate the activities performed by the LiveM-Task L1.2. group based at the University of Tuscia, Viterbo, Italy. Three different pluriannual databases were built to perform retrospective studies aimed at establishing the relationships between temperature humidity index (THI) and parameters of interest for dairy cow farms. The THI combines temperature and humidity in a single value and has been widely used to quantify heat stress in farm animals. The first database was built to assess the relationships between THI and mortality over a 6 yr period (2002-2007); the second one was a 7 yr database (2001-2007) which was built to establish the relationships between THI and milk yield; the last database included THI, milk somatic cell counts, total bacterial counts, fat and protein percentages data collected over a 7 yr period (2003-2009). The analysis of the three databases provided several equations which demonstrated and quantified an increase of mortality, reduction of milk yield and a worsening of milk quality in hot environment. Results of these analyzes authorized speculations about risks for dairy cows and their productivity in a warming planet. Furthermore, the same results are being utilized by economists also working within MACSUR at the University of Tuscia for an integrated study aimed at establishing the economic impact of climate change in the dairy sector. Combining this information with climate change regional scenarios might permit prediction of the impact of global warming and identification of adaptation measures that are appropriate for specific contexts.
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference
Series Volume 3(S) Sassari, Italy Series Issue Edition
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Area Expedition Conference FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5122
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