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Author  |
Murat, M.; Malinowska, I.; Gos, M.; Krzyszczak, J. |
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Title |
Forecasting daily meteorological time series using ARIMA and regression models |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2018 |
Publication |
International Agrophysics |
Abbreviated Journal |
Int. Agrophys. |
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Volume |
32 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
253-264 |
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Keywords |
regression models; forecast; time series; meteorological quantities; Response Surfaces; Extreme Heat; Wheat; Climate |
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Abstract |
The daily air temperature and precipitation time series recorded between January 1, 1980 and December 31, 2010 in four European sites (Jokioinen, Dikopshof, Lleida and Lublin) from different climatic zones were modeled and forecasted. In our forecasting we used the methods of the Box-Jenkins and Holt-Winters seasonal auto regressive integrated moving-average, the autoregressive integrated moving-average with external regressors in the form of Fourier terms and the time series regression, including trend and seasonality components methodology with R software. It was demonstrated that obtained models are able to capture the dynamics of the time series data and to produce sensible forecasts. |
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2018-06-14 |
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English |
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0236-8722 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
5202 |
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Author |
Lamorski, K.; Pastuszka, T.; Krzyszczak, J.; Slawinski, C.; Witkowska-Walczak, B. |
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Title |
Modelling soil water Dynamics Using the physical and soft-computing methods |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2013 |
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Keywords |
CropM |
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10th International Conference on Agrophysics, 2013-06-05 to 2013-06-07 |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2585 |
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Author |
Krzyszczak, J.R.; Baranowski, P.; Sławiński, C. |
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Title |
CO2 flux measurements in the vegetation period of winter wheat in Lubelskie province |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
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The assessment of net ecosystem exchange and respiration of ecosystem of terrestrial ecosystems is necessary to improve our knowledge about carbon cycle in nature. Here we present measurements of CO2 fluxes for a winter wheat temperate climate ecosystem (buckwheat in the previous years) located in the Lubelskie province (eastern Poland) using a closed dynamic chamber system over a 2013 vegetation season. Measurements of carbon dioxide emission from soils and its assimilation by plants were carried out on a typical for Lubelskie highland arable land located in the Stany Nowe (N50o49’17.0555”, E22o16’28.51”, height 243m above sea level) using the set of two chambers (transparent and dark). Carbon dioxide fluxes have been measured by EGM-4 PP Systems sensor during fixed stages of the plant growing season. During the experiment carbon emission from soil ranged from 151 to 764 mg C·m-2·h-1 and its assimilation by plants ranged from -148 (emission) to 1585 mg C·m-2·h-1. We found substantial differences in emission and assimilation of carbon in the winter wheat ecosystem. This, along with other measurements (meteorological factors and soil and plant parameters) carried out in the Stany Nowe can be used as a high quality data to verify various models of emission of greenhouse gases. The chamber technique occurs to be a useful tool for determining carbon dioxide exchange between ecosystem surface and the atmosphere. |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference |
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3(S) Sassari, Italy |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
5064 |
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Author |
Krzyszczak, J.; Baranowski, P.; Slawinski, C. |
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Title |
Chamber system measurements of carbon dioxide fluxes from winter wheat field in a Lubelskie province |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
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CropM |
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6-th Ukrainian-Polish Scientific and Practical Conference ELECTRONICS AND INFORMATION TECHNOLOGIES, Lviv-Chynadiyevo, Ukraine, 2014-08-28 to 2014-08-31 |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
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2576 |
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Author |
Krzyszczak, J.; Baranowski, P.; Slawinski, C. |
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Title |
Field experiment in Lubelskie region to validate crop growth models in temperate, climate |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
Publication |
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CropM |
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MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12 |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
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2577 |
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