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Author Kollas, C.; Kersebaum, C.; Bindi, M.; Wu, L.; Sharif, B.; Öztürk, I.; Trnka, M.; Hlavinka, P.; Nendel, C.; Palosuo, T.; Müller, C.; Waha, K.; Herrera, C.; Olesen, E.; Eitzinger, J.; Roggero, P.-P.; Conradt, T.; Martre, P.; Ferrise, R.; Moriondo, M.; Ramos, M.; Ventrella, D.; Rötter, P.; Wegehenkel, M.; Eckersten, H.; Torres, I.; Hernandez, C.; Launay, M.; Witt, A.; Hoffmann, H.
Title Improving yield predictions by crop rotation modelling? a multi-model comparison Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2560
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Author Kersebaum, C.; Kollas, C.; Palosuo, T.; Bindi, M.; Nendel, C.
Title WP1 – Protocols, data formats and data classification scheme Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference JPI FACCE MACSUR CropM and LiveM cross-cutting activity Helsinki, Finland, 2013-05-06 to 2013-05-06
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2524
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Author Kersebaum, C.; Boote, J.; Jorgenson, S.; Kollas, C.; Nendel, C.; Wegehenkel, M.; Bindi, M.; Olesen, E.; Frühauf, C.; Gaiser, T.; Ruget, F.; Rötter, P.; Trnka, M.
Title A scheme to evaluate suitability of experimental data for model testing and improvement Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Corporate Author Thesis (up)
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2525
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Author Kersebaum, C.; Kollas, C.; Bindi, M.; Nendel, C.; Ferrise, R.; Moriondo, M.; Olesen, J.E.; Sharif, B.; Öztürk, I.; Hoffmann, H.; Launay, M.; Ripoche, D.; Ruget, F.; Bertuzzi, P.; Cortazar, I.G.D.; Beaudoin, N.; Armas-Herrera, C.; Mary, B.; Müller, C.; Waha, K.; Ventrella, D.; Palosuo, T.; Rötter, R.; Trnka, M.; Hlavinka, P.; Wu, L.; Wegehenkel, M.; Mirschel, W.; Conradt, T.; Wechsung, F.; Weigel, H.-J.; Manderscheid, R.; Eitzinger, J.
Title Modelling complex crop rotations and management across sites in Europe with an ensemble of models Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference ASA-CSSA-SSSA Int. Annual Meeting, Long Beach, CA, 2-5 November 2014, 2014-11-02 to 2014-11-05
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2526
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Author Pirttioja, N.; Carter, T.R.; Fronzek, S.; Bindi, M.; Hoffmann, H.; Palosuo, T.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Tao, F.; Trnka, M.; Acutis, M.; Asseng, S.; Baranowski, P.; Basso, B.; Bodin, P.; Buis, S.; Cammarano, D.; Deligios, P.; Destain, M.F.; Dumont, B.; Ewert, F.; Ferrise, R.; François, L.; Gaiser, T.; Hlavinka, P.; Jacquemin, I.; Kersebaum, K.C.; Kollas, C.; Krzyszczak, J.; Lorite, I.J.; Minet, J.; Minguez, M.I.; Montesino-San Martin, M.; Moriondo, M.; Müller, C.; Nendel, C.; Öztürk, I.; Perego, A.; Rodríguez, A.; Ruane, A.C.; Ruget, F.; Sanna, M.; Semenov, M.A.; Slawinski, C.; Stratonovitch, P.; Supit, I.; Waha, K.; Wang, E.; Wu, L.; Zhao, Z.; Rötter, R.P.
Title Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: a crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Climate Research Abbreviated Journal Clim. Res.
Volume 65 Issue Pages 87-105
Keywords climate; crop model; impact response surface; IRS; sensitivity analysis; wheat; yield; climate-change impacts; uncertainty; 21st-century; projections; simulation; growth; region
Abstract This study explored the utility of the impact response surface (IRS) approach for investigating model ensemble crop yield responses under a large range of changes in climate. IRSs of spring and winter wheat Triticum aestivum yields were constructed from a 26-member ensemble of process-based crop simulation models for sites in Finland, Germany and Spain across a latitudinal transect. The sensitivity of modelled yield to systematic increments of changes in temperature (-2 to +9°C) and precipitation (-50 to +50%) was tested by modifying values of baseline (1981 to 2010) daily weather, with CO2 concentration fixed at 360 ppm. The IRS approach offers an effective method of portraying model behaviour under changing climate as well as advantages for analysing, comparing and presenting results from multi-model ensemble simulations. Though individual model behaviour occasionally departed markedly from the average, ensemble median responses across sites and crop varieties indicated that yields decline with higher temperatures and decreased precipitation and increase with higher precipitation. Across the uncertainty ranges defined for the IRSs, yields were more sensitive to temperature than precipitation changes at the Finnish site while sensitivities were mixed at the German and Spanish sites. Precipitation effects diminished under higher temperature changes. While the bivariate and multi-model characteristics of the analysis impose some limits to interpretation, the IRS approach nonetheless provides additional insights into sensitivities to inter-model and inter-annual variability. Taken together, these sensitivities may help to pinpoint processes such as heat stress, vernalisation or drought effects requiring refinement in future model development.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 0936-577x 1616-1572 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4662
Permanent link to this record