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Houska, T.; Kraft, P.; Liebermann, R.; Klatt, S.; Kraus, D.; Haas, E.; Santabarbara, I.; Kiese, R.; Butterbach-Bahl, K.; Müller, C.; Breuer, L. |
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Title |
Rejecting hydro-biogeochemical model structures by multi-criteria evaluation |
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Journal Article |
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2017 |
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Environmental Modelling & Software |
Abbreviated Journal |
Env. Model. Softw. |
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93 |
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1-12 |
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Highlights • New method to investigate biogeochemical model structure performance. • Process based hydrological modelling can improve biogeochemical model predictions. • Modelling efficiency dramatically drops with multiple objectives. Abstract This work presents a novel way for assessing and comparing different hydro-biogeochemical model structures and their performances. We used the LandscapeDNDC modelling framework to set up four models of different complexity, considering two soil-biogeochemical and two hydrological modules. The performance of each model combination was assessed using long-term (8 years) data and applying different thresholds, considering multiple criteria and objective functions. Our results show that each model combination had its strength for particular criteria. However, only 0.01% of all model runs passed the complete rejectionist framework. In contrast, our comparatively applied assessments of single thresholds, as frequently used in other studies, lead to a much higher acceptance rate of 40–70%. Therefore, our study indicates that models can be right for the wrong reasons, i.e., matching GHG emissions while at the same time failing to simulate other criteria such as soil moisture or plant biomass dynamics. |
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1364-8152 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4983 |
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Hoffmann, H.; Gang, Z.; Van Bussel, L.G.J.; Enders, A.; Specka, X.; Sosa, C.; Yeluripati, J.; Tao, F.; Constantin, J.; Casellas, E.; Teixeira, E.; Grosz, B.; Doro, L.; Zhao, Z.; Nendel, C.; Kiese, R.; Raynal, H.; Eckersten, H.; Klatt, S.; Edwin, H.; Wang, E.; Kuhnert, M.; Lewan, E.; Bach, M.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Rötter, R.; Roggero, P.P.; Wallach, D.; Krauss, G.; Siebert, S.; Gaiser, T.; Ewert, F. |
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Sensitivity of crop models to spatial aggregation of soil and climate data |
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Conference Article |
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2014 |
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Annual conference of the German/Austrian Agronomical Society & Max-Eyth-Society IS - |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5041 |
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Klatt, S.; Haas, E.; Hoffmann, H.; Zhao, G.; Van Bussel, L.G.J.; Enders, A.; Gaiser, T.; Ewert, F.; Teixeira, E.; Kiese, R.; Doro, L.; Specka, X.; Nendel, C.; Kersebaum, K.-C.; Sosa, C.; Lewan, E.; Eckersten, H.; Gebbert, S.; Dechow, R.; Grosz, B.; Bach, M.; Yeluripati, J.; Tao, F.; Constantin, J.; Raynal, H.; Wallach, D.; Kuhnert, M. |
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Responses of soil N2O emissions and nitrate leaching on climate input data aggregation: a biogeochemistry model ensemble study |
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Conference Article |
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2014 |
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CropM International Symposium and Workshop |
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CropM International Symposium and Workshop, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12, Oslo, Norway |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5042 |
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Haas, E.; Klatt, S.; Kiese, R.; Santa Barbara Ruiz, I.; Kraus, D. |
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Parameter-induced uncertainty quantification of a regional N2O and NO3 inventory using the biogeochemical model LandscapeDNDC |
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2014 |
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In this study we quantify regional parameter-induced model uncertainty on nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions and nitrate (NO3) leaching from arable soils of Saxony (Germany) using the biogeochemical model LandscapeDNDC. For this we calculate a regional inventory using a joint parameter distribution for key parameters describing microbial C and N turnover processes as obtained by a Bayesian calibration study. We representatively sampled 400 different parameter vectors from the discrete joint parameter distribution comprising approximately 400,000 parameter combinations and used these to calculate 400 individual realizations of the regional inventory. The spatial domain (represented by 4042 polygons) is set up with spatially explicit soil and climate information and a region-typical 3-year crop rotation consisting of winter wheat, rape- seed, and winter barley. Average N2O emission from arable soils in the state of Saxony across all 400 realizations was 1.43 ± 1.25 [kg N / ha] with a median value of 1.05 [kg N / ha]. Using the default IPCC emission factor approach (Tier 1) for direct emissions reveal a higher average N2O emission of 1.51 [kg N / ha] due to fertilizer use. In the regional uncertainty quantification the 20% likelihood range for N2O emissions is 0.79 – 1.37 [kg N / ha] (50% likelihood: 0.46 – 2.05 [kg N / ha]; 90% likelihood: 0.11 – 4.03 [kg N / ha]). Respective quantities were calculated for nitrate leaching. |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference |
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3(S) Sassari, Italy |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5111 |
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Klatt, S.; Haas, E.; Kiese, R. |
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Responses of soil N2O emissions and nitrate leaching on climate input data aggregation: a biogeochemistry model ensemble study |
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Conference Article |
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2014 |
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Models are increasingly used to estimate greenhouse gas emissions at site to regional and national scales and are outlined as the most advanced methodology for national emission reporting in the framework of UNFCCC. Process-based models incorporate the major processes of the carbon and nitrogen cycle and are thus thought to be widely applicable at various spatial and temporal scales. The definition of the spatial scale is determined by the objectives. GHG emission reporting requests spatially and temporally aggregated information whereas for the assessment of mitigation options on hot spots and hot moments of emissions a high spatial simulation resolution is required. In addition, other input data also determine the simulation scale. Low resolution simulations needs less effort in computation and data management, but important details could be lost during the process of data aggregation associated with high uncertainties of the simulation results. This study presents the aggregation effects of climate input data on the simulations of soil N2O emissions and nitrate leaching by comparing different biogeochemistry models. Using process-based models (DailyDayCent, LandscapeDNDC, Stics, Mode, Coup, Epic), we simulated a 30-year cropping system for two crops (winter wheat and maize monocultures) under water- and nutrient-limited conditions based on a 1 km resolution climate dataset. We aggregated the climate data to resolutions of 10, 25, 50, and 100 km and repeated the simulations on these spatial scales. We calculated the N2O emissions as well as the nitrate leaching on all scales. Results will be presented and discussed. |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference |
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3(S) Sassari, Italy |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5123 |
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