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Author Havlík, P.E.S., S. Fuss, D. Leclere, M. Obersteiner, A. Mosnier, H. Valin, N. Khabarov
Title Linking bio-physical, bottom-up and top-do wn economic models to analyze climate change impacts and adaptation on Austrian agriculture Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication (up) Abbreviated Journal
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Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR TradeM workshop: Exploring new ideas for trade and agriculture model integration for assessing the impacts of climate change on food security, The Natural Resource and Environmental Research Center (NRERC), University of Haifa, Israel, 2013-03-03 t
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2468
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Author Witzke, P.; Frank, S.; Zimmermann, A.; Havlík, P.; Ciaian, P.
Title The impact of climate change on food security – results from a European perspective Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication (up) Abbreviated Journal
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Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference First International Conference on Global Food Security, Noordwijkerhout, The Netherlands, 2013-09-29 to 2013-10-02
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2904
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Author Leclère, D.; Havlík, P.
Title Modelling heat stress on livestock: how can we reach long-term and global coverage Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal Advances in Animal Biosciences
Volume 7 Issue 03 Pages 248-249
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ISSN 2040-4700 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes LiveM, TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4867
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Author Mendes, L.B.; Herrero, M.; Havlík, P.; Mosnier, A.; Balieiro, S.F.; Moreira, R.E.M.; Obersteiner, M.
Title Simulation of enteric methane emissions from individual beef cattle in tropical pastures of improving quality: a case study with the model RUMINANT Type Journal Article
Year 2016 Publication (up) Advances in Animal Biosciences Abbreviated Journal Advances in Animal Biosciences
Volume 7 Issue 03 Pages 233-234
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ISSN 2040-4700 ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4873
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Author Weindl, I.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Popp, A.; Müller, C.; Havlík, P.; Herrero, M.; Schmitz, C.; Rolinski, S.
Title Livestock in a changing climate: production system transitions as an adaptation strategy for agriculture Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication (up) Environmental Research Letters Abbreviated Journal Environ. Res. Lett.
Volume 10 Issue 9 Pages 094021
Keywords livestock; climate impacts; land use modeling; adaptation costs; production systems; greenhouse-gas emissions; global change; management implications; developing-countries; crop productivity; change mitigation; food security; model; impacts; carbon
Abstract Livestock farming is the world’s largest land use sector and utilizes around 60% of the global biomass harvest. Over the coming decades, climate change will affect the natural resource base of livestock production, especially the productivity of rangeland and feed crops. Based on a comprehensive impact modeling chain, we assess implications of different climate projections for agricultural production costs and land use change and explore the effectiveness of livestock system transitions as an adaptation strategy. Simulated climate impacts on crop yields and rangeland productivity generate adaptation costs amounting to 3% of total agricultural production costs in 2045 (i.e. 145 billion US$). Shifts in livestock production towards mixed crop-livestock systems represent a resource-and cost-efficient adaptation option, reducing agricultural adaptation costs to 0.3% of total production costs and simultaneously abating deforestation by about 76 million ha globally. The relatively positive climate impacts on grass yields compared with crop yields favor grazing systems inter alia in South Asia and North America. Incomplete transitions in production systems already have a strong adaptive and cost reducing effect: a 50% shift to mixed systems lowers agricultural adaptation costs to 0.8%. General responses of production costs to system transitions are robust across different global climate and crop models as well as regarding assumptions on CO2 fertilization, but simulated values show a large variation. In the face of these uncertainties, public policy support for transforming livestock production systems provides an important lever to improve agricultural resource management and lower adaptation costs, possibly even contributing to emission reduction.
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ISSN 1748-9326 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes LiveM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4718
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