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Author Kässi, P.; Känkänen, H.; Niskanen, O.; Lehtonen, H.; Höglind, M.
Title (up) Farm level approach to manage grass yield variation under climate change in Finland and north-western Russia Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Biosystems Engineering Abbreviated Journal Biosystems Engineering
Volume 140 Issue Pages 11-22
Keywords silage grass; risk management; dairy farms; buffer storage; agricultural economics; grassland modelling; dairy-cows; impact; security; timothy; harvest; future; growth; norway; europe; time
Abstract Cattle feeding in Northern Europe is based on grass silage, but grass growth is highly dependent on weather conditions. If ensuring sufficient silage availability in every situation is prioritised, the lowest expected yield level determines the cultivated area in farmers’ decision-making. One way to manage the variation in grass yield is to increase grass production and silage storage capacity so that they exceed the annual consumption at the farm. The cost of risk management in the current and the projected future climate was calculated taking into account grassland yield and yield variability for three study areas under current and mid-21st century climate conditions. The dataset on simulated future grass yields used as input for the risk management calculations were taken from a previously published simulation study. Strategies investigated included using up to 60% more silage grass area than needed in a year with average grass yields, and storing silage for up to 6 months more than consumed in a year (buffer storage). According to the results, utilising an excess silage grass area of 20% and a silage buffer storage capacity of 6 months were the most economic ways of managing drought risk in both the baseline climate and the projected climate of 2046-2065. It was found that the silage yield risk due to drought is likely to decrease in all studied locations, but the drought risk and costs implied still remain significant. (C) 2015 IAgrE. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 1537-5110 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes TradeM Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4671
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Author Höglind, M.; Persson, T.; van Oijen, M.
Title (up) Identifying target traits for forage grass breeding under a changing climate in Norway using the BASGRA model Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference Proceedings of the 22nd International Grasslands Congress, Sydney, Australia, 2013-09-15 to 2013-09-19
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2483
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Author Persson, T.; Kværnø, S.; Höglind, M.
Title (up) Impact of soil properties regionalization procedures on regional timothy dry matter yield and variability in southeastern Norway Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Area Expedition Conference MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2718
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Author Persson, T.; Kværnø, S.; Höglind, M.
Title (up) Impact of soil type extrapolation on timothy grass yield under baseline and future climate conditions in southeastern Norway Type Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Climate Research Abbreviated Journal Clim. Res.
Volume 65 Issue Pages 71-86
Keywords climate change scenarios; crop modelling; forage grass; lingra; soil properties; spatial variability; phleum pretense; poaceae; simulation-model; nutritive-value; systems simulation; catimo model; crop models; growth; nitrogen; scale; productivity; regrowth
Abstract Interactions between soil properties and climate affect forage grass productivity. Dynamic models, simulating crop performance as a function of environmental conditions, are valid for a specific location with given soil and weather conditions. Extrapolations of local soil properties to larger regions can help assess the requirement for soil input in regional yield estimations. Using the LINGRA model, we simulated the regional yield level and variability of timothy, a forage grass, in Akershus and Ostfold counties, Norway. Soils were grouped according to physical similarities according to 4 sets of criteria. This resulted in 66, 15, 5 and 1 groups of soils. The properties of the soil with the largest area was extrapolated to the other soils within each group and input to the simulations. All analyses were conducted for 100 yr of generated weather representing the period 1961-1990, and climate projections for the period 2046-2065, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change greenhouse gas emission scenario A1B, and 4 global climate models. The simulated regional seasonal timothy yields were 5-13% lower on average and had higher inter-annual variability for the least detailed soil extrapolation than for the other soil extrapolations, across climates. There were up to 20% spatial intra-regional differences in simulated yield between soil extrapolations. The results indicate that, for conditions similar to these studied here, a few representative profiles are sufficient for simulations of average regional seasonal timothy yield. More spatially detailed yield analyses would benefit from more detailed soil input.
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0936-577x 1616-1572 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4674
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Author Korhonen, P.; Palosuo, T.; Höglind, M.; Persson, T.; van Oijen, M.; Jego, G.; Virkajärvi, P.; Belanger, G.; Gustavsson, A.M.
Title (up) Intercomparison of models for simulating timothy yield in Northern countries. The multiple roles of grassland in the European bioeconomy Type Conference Article
Year 2016 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Publisher Place of Publication Trondheim, Norway Editor
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Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title General Meeting of the European Grassland Federation
Series Volume 26 Series Issue Edition
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Area Expedition Conference General Meeting of the European Grassland Federation, 2016-09-04 to 2016-09-08, Trondheim, Norway 26:
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5168
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