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	Author	Rötter, R.P.; Pirttioja, N.K.; Fronzek, S.; Carter, T.; Palosuo, T.; et al.
	Title	Impact response surface analysis of temperature and precipitation for wheat along a European transect			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2015	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication	Minneapolis (U.S.A)	Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	AgMIP and partners session at tripartite meetings (ASA-CSSA-SSA) at Minneapolis/USA, 2015-11-15 to 2015-11-17, Minneapolis
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	2769
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	Author	Pirttioja, N.; Fronzek, S.; Rötter, R.P.; Carter, T.R.
	Title	Simulating Adaptive Management Using Impact Models in a Risk Framework			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2012	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords	CropM
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	Adaptation Futures. Tucson, AZ, USA, 2012-05-29 to 2012-05-31
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	2725
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	Author	Pirttioja, N.; Fronzek, S.; Rötter, R.P.; Carter, T.R.
	Title	Probabilistic assessment of crop adaptation options under a changing climate			Type	Conference Article
	Year	2012	Publication		Abbreviated Journal
	Volume		Issue		Pages
	Keywords	CropM
	Abstract
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	Second Nordic International Conference on Climate Change Adaptation, 2012-08-29 to 2012-08-30
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	2724
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	Author	Carter, T.
	Title	Scenarios and related data for MACSUR2 Timothy Carter Finnish Environment			Type
	Year	2015	Publication	FACCE MACSUR Reports	Abbreviated Journal
	Volume	5	Issue		Pages	Sp5-11
	Keywords
	Abstract	Framing scenario selection (RCP/SSP)Ongoing scenario development in FP7 IMPRESSIONSSome examples of sources of data and scenarios No Label
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference	MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	2126
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	Author	Pirttioja, N.; Carter, T.R.; & 47 al.; Rötter, R.P.
	Title	A crop model ensemble analysis of temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect using impact response surfaces			Type	Report
	Year	2015	Publication	FACCE MACSUR Reports	Abbreviated Journal
	Volume	6	Issue		Pages	D-C4.4.3
	Keywords
	Abstract	Impact response surfaces (IRSs) of spring and winter wheat yields were constructed from a 26-member ensemble of process-based crop simulation models for sites in Finland, Germany and Spain across a latitudinal transect in Europe. The sensitivity of modelled yield to systematic increments of changes in temperature (-2 to +9°C) and precipitation (-50 to +50%) was tested by modifying values of 1981–2010 baseline weather.In spite of large differences in simulated yield responses to both baseline and changed climate between models, sites, crops and years, several common messages emerged. Ensemble average yields decline with higher temperatures (3–7% per 1°C) and decreased precipitation (3–9% per 10% decrease), but benefit from increased precipitation (0-8% per 10% increase). Yields are more sensitive to temperature than precipitation changes at the Finnish site while sensitivities are mixed at the German and Spanish sites. Precipitation effects diminish under higher temperature changes. Inter-model variability is highest for baseline climate at the Spanish site, but relatively insensitive to changed climate. Modelled responses diverge most at the Finnish and German sites for winter wheat under temperature change. The IRS pattern of yield reliability tracks average yield levels. Inter-annual yield variability is more sensitive to precipitation than temperature, except at the Spanish site for spring wheat.Optimal temperatures for present-day cultivars are close to the baseline under Finnish conditions but below the baseline at the German and Spanish sites. This suggests that adoption of later maturing cultivars with higher temperature requirements might already be advantageous, and increasingly so under future warming. No Label
	Address
	Corporate Author				Thesis
	Publisher		Place of Publication		Editor
	Language		Summary Language		Original Title
	Series Editor		Series Title		Abbreviated Series Title
	Series Volume		Series Issue		Edition
	ISSN		ISBN		Medium
	Area		Expedition		Conference
	Notes				Approved	no
	Call Number	MA @ admin @			Serial	2104
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