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Author Biewald, A.
Title The development of cereals and oilseed production until 2050 under different socioeconomic conditions in Finland Type Conference Article
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Abstract We will use Finland as an example of a small, developed country with difficult climatic conditions to show how changes in global food consumption patterns and global population growth will influence local production. In order to do so we use two different models. First, an agricultural sector model for Finland, and second, a regionally adapted version of a global, spatially explicit agroeconomic land use model. We use both models to investigate how Finnish cereals and oilseed production develops under different socioeconomic conditions, as defined in the Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). We find that without a major improvement of oilseed yields, oilseed production will be disrupted by 2050 and even with a major increase in oilseeds yields only in the SSP2 scenario production of oilseeds can be sustained. Cereal production on the other hand does not change in the simulations with the global model, but does almost decrease by half in the simulations with the national model. This shows that even with an enormous global population growth and reduced international trade, Finland will not become a major agricultural producer.
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Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference
Series Volume 3(S) Sassari, Italy Series Issue Edition
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Area Expedition Conference (up) FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5132
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Author Biewald, A.; Lotze-Campen, H.
Title Land und Wasser für die globale Landwirtschaft: Herausforderungen und Lösunge Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference (up) Leopoldina-Symposium, Das zukünftige Modell der agrarischen Landnutzung - Intensivierung und Ökologisierung?, Halle, Germany, 2013-10-28 to 2013-10-29
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2322
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Author Biewald, A.
Title Ethical aspects in the economic modeling of water policy options Type
Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 5 Issue Pages Sp5-6
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Area Expedition Conference (up) MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2121
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Author Biewald, A.
Title The development of agricultural production under different socioeconomic conditions in Finland Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference (up) MACSUR TradeM Workshop on Global Food Security Challenges – European Research approaches. Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Müncheberg, Germany, 2013-11-18 to 2013-11-20
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2320
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Author Biewald, A.
Title Quantifying and Qualifying the Impact of Agricultural Trade on Water Resources – Achievements and Challenges Type Conference Article
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
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Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference (up) Water Research Horizon Conference, Berlin, Germany, 2013-06-25 to 2013-06-26
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2319
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