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Köchy, M.; Banse, M.; Offermann, F. |
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German agricultural economy baseline (Thünen baseline): Users, process, experience |
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2016 |
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Bonn (Germany) |
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FACCE Cluster 2 Workshop “Support by policy and research for adaptation to climate change in farming systems and food-related industries” 2016-10-19 to 2016-10-20, Bonn, Germany |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4885 |
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Banse, M. |
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Halftime in MACSUR – what have we learned and what comes next |
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2015 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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4 |
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SP4-2 |
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TradeM International Workshop 2014 »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, 25–27 November 2014, Hurdalsjø, Norway |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2192 |
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Banse, M. |
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What drives meat consumption? Combining cross-country analysis with an applied trade model |
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2015 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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5 |
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Sp5-3 |
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In a cross country analysis using national data for both OECD and developing countries, we estimate a regression model with different coefficients for different drivers for per capita meat consumption. The model contains data from approximately 125 countries (depending on the variables included) on meat consumption and production, relative size of agricultural area and pasture and meadows, PPP adjusted consumer prices for meat (and for food as control variable), PPP adjusted GNI per capita, HDI, degree of urbanisation, religion and geographical/cultural belonging.A regression analysis has been conducted, using OLS with data from 2011 and an aggregation of all meat types as the dependent variable. In the results all of the mentioned variables have a significant impact on meat consumption.Based on a first scenario analysis which has been presented on a TradeM Workshop of MACSUR in September 2014, this paper will extend the approach of an estimated cross-country analysis to improve the demand elasticities in the MAGNET model for meat and meat products. Further other demand determining factors of meat consumption, e.g. behavioural change towards less meat consumption (vegetarian or vegan) derived from the regression analysis will be fed into the MAGNET model. This extended approach will help to analyse the resulting market effects of a changing demand pattern for meat. MAGNET will provide insights in consequences on supply and international trade for meat and meat products.The aim of this combined approach is to further explore the relationship between production and consumption, and to what extent the one is driving the other. Based on the application of the panel data method for a detailed demand analysis with the combination of the feedback from the supply and trade side based on the MAGNET model we will be able to provide a tool which is able to address the important questions of demand responses under different adaptation or mitigation strategies towards clime change, such as tax measures like fat taxes. This extended tool also contributes to an improved decision making process of policy makers under different options to respond to climate change issues – not only with regard to the supply side of agricultural production but also to the consumption side. No Label |
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MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2118 |
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Köchy, M.; Aberton, M.; Bannink, A.; Banse, M.; Brouwer, F.; Brüser, K.; Ewert, F.; Foyer, C.; Jorgenson, J.S.; Kipling, R.; Meijs, J.; Rötter, R.; Scollan, N.; Sinabell, F.; Tiffin, R.; van den Pol-van Dasselaar, A. |
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MACSUR — Summary of research results, phase 1: 2012-2015 |
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2015 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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6 |
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D-H3.3 |
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Hub |
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MACSUR — Modelling European Agriculture with Climate Change for Food Security — is a knowledge hub that was formally created in June 2012 as a European scientific network. The strategic aim of the knowledge hub is to create a coordinated and globally visible network of European researchers and research groups, with intra- and interdisciplinary interaction and shared expertise creating synergies for the development of scientific resources (data, models, methods) to model the impacts of climate change on agriculture and related issues. This objective encompasses a wide range of political and sociological aspects, as well as the technical development of modelling capacity through impact assessments at different scales and assessing uncertainties in model outcomes. We achieve this through model intercomparisons and model improvements, harmonization and exchange of data sets, training in the selection and use of models, assessment of benefits of ensemble modelling, and cross-disciplinary linkages of models and tools. The project engages with a diverse range of stakeholder groups and to support the development of resources for capacity building of individuals and countries. Commensurate with this broad challenge, a network of currently 300 scientists (measured by the number of individuals on the central e-mail list) from 18 countries evolved from the original set of research groups selected by FACCE. In the spirit of creating and maintaining a network for intra- and interdisciplinary knowledge exchange, network activities focused on meetings of researchers for sharing expertise and, depending on group resources (both financial and personnel), development of collaborative research activities. The outcome of these activities is the enhanced knowledge of the individual researchers within the network, contributions to conference presentations and scholarly papers, input to stakeholders and the general public, organised courses for students, junior and senior scientists. The most visible outcome are the scientific results of the network activities, represented in the contributions of MACSUR members to the impressive number of more than 200 collaborative papers in peer-reviewed publications. Here, we present a selection of overview and cross-disciplinary papers which include contributions from MACSUR members. It highlights the major scientific challenges addressed, and the methodological solutions and insights obtained. Over and above these highlights, major achievements have been reached regarding data collection, data processing, evaluation, model testing, modelling assessments of the effects of agriculture on ecosystem services, policy, and development of scenarios. Details on these achievements in the context of MACSUR can be found in our online publication FACCE MACSUR Reports at http://ojs.macsur.eu. |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2086 |
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Banse, M. |
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Climate-change impacts on farming systems in the next decades: Why worry when you have CAP? A FACCE MACSUR workshop for policymakers – Introduction |
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2015 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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6 |
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SP6-1 |
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MACSUR’s aims•To analyze the effects of climate change for farming conditions in European regions •To identify risks for farmers, to jointly develop mitigation and adaptation options•To analyze consequences of mitigation and adaptation for farming competitiveness, the environment and rural developmentMACSUR’S mission •improve and integratemodels – crop and livestock production, farms, and national & international agri-food markets•demonstrate integration and links – models for selected farming systems and regions •provide hands-on training- young and experienced researchers in integrative modelingProgramme of the workshop•Presentation of current achievements—Regional Pilots on climate adaptation —EU-level assessments •Intensive discussion with all participants—What are your knowledge needs ?—What can MACSUR-2 contribute ?—How to collaborate ?—Next steps of interaction No Label |
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Brussels |
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Climate-change impacts on farming systems in the next decades: Why worry when you have CAP? A FACCE MACSUR workshop for policymakers |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2082 |
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