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Author Zimmermann, A.; Witzke, H.-P.; Heckelei, T.
Title Filling gaps: AgMIP scenario results from CAPRI Type Report
Year 2013 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 2 Issue Pages D-T1.4
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Abstract Climate change impacts on food production, socioeconomic changes (population and income growth  in large parts of the world) and biofuel policies affecting demand quantities have risen scientific,  political and public interest in long-term forecasts on food security. Whereas first quantitative analyses  from global economic models are starting to appear (e.g. (von Lampe et al., under review)), similar  studies on smaller regional scales are not yet available. However, acknowledging that climate change  affects crop yields differently across scales and regions (e.g. (Reidsma et al., 2007)) and considering  the specific political setting given through the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) in Europe, the  MACSUR project focuses on the impact of climate change and socioeconomic changes on European  agriculture and its contribution to global food security. We present a Europe-wide analysis of the  effect of selected climate and socioeconomic scenarios on food security in terms of food prices using  the Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact modelling system (CAPRI). No Label
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Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2246
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Author Barnes, A.; Moran, D.
Title Modelling Food Security and Climate Change: Scenario Analysis Type Report
Year 2013 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 1 Issue Pages D-T1.2
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Abstract Developing scenarios is a common interest within MACSUR researchers. This report  outlines the main results of a survey of TRADE-M participants with respect to the  scenarios used within modelling, the time frame and the importance of factors in  their development. Most researchers are generating their own regionally defined  scenarios, though some are basing these on IPCC scenarios. Generally, they adopt  a short-term time frame of up to 2020 to estimate impacts. Most see food  production as the main driver behind the scenarios followed by climate change  mitigation and adaptation. The main weakness seems to be lack of interest in  modelling variability due to weather effects, these may be an argument for  stronger cross-collaboration between different MACSUR consortia within the crops  and animals groups. No Label
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Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2262
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Author Bojar, W.
Title Factsheets of the models Type Report
Year 2013 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 1 Issue Pages D-T1.1
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Abstract The exploration of adaptation and mitigation measures in the context of global challenges like climate change, food security and expected demographic boom is an field of research of growing importance. Over the last decades many research groups have been developing economic-trade models to analyse consequences on farm welfare, market supply and trade, some of them also address food security and other global concerns. There are many different ways to tackle these issues and the specific advantages and limitations of alternative modelling strategies are not yet well understood. The objective of the WP1 T1.1 task within TradeM theme of MACSUR is to use the results of a survey on trade and economic models of MACSUR Consortium partners to show which topics are currently addressed in the different models, which methods are used and how well these tools are prepared for an integration with other models like climate, crop and livestock models. This work was co-financed by NCBiR, Contract no. FACCE JPI/04/2012 – P100 PARTNER No Label
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Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2261
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Author Bellocchi, G.; Ma, S.; Köchy, M.; Braunmiller, K.
Title Datasets classification and criteria for data requirements Type Report
Year 2013 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 2 Issue Pages D-L2.1.2
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Abstract This deliverable focuses on the collation, screening, and consolidation of data for selected grassland sites in Europe and peri-Mediterranean regions. No Label
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Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2245
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Author Bellocchi, G.; Ma, S.; Köchy, M.; Braunmiller, K.
Title Identified grassland-livestock production systems and related models Type Report
Year 2013 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal
Volume 2 Issue Pages D-L2.1.1
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Abstract This report describes grassland-livestock production systems, as selected for model-basedstudies. A list of grassland models was identified for evaluation against such datasets(WP2) and application at reference farm (WP3) and regions (WP4) across Europe and peri-European countries. No Label
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Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2244
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