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Nendel, C.; Wieland, R.; Mirschel, W.; Specka, X.; Kersebaum, K.-C. |
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Die Simulation von Winterweizenerträgen in Thüringen unter Verwendung von meteorologischen Daten unterschiedlicher räumlicher Auflösung |
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2013 |
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33. GIL-Jahrestagung in Potsdam 2013 - Massendatenmanagement in der Agrar- und Ernährungswirtschaft, 2013-02-21 to 2013-02-21 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2680 |
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Ben Touhami, H.; Lardy, R.; Klumpp, K.; Bellocchi, G. |
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Bayesian calibration of the Pasture Simulation model (PaSim) to simulate emissions from long-term European grassland sites: a case study at Laqueuille (France) |
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2013 |
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LiveM |
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Greenhouse Gases & Animal Agriculture 2013, Dublin, Ireland, 2013-06-23 to 2013-06-26 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2311 |
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Heinke, J.; Ostberg, S.; Schaphoff, S.; Frieler, K.; Müller, C.; Gerten, D.; Meinshausen, M.; Lucht, W. |
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Title |
A new climate dataset for systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of global warming |
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Journal Article |
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2013 |
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Geoscientific Model Development |
Abbreviated Journal |
Geosci. Model Dev. |
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6 |
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5 |
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1689-1703 |
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dangerous anthropogenic interference; vegetation model; carbon-cycle; emissions; targets |
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In the ongoing political debate on climate change, global mean temperature change (Delta T-glob) has become the yardstick by which mitigation costs, impacts from unavoided climate change, and adaptation requirements are discussed. For a scientifically informed discourse along these lines, systematic assessments of climate change impacts as a function of Delta T-glob are required. The current availability of climate change scenarios constrains this type of assessment to a narrow range of temperature change and/or a reduced ensemble of climate models. Here, a newly composed dataset of climate change scenarios is presented that addresses the specific requirements for global assessments of climate change impacts as a function of Delta T-glob. A pattern-scaling approach is applied to extract generalised patterns of spatially explicit change in temperature, precipitation and cloudiness from 19 Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs). The patterns are combined with scenarios of global mean temperature increase obtained from the reduced-complexity climate model MAGICC6 to create climate scenarios covering warming levels from 1.5 to 5 degrees above pre-industrial levels around the year 2100. The patterns are shown to sufficiently maintain the original AOGCMs’ climate change properties, even though they, necessarily, utilise a simplified relationships between Delta T-glob and changes in local climate properties. The dataset (made available online upon final publication of this paper) facilitates systematic analyses of climate change impacts as it covers a wider and finer-spaced range of climate change scenarios than the original AOGCM simulations. |
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English |
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1991-9603 |
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CropM |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4490 |
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Rodríguez-Carretero, T.; Lorite, J.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Dosio, A.; Gómez, J.A. |
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Impact of climate change on water balance components in Mediterranean rainfed olive orchards under tillage or cover crop soil management |
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2013 |
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European GeoSciences Union (EGU), General Assembly 2013, 2013-04-07 to 2013-04-12 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2749 |
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Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Pérez-Lopez, D.; Sánchez-Sánchez, E.; Centeno, A.; Dosio, A.; Rodríguez, A. |
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Improving modelled impacts on the flowering of temperate fruit trees in the Iberian Peninsula of climate change projections for 21st century |
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2013 |
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European GeoSciences Union (EGU), General Assembly 2013, 2013-04-07 to 2013-04-12 |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2774 |
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