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Author Dono, G.; Cortignani, R.; Dell’Unto, D.; Doro, L.; Lacetera, N.; Mula, L.; Pasqui, M.; Quaresima, S.; Vitali, A.; Roggero, P.P. openurl 
  Title Productive and economic adaptation of Mediterranean agriculture to climate change (Produktive und wirtschaftliche Anpassung der mediterranen Landwirtschaft an den Klimawandel) Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Jahrbuch der ÖGA Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 24 Issue Pages 213-222  
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  Area Expedition Conference 24. Jahrestagung der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie, 2014-09-25 to 2014-09-26, Vienna  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5027  
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Author Dono, G.; Cortignani, R.; Dell’Unto, D.; Deligios, P.; Doro, L.; Lacetera, N.; Mula, L.; Pasqui, M.; Quaresima, S.; Vitali, A.; Roggero, P.P. url  doi
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  Title Winners and losers from climate change in agriculture: Insights from a case study in the Mediterranean basin Type Journal Article
  Year 2016 Publication Agricultural Systems Abbreviated Journal Agricultural Systems  
  Volume 147 Issue Pages 65-75  
  Keywords Adaptation of farms to CC; Mediterranean region; Discrete Stochastic Programming; Regional Atmospheric Modelling System; Crop models; Livestock models  
  Abstract The Mediterranean region has always shown a marked inter-annual variability in seasonal weather, creating uncertainty in decisional processes of cultivation and livestock breeding that should not be neglected when modeling farmers’ adaptive responses. This is especially relevant when assessing the impact of climate change (CC), which modifies the atmospheric variability and generates new uncertainty conditions, and the possibility of adaptation of agriculture. Our analysis examines this aspect reconstructing the effects of inter-annual climate variability in a diversified farming district that well represents a wide range of rainfed and irrigated agricultural systems in the Mediterranean area. We used a Regional Atmospheric Modelling System and a weather generator to generate 150 stochastic years of the present and near future climate. Then, we implemented calibrated crop and livestock models to estimate the corresponding productive responses in the form of probability distribution functions (PDFs) under the two climatic conditions. We assumed these PDFs able to represent the expectations of farmers in a discrete stochastic programming (DSP) model that reproduced their economic behaviour under uncertainty conditions. The comparison of the results in the two scenarios provided an assessment of the impact of CC, also taking into account the possibility of adjustment allowed by present technologies and price regimes. The DSP model is built in blocks that represent the farm typologies operating in the study area, each one with its own resource endowment, decisional constraints and economic response. Under this latter aspect, major differences emerged among farm typologies and sub-zones of the study area. A crucial element of differentiation was water availability, since only irrigated C3 crops took full advantage from the fertilization effect of increasing atmospheric CO2 concentration. Rainfed crop production was depressed by the expected reduction of spring rainfall associated to the higher temperatures. So, a dualism emerges between the smaller impact on crop production in the irrigated plain sub-zone, equipped with collective water networks and abundant irrigation resources, and the major negative impact in the hilly area, where these facilities and resources are absent. However intensive dairy farming was also negatively affected in terms of milk production and quality, and cattle mortality because of the increasing summer temperatures. This provides explicit guidance for addressing strategic adaptation policies and for framing farmers’ perception of CC, in order to help them to develop an awareness of the phenomena that are already in progress, which is a prerequisite for effective adaptation responses.  
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  Language English Summary Language Original Title  
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  ISSN 0308521x ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes CropM, LiveM, TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4756  
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Author Lacetera, N.; Vitali, A.; Bernabucci, U.; Nardone, A. url  openurl
  Title Relationships between temperature humidity index, mortality, milk yield and composition in Italian dairy cows Type Conference Article
  Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
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  Abstract The aim of this presentation is to illustrate the activities performed by the LiveM-Task L1.2. group based at the University of Tuscia, Viterbo, Italy. Three different pluriannual databases were built to perform retrospective studies aimed at establishing the relationships between temperature humidity index (THI) and parameters of interest for dairy cow farms. The THI combines temperature and humidity in a single value and has been widely used to quantify heat stress in farm animals. The first database was built to assess the relationships between THI and mortality over a 6 yr period (2002-2007); the second one was a 7 yr database (2001-2007) which was built to establish the relationships between THI and milk yield; the last database included THI, milk somatic cell counts, total bacterial counts, fat and protein percentages data collected over a 7 yr period (2003-2009). The analysis of the three databases provided several equations which demonstrated and quantified an increase of mortality, reduction of milk yield and a worsening of milk quality in hot environment. Results of these analyzes authorized speculations about risks for dairy cows and their productivity in a warming planet. Furthermore, the same results are being utilized by economists also working within MACSUR at the University of Tuscia for an integrated study aimed at establishing the economic impact of climate change in the dairy sector. Combining this information with climate change regional scenarios might permit prediction of the impact of global warming and identification of adaptation measures that are appropriate for specific contexts.  
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  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference  
  Series Volume 3(S) Sassari, Italy Series Issue Edition  
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  Area Expedition Conference FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5122  
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Author Lacetera, N.; Vitali, A.; Bernabucci, U.; Nardone, A. url  openurl
  Title Report on the analysis of interannual and seasonal variations in productive, reproductive and health data Type Report
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 4 Issue Pages D-L1.2.2  
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  Abstract The work carried out under LiveM, L1.2 and described herein was based on construction and query of large databases which included multiannual productive and health field data. Productive data referred to dairy cows, whereas health data were relative both to dairy cows and pigs. The analysis pointed out significant seasonal variations of parameters under study. In synthesis, summer/hot season was associated with significant worsening of dairy cows milk composition and with significant higher risk of death in pigs. These results may help to predict consequences of climate change in economically important sectors of the livestock industry and also to identify and target adaptation options that are appropriate for specific contexts, and that can contribute to environmental sustainability as well as to economic development. No Label  
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  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2216  
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Author Lacetera, N.; Vitali, A.; Bernabucci, U.; Nardone, A. url  openurl
  Title Report on relationships between THI and dairy cow performance Type Report
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 4 Issue Pages D-L1.2.3  
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  Abstract The work carried out under LiveM, L1.2 and described herein was based on construction and query of large databases which included multiannual productive and health field data. Productive data referred to dairy cows and included milk yield and composition, whereas health data were relative both to dairy cows and pigs. The analysis established the THI values above which a significant decline in the performance and health of dairy cows or pigs is to be expected. These results may help to adopt management environmental strategies which may permit to limit THI increase under farming conditions and/or to provide animals with interventions which may reduce heat load and/or increase dissipation of heat. No Label  
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  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2217  
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