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Author Montesino-San Martín, M.; Olesen, J.E.; Porter, J.R.
Title A genotype, environment and management (GxExM) analysis of adaptation in winter wheat to climate change in Denmark Type Journal Article
Year 2014 Publication Agricultural and Forest Meteorology Abbreviated Journal Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Volume 187 Issue Pages 1-13
Keywords Winter wheat; Climate change; Adaptation; Uncertainty; Europe; food security; model hadgem1; physical-properties; regional climate; change impacts; field-scale; land-use; yield; nitrogen; variability
Abstract Wheat yields in Europe have shown stagnating trends during the last two decades, partly attributed to climate change. Such developments challenge the needs for increased production, in particular at higher latitudes, to meet increasing global demands and expected productivity reductions at lower latitudes. Climate change projections from three General Circulation Models or GCMs (UKMO-HadGEM1, INM-GM3.0 and CSIRO-Mk3.1) for the A1FI SIZES emission scenario for 2000 to 2100 were downscaled at a northern latitude location (Foulum, Denmark) using LARS-WG5.3. The scenarios accounted for changes in temperature, precipitation and atmospheric CO2 concentration. In addition, three temperature-variability scenarios were included assuming different levels of decreased temperature variability in winter and increased in summer. Crop yield was simulated for the different climate change scenarios by a calibrated version of AFRCWHEAT2 to model several combinations of genotypes (varying in crop growth, development and tolerance to water and nitrogen scarcity) and management (sowing dates and nitrogen fertilization rate). The simulations showed a slight improvement of grain yields (0.3-1.2 Mg ha(-1)) in the medium-term (2030-2050), but not enough to cope with expected increases in demand for food and feed. Optimum management added up to 1.8 Mg ha(-1). Genetic modifications regarding winter wheat crop development exhibit the greatest sensitivity to climate and larger potential for improvement (+3.8 Mg ha(-1)). The results consistently points towards need for cultivars with a longer reproductive phases (2.9-7.5% per 1 degrees C) and lower photoperiod sensitivities. Due to the positive synergies between several genotypic characteristics, multiple-target breeding programmes would be necessary, possibly assisted by model-based assessments of optimal phenotypic characteristics.
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0168-1923 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, ftnotmacsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4630
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Author Sandhu, H.; Porter, J.R.; Wratten, S.
Title Experimental assessment of ecosystem services in agriculture Type Book Chapter
Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 122-135
Keywords CropM;
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor Wratten, S.; Sandhu, H.; Cullen, R.; Costanza, R.
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Ecosystem Services in Agricultural and Urban Landscapes Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2786
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Author Porter, J.R.; Xie, L.; Challinor, A.J.; Cochrane, K.; Howden, S.M.; Iqbal, M.M.; Lobell, D.B.; Travasso, M.I.
Title Food security and food production systems Type Book Chapter
Year 2014 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 485-533
Keywords CropM
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Cambridge University Press Place of Publication Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA Editor Field, C.B.; Barros, V.R.; Dokken, D.J.; Mach, K.J.; Mastrandrea, M.D.; Bilir, T.E.; Chatterjee, M.; Ebi, K.L.; Estrada, Y.O.; Genova, R.C.; Girma, B.; Kissel, E.S.; Levy, A.N.; MacCracken, S.; Mastrandrea, P.R.; White, L.L.
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vuln Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2734
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Author Barbier-Brygoo, H.; Chilliard, Y.; Durand, J.-L.; Elmayan, T.; Goldringer, I.; Porter, J.R.
Title Rapport du groupe de traveil sur la Propriétè Intellectuelle dans le végétal, du conseil scientifique nationale de l’INRA Type Report
Year 2014 Publication Rapport de L’INRA Conseil Scientifique Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 43
Keywords CropM
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Paris, France Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2074
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