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Author |
Semenov, M.A.; Stratonovitch, P. |
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Title |
Designing high-yielding wheat ideotypes for a changing climate |
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Journal Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Food and Energy Security |
Abbreviated Journal |
Food Energy Secur. |
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Volume |
2 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
185-196 |
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Keywords |
Climate change impacts; crop modeling; LARS-WG; Sirius; wheat |
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Abstract |
Global warming is characterized by shifts in weather patterns and increases in climatic variability and extreme events. New wheat cultivars will be required for a rapidly changing environment, putting severe pressure on breeders who must select for climate conditions which can only be predicted with a great degree of uncertainty. To assist breeders to identify key wheat traits for improvements under climate change, wheat ideotypes can be designed and tested in silico using a wheat simulation model for a wide range of future climate scenarios predicted by global climate models. A wheat ideotype is represented by a set of cultivar parameters in a model, which could be optimized for best wheat performance under projected climate change. As an example, high-yielding wheat ideotypes were designed at two contrasting European sites for the 2050 (A1B) climate scenario. Simulations showed that wheat yield potential can be substantially increased for new ideotypes compared with current wheat varieties under climate change. The main factors contributing to yield increase were improvement in light conversion efficiency, extended duration of grain filling resulting in a higher harvest index, and optimal phenology. |
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English |
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2048-3694 |
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CropM, ft_macsur |
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MA @ admin @ |
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4505 |
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Rötter, P.; Palosuo, T.; Semenov, M.; Ruiz-Ramos, M.; Tao, F.; Fronzek, S.; Pirttioja, K.; Bindi, M.; Carter, R.; Hoffmann, H.; Höhn, J.; Kersebaum, C.; Trnka, M. |
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Title |
Designing new cereal cultivars as an adaptation measure using crop model ensembles |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
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CropM |
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MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2768 |
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Author |
Semenov, M.A. |
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Title |
Modelling predicts that heat stress, not drought, will increase vulnerability of wheat in Europe |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2013 |
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InterDrought IV, Perth, Western Australia, 2013-09-02 to 2013-09-06 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2818 |
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Author |
Semenov, M.A. |
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Title |
Delivering local-scale CMIP5-based climate scenarios for impact assessment in Europe |
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Conference Article |
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2014 |
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MACSUR CropM International Symposium and Workshop: Modelling climate change impacts on crop production for food security, Oslo, Norway, 2014-02-10 to 2014-02-12 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2819 |
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Author |
Semenov, M.A.; Stratonovitch, P. |
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Title |
Application of evolutionary algorithms for model calibration |
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Conference Article |
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Year |
2012 |
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CropM |
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Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference (GECCO 2012), Philadelphia, USA., 2012-07-07 to 2012-07-11 |
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no |
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Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
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2821 |
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