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Author Toscano, P.; Ranieri, R.; Matese, A.; Vaccari, F.P.; Gioli, B.; Zaldei, A.; Silvestri, M.; Ronchi, C.; La Cava, P.; Porter, J.R.; Miglietta, F.
Title Durum wheat modeling: The Delphi system, 11 years of observations in Italy Type Journal Article
Year 2012 Publication European Journal of Agronomy Abbreviated Journal European Journal of Agronomy
Volume 43 Issue Pages 108-118
Keywords durum wheat; crop modeling; yield forecasting; calibration; scenarios; decision-support-system; crop simulation-model; ceres-wheat; mediterranean environment; winter-wheat; scaling-up; variability; quality; growth; water
Abstract ► Delphi system, based on AFRCWHEAT2 model, for durum wheat forecast. ► AFRCWHEAT2 model was calibrated and validated for three years. ► A scenario approach was applied to simulation of durum wheat yield. ► Operational mode for eleven years in rainfed and water limiting conditions. ► Accurate forecast as an useful planning tool. Crop models are frequently used in ecology, agronomy and environmental sciences for simulating crop and environmental variables at a discrete time step. The aim of this work was to test the predictive capacity of the Delphi system, calibrated and determined for each pedoclimatic factor affecting durum wheat during phenological development. at regional scale. We present an innovative system capable of predicting spatial yield variation and temporal yield fluctuation in long-term analysis, that are the main purposes of regional crop simulation study. The Delphi system was applied to simulate growth and yield of durum wheat in the major Italian supply basins (Basilicata, Capitanata, Marche, Tuscany). The model was validated and evaluated for three years (1995-1997) at 11 experimental fields and then used in operational mode for eleven years (1999-2009), showing an excellent/good accuracy in predicting grain yield even before maturity for a wide range of growing conditions in the Mediterranean climate, governed by different annual weather patterns. The results were evaluated on the basis of regression and normalized root mean squared error with known crop yield statistics at regional level. (c) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
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ISSN 1161-0301 ISBN Medium Article
Area Expedition Conference
Notes CropM, ftnotmacsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4596
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Author Bojar, W.
Title WP1 TASKS Existing, tools, data, models – tasks of WP1 package” – Type Conference Article
Year 2012 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference Kickoff Meeting and Workshop: Modelling, European Agriculture with Climate Change for Food Security, 2012-10-15 to 2012-10-16
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2328
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Author Waldemar, B.
Title WP1 tasks – tasks of WP1 package Type Conference Article
Year 2012 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords TradeM
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Area Expedition Conference The first meeting of the TradeM Steering Committee, 2012-09-05 to 2012-09-05
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2890
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Author Semenov, M.A.; Pilkington-Bennett, S.
Title Validation of ELPIS baseline scenarios using ECA&D observed data Type Conference Article
Year 2012 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages 4151-4152
Keywords CropM
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Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Geophysical Research Abstracts Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume 14 Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference European GeoSciences Union (EGU), General Assembly 2012, 2012-04-22 to 2012-04-27
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2820
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Author Twardy, S.
Title The ecological potential – sustainable development of rural areas in the Carpathians Type Conference Article
Year 2012 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords LiveM; CropM
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Area Expedition Conference Third International Mountain Forum entitled Innovation in Mountainous Regions. Zakopane, Poland., 2012-10-10 to 2012-10-12
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2862
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