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Author Lotze-Campen, H.; von Witzke, H.; Noleppa, S.; Schwarz, G.
Title Science for food, climate protection and welfare: An economic analysis of plant breeding research in Germany Type (up) Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Agricultural Systems Abbreviated Journal Agric. Syst.
Volume 136 Issue Pages 79-84
Keywords Plant breeding; CO2 emissions; Cost–benefit analysis; Social rate of return; Agricultural research policy
Abstract Highlights • We analyze the economic effects of plant breeding research in Germany. • Effects of reduced CO2 emissions due to productivity increases are being quantified. • Expansion of global agricultural area has been reduced by 1–1.5 million ha. • CO2 emissions have been reduced by 160–235 million tons. • German plant breeding research has an economic value of 10.8–15.6 billion EUR. Abstract We analyze the economic effects of plant breeding research in Germany. In addition to market effects, for the first time also effects of reduced CO2 emissions due to productivity increases are being quantified. The analysis shows that investments in German plant breeding research in the period 1991–2010 have reduced the global expansion of agricultural area by 1–1.5 million hectares. This has led to reduced CO2 emissions of 160–235 million tons. The economic value generated by plant breeding research, through increased production and reduced greenhouse gas emissions, is estimated at 10.8–15.6 billion EUR in the same period. This can be translated into a social rate of return on research investment in the range of 40–80% per year. Projections for the period 2011–2030 generate a return rate in the range of 65–140% per year. Investments into plant breeding research in Germany are highly profitable from a societal point of view. At the same time, our results show significant under-investments in agricultural research in Germany. These results provide a good justification for policy-makers to reverse funding cuts for public agricultural research over the last decades and to improve institutional conditions for private research, e.g. through better protection of intellectual property rights.
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ISSN 0308521x ISBN Medium
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Notes TradeM, ftnotmacsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4999
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Author Mitter, H.; Schmid, E.; Sinabell, F.
Title Integrated modelling of protein crop production responses to climate change and agricultural policy scenarios in Austria Type (up) Journal Article
Year 2015 Publication Climate Research Abbreviated Journal Clim. Res.
Volume 65 Issue Pages 205-220
Keywords Climate change impact; Adaptation; Soybean; EPIC; Common Agricultural Policy; Land use
Abstract Climate and policy changes are likely to affect protein crop production and thus trade balances in Europe, which is highly dependent on imports. Exemplified for Austrian cropland, we developed an integrated modelling framework to analyze climate change and policy scenario impacts on protein crop production and environmental outcomes. The integrated modelling framework consists of a statistical climate change model, a crop rotation model, the bio-physical process model EPIC, and the economic bottom-up land use optimization model BiomAT. EPIC is applied to simulate annual dry matter crop yields for different crop management practices including crop rotations, fertilization intensities, and irrigation, as well as for 3 regional climate change scenarios until 2040 at a 1 km grid resolution. BiomAT maximizes total gross margins by optimizing land use choices and crop management practices subject to spatially explicit cropland endowments. The model results indicate that changes in agricultural policy conditions, cropland use, and higher flexibility in crop management practices may reduce protein import dependence under changing climatic conditions. Expanding protein crop production is most attractive in south-eastern Austria with its Central European continental climate where maize is most often replaced in crop rotations. However, the acreage of protein crops is limited by agronomically suitable cropland. An intended side effect is the reduction of nitrogen fertilizer inputs by about 0.1% if total protein crop production increases by 1%.
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Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0936-577x ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5012
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Author Sinabell, F.; Sommer, M.; Kappert, R.; Kaul, H.P.
Title Ist Mais unentbehrlich? Type (up) Magazine Article
Year 2015 Publication Der Pflanzenarzt Abbreviated Journal
Volume 68 Issue Pages 19-21
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Notes TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 5015
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Author Yin, X.; Olesen, J.E.; Li, W.; Wang, M.; Zhang, H.
Title Contributions of climatic, technological and social factors to maize yield in the northeast farming region of China during 1985 to 2009 Type (up) Manuscript
Year 2015 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords CropM
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Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2912
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Author Minet, J.
Title Sensitivity of simulated grassland productivity to climate change factors in Europe and Israel using the CARAIB model Type (up) Manuscript
Year 2015 Publication Abbreviated Journal
Volume Issue Pages
Keywords LiveM
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Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title Ecological Informatics
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Notes Approved no
Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2640
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