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Author Elliott, J.; Müller, C.; Deryng, D.; Chryssanthacopoulos, J.; Boote, K.J.; Büchner, M.; Foster, I.; Glotter, M.; Heinke, J.; Iizumi, T.; Izaurralde, R.C.; Mueller, N.D.; Ray, D.K.; Rosenzweig, C.; Ruane, A.C.; Sheffield, J. url  doi
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  Title (down) The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison: data and modeling protocols for Phase 1 (v1.0) Type Journal Article
  Year 2015 Publication Geoscientific Model Development Abbreviated Journal Geosci. Model Dev.  
  Volume 8 Issue 2 Pages 261-277  
  Keywords land-surface model; climate-change; systems simulation; high-resolution; water; carbon; yield; agriculture; patterns; growth  
  Abstract We present protocols and input data for Phase 1 of the Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison, a project of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP). The project includes global simulations of yields, phenologies, and many land-surface fluxes using 12-15 modeling groups for many crops, climate forcing data sets, and scenarios over the historical period from 1948 to 2012. The primary outcomes of the project include (1) a detailed comparison of the major differences and similarities among global models commonly used for large-scale climate impact assessment, (2) an evaluation of model and ensemble hindcasting skill, (3) quantification of key uncertainties from climate input data, model choice, and other sources, and (4) a multi-model analysis of the agricultural impacts of large-scale climate extremes from the historical record.  
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  ISSN 1991-9603 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes CropM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4559  
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Author Müller, C., Elliott J openurl 
  Title (down) The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison Project Type Conference Article
  Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords CropM  
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  Area Expedition Conference 4th Annual AgMIP Workshop, New York, USA, 2013-10-28 to 2013-10-30  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2667  
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Author Müller, C.; Elliott, J. openurl 
  Title (down) The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison – Approaches, insights and caveats of modeling climate change impacts on agriculture at the global scale Type Conference Article
  Year 2013 Publication Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords CropM  
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  Area Expedition Conference FAO expert consultation on climate change and trade, Rome, Italy, 2013-11-05 to 2013-11-06  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2670  
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Author Valin, H.; Sands, R.D.; van der Mensbrugghe, D. and; Nelson, G.C.; Ahammad, H.; Blanc, E.; Bodirsky; Benjamin; Fujimori, S.; Hasegawa, T.; Havlik, P.; and Heyhoe, E.; Kyle, P.; Mason-D’Croz, D.; Paltsev; Sergey; Rolinski, S.; Tabeau, A.; van Meijl, H. and; von Lampe, M.; Willenbockel, D. doi  openurl
  Title (down) The future of food demand: Understanding differences in global economic models Type Journal Article
  Year 2014 Publication Agricultural Economics Abbreviated Journal Agric. Econ.  
  Volume 45 Issue 1 Pages 51-67  
  Keywords world food demand; socioeconomic pathways; climate change; computable general equilibrium; partial equilibrium; systems  
  Abstract Understanding the capacity of agricultural systems to feed the world population under climate change requires projecting future food demand. This article reviews demand modeling approaches from 10 global economic models participating in the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP). We compare food demand projections in 2050 for various regions and agricultural products under harmonized scenarios of socioeconomic development, climate change, and bioenergy expansion. In the reference scenario (SSP2), food demand increases by 59-98% between 2005 and 2050, slightly higher than the most recent FAO projection of 54% from 2005/2007. The range of results is large, in particular for animal calories (between 61% and 144%), caused by differences in demand systems specifications, and in income and price elasticities. The results are more sensitive to socioeconomic assumptions than to climate change or bioenergy scenarios. When considering a world with higher population and lower economic growth (SSP3), consumption per capita drops on average by 9\% for crops and 18% for livestock. The maximum effect of climate change on calorie availability is -6% at the global level, and the effect of biofuel production on calorie availability is even smaller.  
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  ISSN 0169-5150 ISBN Medium Article  
  Area Expedition Conference  
  Notes TradeM, ft_macsur Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 4752  
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Author Schmidhuber, J. url  openurl
  Title (down) The Food Equation”: Taking a long/term View on World Agriculture, Climate Change and Food Security Type
  Year 2015 Publication FACCE MACSUR Reports Abbreviated Journal  
  Volume 4 Issue Pages SP4-15  
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  Area Expedition Conference TradeM International Workshop 2014 »Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector«, 25–27 November 2014, Hurdalsjø, Norway  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number MA @ admin @ Serial 2205  
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