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Brouwer, F., & Sinabell, F. (2014). TradeM planning session of pilot studies. FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 3(S) Sassari, Italy.
Abstract: TradeM will organise a session to plan for the three regional pilot studies. Focus will be on the expected outcomes until early 2015 (e.g. progress in farm modelling, and other scientific advancements – uncertainty, model integration). In addition to the planning of the regional pilot studies for the remaining year in MACSUR, we will also elaborate proposals for the years 2015-2017. Moreover, the session will enable research groups to present and discuss their plans for cross-theme investigations.
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Sinabell, F., & Brouwer, F. (2014). TradeM synergies with AGMIP. FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 3(S) Sassari, Italy.
Abstract: The AgMIP network started activities on intercomparison of global economic modelling at a time when MACSUR was not yet established. The achievements made so far are highly relevant for TradeM and several partners (Wageningen University, IIASA, PIK, University Bonn) are in both networks. The MOU between MACSUR and AGMIP established formal links between the two projects and TradeM is activley working on establishing further collaboration. Preparations are underway to bring together researchers of both networks in a joint workshop to be held in Austria, September 2014. The topic will be on issues related to linking local and regional models with global ones. TradeM will actively contribute to the workshop and will host a one-day side-event.
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Sinabel, F., & Brouwer, F. (2014). TradeM theme progress overview. FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 3(S) Sassari, Italy.
Abstract: TradeM is one theme of MACSUR and the major focus is on enhancing existing economic models and inspiring researchers to further develop and use models and tools. After establishing an inventory of models at the beginning of the project the next stage was used to prepare for the analysis in regional pilot studies. Case studies for three regions in Europe (North, Centre, South) are used to showcase the state of the art of agricultural modelling of climate change and food security in specific regional contexts and policy environments. In parallel efforts stakeholder participation processes are initiated, learning workshops and capacity building. Moreover, steps are to develop and test new concepts on economics for use in integrated assessment approaches dealing with risk and uncertainty.
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Schönhart, M. (2014). Uncertainty analysis and management in the regional pilot case study ‘Mostviertel region. FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 3(S) Sassari, Italy.
Abstract: An integrated modelling framework (IMF) is developed to analyse impacts of climate andpolicy changes on farm welfare and the environment. The IMF is applied on two contrasting grassland (south) and cropland (north) dominated Austrian landscapes. The IMF combines the crop rotation model CropRota, the bio-physical process model EPIC and the bio-economic farm model FAMOS[space] and applies combined climate change and policy scenarios. Changing policies reduce farm gross margins by -36% and -5% in the two landscapes respectively. Climate change increases gross margins and farms can reach pre-reform levels on average. Climate induced intensification such as removing of landscape elements andincreasing fertilization can be moderated by an agri-environmental program (AEP). However, productivity gains from climate change increase the opportunity costs for AEP participation.
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Sándor, R., Ma, S., Acutis, M., Barcza, Z., Ben, T., H., Doro, L., et al. (2014). Uncertainty in simulating biomass yield and carbon-water fluxes from Euro-Mediterranean grasslands under climate changes..
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