|
|
Mansouri, M., Dumont, B., & Destain, M. - F. (2014). Predicting Grain Protein Content of Winter Wheat..
|
|
|
|
McIntyre, M. (2014). Predicting the effects of climate change on pathogens..
|
|
|
|
Sandars, D., Audsley, E., & Holman, I. (2014). Predicting the optimum land use at any location for any future scenario (CLIMSAVE/IMPRESSIONS). FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 3(S) Sassari, Italy.
Abstract: Given any socio-, techno-, economic scenario and location specific soil and climate scenario, the farm model predicts the most profitable land use at that location. This model is encapsulated within a Europe-wide interactive interface, to allow adaptation and mitigation options to be explored by any user. With 5 climate models and 19 parameters, the user can study the sensitivity of the results to the chosen scenario settings. A scenario’s land use can be classified as intensive arable, intensive grassland, extensive grassland, forestry, or abandoned depending on potential profitability.
|
|
|
|
Sharif, B., & Olesen, J. E. (2014). Probabilistic assessment of agroclimatic effects on winter rapeseed yield in Denmark..
|
|
|
|
Lehtonen, H. S., Kässi, P., Korhonen, P., Niskanen, O., Rötter, R., Palosuo, T., et al. (2014). Problems and opportunities in climate change adaptation in North Savo region. FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 3(S) Sassari, Italy.
Abstract: Crop production for feed dominates land use in North Savo in eastern Finland. The value of dairy and beef production is appr. 70 % of the total value of agricultural production of the region. In climate change adaptation research we are especially interested in dairy and meat sectors, which are directly dependent on the development of productivity of crop production. Climate change implies changes in cereals and forage crop yields and nutritive quality. There are most likely increasing problems and risks related to overwintering and growing periods. Grass silage is mainly self-produced on farms and most often there is no market for silage. Silage production and use are vulnerable to changes in local climate, because lost yield cannot be easily replaced from market. Risks and costs due to increasing inter-annual yield volatility can be reduced by good management practices, such as crop rotation, plant protection, soil improvements and better crop protection against plant diseases.However the profitability of such measures is dependent on market and policy conditions. Nevertheless new cultivars and species, as well as various options for production and risk management, are most likely needed in future climate. Some adaptations may have multiple benefits which however may realize only in medium or long run. It is important to safeguard the most important and obviously needed adaptations, and identify market and socio-economic conditions which inhibit farmers from necessary adaptations and lead to reduced productivity and increased production costs.
|
|
