Records |
Author |
Mitter, H.; Schmid, E.; Sinabell, F. |
Title ![sorted by Title field, descending order (down)](img/sort_desc.gif) |
Integrated modelling of protein crop production responses to climate change and agricultural policy scenarios in Austria |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Climate Research |
Abbreviated Journal |
Clim. Res. |
Volume |
65 |
Issue |
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Pages |
205-220 |
Keywords |
Climate change impact; Adaptation; Soybean; EPIC; Common Agricultural Policy; Land use |
Abstract |
Climate and policy changes are likely to affect protein crop production and thus trade balances in Europe, which is highly dependent on imports. Exemplified for Austrian cropland, we developed an integrated modelling framework to analyze climate change and policy scenario impacts on protein crop production and environmental outcomes. The integrated modelling framework consists of a statistical climate change model, a crop rotation model, the bio-physical process model EPIC, and the economic bottom-up land use optimization model BiomAT. EPIC is applied to simulate annual dry matter crop yields for different crop management practices including crop rotations, fertilization intensities, and irrigation, as well as for 3 regional climate change scenarios until 2040 at a 1 km grid resolution. BiomAT maximizes total gross margins by optimizing land use choices and crop management practices subject to spatially explicit cropland endowments. The model results indicate that changes in agricultural policy conditions, cropland use, and higher flexibility in crop management practices may reduce protein import dependence under changing climatic conditions. Expanding protein crop production is most attractive in south-eastern Austria with its Central European continental climate where maize is most often replaced in crop rotations. However, the acreage of protein crops is limited by agronomically suitable cropland. An intended side effect is the reduction of nitrogen fertilizer inputs by about 0.1% if total protein crop production increases by 1%. |
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0936-577x |
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TradeM, ft_macsur |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
5012 |
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Author |
Köchy, M.; Banse, M.; Brouwer, F.; Dono, G.A.G., L. |
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Integrated modelling of climate impacts on food and farming at regional to supranational scales |
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Conference Article |
Year |
2013 |
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United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification 2nd Scientific Conference, Bonn, Germany, 2013-04-09 to 2013-04-12 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
2558 |
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Author |
Schönhart, M.; Schauppenlehner, T.; Schmid, E. |
Title ![sorted by Title field, descending order (down)](img/sort_desc.gif) |
Integrated land use modelling of climate change impacts – preliminary results from two Austrian case study landscapes |
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Conference Article |
Year |
2014 |
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We present an integrated land use modelling framework (ILM) to analyze impacts of climate change and CAP reform as well as farm adaptation using economic, biotic and abiotic indicators at field, farm and landscape scales. The IML is applied on the two contrasting landscapes in the Austrian MACSUR regional pilot study. The scenarios cover climate and policy changes until 2040. The anticipated policy changes lead to declines in farm gross margins by -36% and -5% in the two landscapes, respectively. In contrast, climate change leads to higher gross margins, where farms can reach pre-reform levels on average. Environmental impacts such as removing of landscape elements and increasing fertilization can be moderated by an agri-environmental program, but the opportunity costs of program participation may increase. |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference |
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3(S) Sassari, Italy |
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FACCE MACSUR Mid-term Scientific Conference, 2014-04-01 to 2014-04-04, Sassari, Italy |
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MA @ admin @ |
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5091 |
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Schönhart, M.; Schauppenlehner, T.; Schmid, E. |
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Integrated Land Use modelling of climate change impacts in two Austrian case study landscapes at field level |
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Conference Article |
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2014 |
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TradeM |
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14th EAAE Congress, Ljubljana (Slovenia), 2014-08-26 to 2014-08-29 |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2813 |
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Author |
Fürst, C.; Helming, K.; Lorz, C.; Müller, F.; Verburg, P.H. |
Title ![sorted by Title field, descending order (down)](img/sort_desc.gif) |
Integrated land use and regional resource management--a cross-disciplinary dialogue on future perspectives for a sustainable development of regional resources |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Journal of Environmental Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Environ. Manage. |
Volume |
127 Suppl |
Issue |
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Pages |
S1-S5 |
Keywords |
Conservation of Natural Resources/*methods; Analytical framework for integrated planning; Integrated land use; Regional planning; Regional resource management; Sustainable regional development |
Abstract |
Our paper introduces objectives and ideas of the special issue “Integrated land use and regional resource management – A cross-disciplinary dialogue on future perspectives for a sustainable development of regional resources” and provides an overview on the contributions of the single papers in the special issue to this topic. Furthermore, we discuss and present major challenges and demands on integrated land use and regional resource management and we come up with an analytical framework how to correspond these demands. |
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English |
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0301-4797 |
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TradeM, ftnotmacsur |
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no |
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MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4826 |
Permanent link to this record |