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Wallach, D.; Rivington, M. |
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Identification and quantification of differences between models |
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2015 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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6 |
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D-C4.2.2 |
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A major goal of crop model inter-comparison is model improvement, and an important intermediate step toward that goal is understanding in some detail how models differ, and the consequences of those differences. This report is intended as a first attempt at describing possible techniques for relating differences between model outputs to specific aspects of the models. No Label |
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2101 |
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Bartley, D. |
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Identification of datasets on climate change in relation to livestock productivity (production and fitness traits) and livestock infectious disease |
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2013 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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1 |
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D-L1.1 |
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Datasets from Germany and the United Kingdom containing information on geographic (European Union 27 countries), climatic, meteorological, host and infectious agents’ parameters (figure 2) have been completed and are now available for preliminary analysis relating to data quality and consistency. Data set information will continue to be added over the next 12 months. No Label |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2255 |
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Bindi, M. |
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Identification of most important cropping systems and available models |
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2013 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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1 |
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D-C1.1 |
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For each region or agro-ecological zone in Europe the major cropping systems have been identified based on their cropping area. Next, for each of the selected cropping systems the most widely applied models that fulfil a number of criteria (including their documentation in peer reviewed publications; good user guides and documentation of code; source code available) have been identified. Some possible model comparisons have been hypothesized on the basis of cropping systems and model availability. No Label |
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2253 |
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Bellocchi, G.; Ma, S.; Köchy, M.; Braunmiller, K. |
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Identified grassland-livestock production systems and related models |
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2013 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
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2 |
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D-L2.1.1 |
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This report describes grassland-livestock production systems, as selected for model-basedstudies. A list of grassland models was identified for evaluation against such datasets(WP2) and application at reference farm (WP3) and regions (WP4) across Europe and peri-European countries. No Label |
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2244 |
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Holman, I. |
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Identifying where future landuse allocation in Europe is robust to climate and socio-economic uncertainty |
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2015 |
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FACCE MACSUR Reports |
Abbreviated Journal |
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5 |
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Sp5-23 |
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The spatial distribution of future European landuse will be influenced by yield changes arising from climate change and changes in profitability as a consequence of socio-economic change (arising from changing food demand; prices; technology etc). To understand how these factors affect future land use allocation, a modelling system has been set up to predict agricultural land use across the EU under any scenario set of climate and socio- and techno-economic data. Metamodels of crop and forest yields, and optimal cropping and profit are derived from the outputs of the IMPEL, GOTILWA+, SFARMODand WaterGAP models. Profitability of each possible land use is modelled across the EU, assuming that use will change to the most profitable in the timescale being considered (2050). Land use in a grid is then allocated based on profit, with minimum profit thresholds set for intensive agriculture (arable or grassland), extensive agriculture, managed forest and finally unmanaged forest or unmanaged land. The European demand for food as a function of population, imports, food preferences and bioenergy, is a production constraint, as is irrigation water available. The model iterates prices until demand is satisfied (or cannot be met) and basin water usage for irrigation is not more than is available.This presentation describes the application of the modelling system across future climate change uncertainty space (as given by 60 combinations of downscaled 10’x10’ gridded climate outputs from 5 Global Climate Models, 3 climate sensitivities and 4 emissions scenario) under both baseline and four future socio-economic scenarios to identify those areas of Europe in which the spatial allocation of agricultural landcovers are robust to this uncertainty. No Label |
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MACSUR Science Conference 2015 »Integrated Climate Risk Assessment in Agriculture & Food«, 8–9+10 April 2015, Reading, UK |
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MA @ admin @ |
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2138 |
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