Records |
Author |
Murat, M.; Malinowska, I.; Hoffmann, H.; Baranowski, P. |
Title |
Statistical modelling of agrometeorological time series by exponential smoothing |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2016 |
Publication |
International Agrophysics |
Abbreviated Journal |
International Agrophysics |
Volume |
30 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
57-65 |
Keywords |
exponential smoothing; meteorological time series; statistical forecasting; daily temperature records; weighted moving averages; climate-change; prediction; forecasts; state; weather |
Abstract |
Meteorological time series are used in modelling agrophysical processes of the soil-plant-atmosphere system which determine plant growth and yield. Additionally, longterm meteorological series are used in climate change scenarios. Such studies often require forecasting or projection of meteorological variables, eg the projection of occurrence of the extreme events. The aim of the article was to determine the most suitable exponential smoothing models to generate forecast using data on air temperature, wind speed, and precipitation time series in Jokioinen (Finland), Dikopshof (Germany), Lleida (Spain), and Lublin (Poland). These series exhibit regular additive seasonality or non-seasonality without any trend, which is confirmed by their autocorrelation functions and partial autocorrelation functions. The most suitable models were indicated by the smallest mean absolute error and the smallest root mean squared error. |
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ISSN |
0236-8722 |
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Notes |
CropM, ft_macsur |
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no |
Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4728 |
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Author |
Lessire, F.; Hornick, J.L.; Minet, J.; Dufrasne, I. |
Title |
Rumination time, milk yield, milking frequency of grazing dairy cows milked by a mobile automatic system during mild heat stress |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Advances in Animal Biosciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Advances in Animal Biosciences |
Volume |
6 |
Issue |
01 |
Pages |
12-14 |
Keywords |
dairy; heat stress; THI; behaviour; milk yield |
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English |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2040-4700 |
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Notes |
LiveM, ft_macsur |
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no |
Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4570 |
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Author |
Ruete, A.; Velarde, A.; Blanco-Penedo, I. |
Title |
Eco-DREAMS-S: modelling the impact of climate change on milk performance in organic dairy farms |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Advances in Animal Biosciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Advances in Animal Biosciences |
Volume |
6 |
Issue |
01 |
Pages |
21-23 |
Keywords |
dairy; organic; THI; heat stress; milk production |
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2040-4700 |
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LiveM, ft_macsur |
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no |
Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4679 |
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Author |
Schönhart, M.; Nadeem, I. |
Title |
Direct climate change impacts on cattle indicated by THI models |
Type |
Journal Article |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
Advances in Animal Biosciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
Advances in Animal Biosciences |
Volume |
6 |
Issue |
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Pages |
17-17 |
Keywords |
dairy; THI; milk yield; integrated modelling; economic loss |
Abstract |
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Address |
2016-10-31 |
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English |
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TradeM, ft_macsur |
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no |
Call Number |
MA @ admin @ |
Serial |
4811 |
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